文章基本信息

标题：CRIME RATE AND LABOR MARKET CONDITIONS: THEORY AND TIME-SERIES EVIDENCE
本地全文：下载
作者：TADASHI YAMADA ; TETSUJI YAMADA ; JOHAN M. KANG 等
期刊名称：季刊　理論経済学
印刷版ISSN：0557-109X
电子版ISSN：2185-4408
出版年度：1993
卷号：44
期号：3
页码：250-262
出版社：The Japanese Economic Association
摘要：The aim of this paper is to examine the impact of labor market conditions, represented by male civilian unemployment rates, on seven major categories of crime. We propose a theoretical model from which the positive macro relationship between the unemployment rate and the crime rate is explicitly derived. The solution of the proposed model shows the concurrent counter-cyclical movements of the unemployment and crime rates, which is found to be consistent with the US time series data from the first quarter of 1970 to the fourth quarter of 1983. Thus, we propose a view that an increase in the unemployment rate triggers a subsequent increase in the crime rate. Further, we find that the unemployment rate is statistically exogenous in the VAR model, which indicates a fact that there lie the economic forces and motivations behind the positive relationship between the unemployment rate and the crime rate.