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标题：Possible Decision Rules to Allocate Quotas and Reservations to Ensure Equity for Nepalese Poor
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作者：Shishir Shakya ; Nabraj Lama
期刊名称：Economic Journal of Development Issues
印刷版ISSN：2091-2285
出版年度：2016
卷号：17
期号：1-2
页码：149-162
出版社：Department of Economics Patan Multiple Campus
摘要：Government of Nepal provides quotas and reservations for women, indigenous nationalities, Madhesi, untouchables, disables and people of backward areas. These statuses are not homogenous in economic sense. We proposed few other decision trees (rules) that can predict household poverty in Nepal based on 14,907 household observations employing classification and regression tree (CART) approach. These decision rules were based on few practically answerable questions (for respondents) and can be cross checked easily by the enumerators. We modeled 5 different scenarios that respondents were likely to answer the asked questions. These decision rules were 94% to in worst-case scenario 70% accurate in out-of-sample dataset. These proposed meaningful decision rules can be helpful on policy making and implementation that relate to positively discriminate (quota and reservation) for those who lie below poverty line. Economic Journal of Development Issues Vol. 17 & 18 No. 1-2 (2014) Combined Issue, Page: 149-162 This research was completed when both authors were pursuing Masters of Arts in Economics in Patan Multiple Campus, Tribhuvan University
关键词：Caste/Ethnicity;Nepal;Poverty and equity;Quotas and reservations;Decision tree