文章基本信息

标题：Fuzzy Approach to Estimates Entropy and Risks for Innovative Projects and Programs
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作者：Vladimir Chernov ; Luidmyla Dorokhova ; Oleksandr Dorokhov 等
期刊名称：Montenegrin Journal of Economics
印刷版ISSN：1800-5845
电子版ISSN：1800-6698
出版年度：2016
卷号：12
期号：3
页码：55-68
DOI：10.14254/1800-5845.2016/12-3/4
出版社：Economic Laboratory for Transition Research Podgorica
摘要：The article deals with the development and implementation of innovativedevelopment programs as an ordered sequence of decisionmaking.Innovations are considered as a specific form of chaos ordisorder in the transition to a new level of development. As known,innovative projects have a high level of internal and external uncertainties.Therefore they are difficult for evaluated using classicalmathematical methods. In this case authors proposed to use fuzzyentropy for the selection of innovative projects. It can successfullyact as important mathematically justified criteria permitting controversialselection of the projects. The paper presents definition offuzzy entropy and corresponding formulation of the problem. Numericalexample of fuzzy entropy calculation under conditions ofuncertainty has been given. Then also has been developed fuzzyapproach for evaluating the risk of innovative projects in the conditionsof uncertainty. Presents the general formulation of the problem,describes the ways of it solutions, presented graphical interpretationand analyzed the results. Thus, for evaluating risks ofinvestment projects can be used the apparatus of fuzzy sets whichtakes into account the non-recurring conditions and a high level ofuncertainty in their implementation. Considered approach allowsselect projects eligible for inclusion in innovative development program.This selection taking into account the regional innovationpotential, the presence of uncertainties with the different nature ofthe occurrence
关键词：innovative program;regional development;economic uncertainly;fuzzy entropy;fuzzy risk