文章基本信息

标题：A Forecasting Model for Feed Grain Demand Based on Combined Dynamic Model
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作者：Tiejun Yang ; Na Yang ; Chunhua Zhu 等
期刊名称：Computational Intelligence and Neuroscience
印刷版ISSN：1687-5265
电子版ISSN：1687-5273
出版年度：2016
卷号：2016
DOI：10.1155/2016/5329870
出版社：Hindawi Publishing Corporation
摘要：In order to improve the long-term prediction accuracy of feed grain demand, a dynamic forecast model of long-term feed grain demand is realized with joint multivariate regression model, of which the correlation between the feed grain demand and its influence factors is analyzed firstly; then the change trend of various factors that affect the feed grain demand is predicted by using ARIMA model. The simulation results show that the accuracy of proposed combined dynamic forecasting model is obviously higher than that of the grey system model. Thus, it indicates that the proposed algorithm is effective.