Considering the complexity of problems connected with modern management of organizations, , the authors attempted to prove that the environment of the organization does significantly determine its development, functioning and financial security. The study was conducted with the use of scenario analysis , as well as trend extrapolation. The applied methods enabled investigation of macro – environmental factors of the organization in terms of their strategic effect on its functioning. The examined scenario analyses of the environmental status definitely proved that in the majority of analyses the key role is played by the international, economic and political and competitive areas.