文章基本信息

标题：Prospects for narrowing bounds on Earth''s equilibrium climate sensitivity
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作者：Bjorn Stevens ; Steven C. Sherwood ; Sandrine Bony 等
期刊名称：Earth's Future
电子版ISSN：2328-4277
出版年度：2016
卷号：4
期号：11
页码：512-522
DOI：10.1002/2016EF000376
语种：English
出版社：John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
摘要：The concept of Earth''s Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity (ECS) is reviewed. A particular problem in quantifying plausible bounds for ECS has been how to account for all of the diverse lines of relevant scientific evidence. It is argued that developing and refuting physical storylines (hypotheses) for values outside any proposed range has the potential to better constrain these bounds and to help articulate the science needed to narrow the range further. A careful reassessment of all important lines of evidence supporting these storylines, their limitations, and the assumptions required to combine them is therefore required urgently.
关键词：Climate sensitivity;Climate change