文章基本信息

标题：Estimating Namibias Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate
本地全文：下载
作者：Joel Hinaunye Eita ; Moses Muse Sichei
期刊名称：International Business & Economics Research Journal
印刷版ISSN：1535-0754
电子版ISSN：2157-9393
出版年度：2014
卷号：13
期号：3
页码：561-572
语种：English
出版社：The Clute Institute for Academic Research
摘要：This paper estimates the equilibrium real exchange rate for Namibia for the post independence period (1998 to 2012) using quarterly data. Increases in the ratio of investment to GDP and resource balance are associated with an appreciation of the real exchange rate. The terms of trade causes the real exchange rate to depreciate, which suggests that the substitution effect was dominant over the income effect. The real exchange rate adjusts to equilibrium rate while the speed of adjustment indicates that it takes about 4.4 quarters or 1.1 years for 50 percent of the deviation from the equilibrium to be corrected. There were periods of undervaluation and overvaluation of the real exchange, which means that the real exchange rate experienced misalignment.
关键词：Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate;Namibia;Cointegration;Misalignment;Fundamentals