文章基本信息

标题：The global warming hiatus: Slowdown or redistribution?
本地全文：下载
作者：Xiao‐Hai Yan ; Tim Boyer ; Kevin Trenberth 等
期刊名称：Earth's Future
电子版ISSN：2328-4277
出版年度：2016
卷号：4
期号：11
页码：472-482
DOI：10.1002/2016EF000417
语种：English
出版社：John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
摘要：Global mean surface temperatures (GMST) exhibited a smaller rate of warming during 1998–2013, compared to the warming in the latter half of the 20th Century. Although, not a “true” hiatus in the strict definition of the word, this has been termed the “global warming hiatus” by IPCC (2013). There have been other periods that have also been defined as the “hiatus” depending on the analysis. There are a number of uncertainties and knowledge gaps regarding the “hiatus.” This report reviews these issues and also posits insights from a collective set of diverse information that helps us understand what we do and do not know. One salient insight is that the GMST phenomenon is a surface characteristic that does not represent a slowdown in warming of the climate system but rather is an energy redistribution within the oceans. Improved understanding of the ocean distribution and redistribution of heat will help better monitor Earth''s energy budget and its consequences. A review of recent scientific publications on the “hiatus” shows the difficulty and complexities in pinpointing the oceanic sink of the “missing heat” from the atmosphere and the upper layer of the oceans, which defines the “hiatus.” Advances in “hiatus” research and outlooks (recommendations) are given in this report.
关键词：Global warming hiatus;Heat energy;Ocean monitoring