文章基本信息

标题：Traffic Accidents in Switzerland: How Hazardous Are “High Risk” Groups? An Analysis Based on Police Protocols
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作者：Thomas Gautschi ; Dominik Hangartner ; Aline Bütikofer 等
期刊名称：Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics
出版年度：2007
卷号：143
期号：4
页码：397-424
DOI：10.1007/BF03399244
摘要：On January 1, 2005, Switzerland reduced the legal level of blood-alcohol concentration while driving from 0.8‰ to 0.5‰. This happend on basis of the assumption that more restrictive per mil levels increase road safety. The benefit of lower blood-alcohol levels, however, depends on whether drinking drivers indeed pose a risk for themselves and other road users. Analyses using official data of all 84,437 two-car crashes during 2001–2005 indeed show a higher relative risk of drinking to sober drivers. And, we also find evidence that prejudices against drivers with an Eastern European citizenship, contrary to recent newspaper articles, are groundless.
关键词：traffic accidents ; drinking ; statistical modelling ; estimation of risk