文章基本信息

标题：Computational Model for the Prognosis, Control and Simulation of Ebola Virus Disease
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作者：O. Sarjiyus ; J. Sunday ; I. Manga 等
期刊名称：Journal of Scientific Research and Reports
电子版ISSN：2320-0227
出版年度：2017
卷号：15
期号：1
页码：1-10
DOI：10.9734/JSRR/2017/34427
出版社：Sciencedomain International
摘要：Ebola Virus Disease (EVD) has garnered public interest mostly because of its low survival rate compared with most other modern epidemic diseases. This research is hinged on the Prognosis, Control and Simulation of the EVD. A model called the Susceptible-Latent-Infected-Recovered (SLIR) model was adopted in this research to study the trend of the disease. From the stability analysis, it was found that the necessary and sufficient condition for the control and possibly, total eradication of the disease in West Africa is that the product of total breakdown of the susceptible and latent classes most be less than the product of the total removal rates from both the latent and the infectious classes. The computational method adopted in this research also gives the values of parameters needed to hold the epidemic under control, reduce mortality rate arising from the EVD, reduce the rate of infected class and increase the rate of recovered class.
关键词：Control; EVD; prognosis; model and simulation.