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  • 标题:Testing for Volatility Co-Movement in Bivariate Stochastic Volatility Models
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Jinghui Chen ; Masahito Kobayashi ; Michael McAleer
  • 期刊名称:JOURNAL OF THE JAPAN STATISTICAL SOCIETY
  • 印刷版ISSN:1882-2754
  • 电子版ISSN:1348-6365
  • 出版年度:2017
  • 卷号:47
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:13-36
  • DOI:10.14490/jjss.47.13
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:JAPAN STATISTICAL SOCIETY
  • 摘要:

    The paper considers the problem of volatility co-movement, namely as to whether two financial returns have perfectly correlated common volatility process, in the framework of multivariate stochastic volatility models and proposes a test which checks the volatility co-movement. The proposed test is a stochastic volatility version of the co-movement test proposed by Engle and Susmel (1993), who investigated whether international equity markets have volatility co-movement using the framework of the ARCH model.

    In empirical analysis we found that volatility co-movement exists among closely-linked stock markets and that volatility co-movement of the exchange rate markets tends to be found when the overall volatility level is low, which is contrasting to the often-cited finding in the financial contagion literature that financial returns have co-movement in the level during the financial crisis.

  • 关键词:Lagrange multiplier test;Volatility co-movement;Stock markets;Exchange rate Markets;Financial crisis
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