文章基本信息

标题：Scenarios of Carbon Emissions from the Power Sector in Guangdong Province
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作者：Tian, Zhong-Hua ; Yang, Ze-Liang
期刊名称：Sustainability
印刷版ISSN：2071-1050
出版年度：2016
卷号：8
期号：9
出版社：MDPI, Open Access Journal
摘要：The electricity power sector plays an important role in both CO 2 emissions as well as the target contribution of non-fossil energy. Although the target for the reduction of CO 2 emission intensity in Guangdong (GD) has not been released by the central government, GD has set a goal for increasing the share of non-fossil energy in total energy consumption to 25% in the provincial 13th Five-Year Plan. In this study, the CO 2 emissions from the electric power sector and the corresponding share of non-fossil fuels in total energy consumption between 2005 and 2014 were analyzed. The logarithmic mean Divisia index (LMDI) technique was applied for investigating the factors affecting the changes in CO 2 emissions. The main results are as follows: in 2014, the CO 2 emissions from the electric power sector were 286.54 Mt, of which the net purchased electricity accounted for 22.4%. Economic growth is the main contributor for the increase in CO 2 emissions from the electric power sector. Electricity intensity, thermal generation efficiency, CO 2 emission coefficient, and electricity supply mix slowed the growth of CO 2 emissions. Several energy scenarios were developed, and results showed that the provincial target for the share of non-fossil fuels by 2020 would be achieved by all of the scenarios.
关键词：CO 2 emissions; electric power sector; non-fossil fuel; Guangdong