文章基本信息

标题：Environmental modelling of visceral leishmaniasis by susceptibility-mapping using neural networks: a case study in north-western Iran
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作者：Mohammadreza Rajabi ; Ali Mansourian ; Petter Pilesjö 等
期刊名称：Geospatial Health
印刷版ISSN：1970-7096
出版年度：2014
卷号：9
期号：1
页码：179-191
DOI：10.4081/gh.2014.15
出版社：PAGEPress Publications
摘要：Visceral leishmaniasis (VL) is a potentially fatal vector-borne zoonotic disease, which has become an increasing public health problem in the north-western part of Iran.This work presents an environmental health modelling approach to map the potential of VL outbreaks in this part of the country.Radial basis functional link networks is used as a data-driven method for predictive mapping of VL in the study area.The high susceptibility areas for VL outbreaks account for 36.3% of the study area and occur mainly in the north (which may affect the neighbouring countries) and South (which is a warning for other provinces in Iran).These parts of the study area have many nomadic, riverside villages.The overall accuracy of the resultant map was 92% in endemic villages.Such susceptibility maps can be used as reconnaissance guides for planning of effective control strategies and identification of possible new VL endemic areas.
关键词：visceral leishmaniasis;environment;geographical information systems;neural networks;Iran.