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文章基本信息

  • 标题:An Improved Dynamic Bayesian for Exchange Rate Forecasting
  • 作者:Mingjuan Xu ; Zhengyu Liu
  • 期刊名称:TELKOMNIKA (Telecommunication Computing Electronics and Control)
  • 印刷版ISSN:2302-9293
  • 出版年度:2016
  • 卷号:14
  • 期号:3A
  • 页码:369-374
  • DOI:10.12928/telkomnika.v14i3A.4410
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Universitas Ahmad Dahlan
  • 摘要:A feasibility study of using of Dynamic Bayesian Networks in combination with ARMA modeling in exchange rate prediction is presented. A new algorithm (ARMA-DBN) is constructed and applied to the exchange rate forecast of RMB. Results show that the improved dynamic Bayesian forecast algorithm has better performance than the standard ARMA model.
  • 其他摘要:A feasibility study of using of Dynamic Bayesian Networks in combination with ARMA modeling in exchange rate prediction is presented. A new algorithm (ARMA-DBN) is constructed and applied to the exchange rate forecast of RMB. Results show that the improved dynamic Bayesian forecast algorithm has better performance than the standard ARMA model.
  • 关键词:Dynamic Bayesian Network;ARMA Model;Exchange Rate Forecasting
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