Sleeping with the enemy: the economic cost of internal environmental conflicts.
Cherry, Todd L. ; Cotten, Stephen J.
I. INTRODUCTION
In 1996, a conflict emerged between Watauga County, NC, and its
county seat, the Town of Boone, over the cost of an environmental
cleanup. The problem arose when inspectors found the county landfill was
leaking cancer-causing pollutants into nearby wells, and mandated its
closure at an expected cost of $2.6 million. Though owned by Watauga
County at the time contaminants were discovered, Boone had operated the
landfill for over 30 years before the county assumed control in 1985.
Furthermore, the town remained a heavy user of the landfill after
control was given to the county. Breakdown of negotiations led to a
federal lawsuit under the Comprehensive Environmental Response,
Compensation and Liability Act--i.e., Superfund. The irony of the
conflict is that town residents, who comprise about 35% of the
county's 42,000 residents, supported both sides of the contest with
their tax revenue while anticipating they would bear some of the
financial responsibility regardless of the outcome. (1)
The theory of rent-seeking provides insights on the economic
consequences of individuals or groups competing with one another to win
a rent. Pioneered by Tullock (1967, 1980), the theory suggests that
efforts to secure a rent, such as lobbying, litigation, and
investigations, tend to be wasteful because they are redistributive
rather than productive. (2) Katz, Nitzan, and Rosenberg (1990) and
Ursprung (1990) extended the theory to explore collective rent-seeking,
i.e., contests between groups of individuals, in which individuals
decide the extent of participation in the groups' efforts.
Subsequent work on collective rent-seeking has extended the
investigation in various directions, such as characteristics of group
sharing rules (Lee 1993; Nitzan 1991), intra-group mobility (Baik and
Lee 1997, 2001), the rent being a pure public good (Baik 1993; Riaz et
al. 1995), or some mixture of a public-private good (Esteban and Ray
2001). Previous research, however, has focused on variants of contests
involving two independent groups and has yet to consider contests
between interdependent groups (i.e., a group and a subset of itself).
Such internal conflicts are not uncommon. Examples of internal conflicts
include a $268+ million conflict between California and a group of 14
California cities over the responsibility of contamination at the
Monterey Park Landfill; a recent legal battle between California and San
Francisco over same-sex marriage laws; and more generally, a college
competing with one of its departments to secure resources from the
university administration. (3)
The purpose of this paper is to extend the collective rent-seeking
literature by introducing the possibility that competing groups may he
interdependent. We develop a model of conflict between nonautonomous
groups and find that strategic individual behavior, and the resulting
rent dissipation, is affected by the relative size of the groups. We
visit the lab to test the model and find that observed laboratory
behavior corresponds well with the comparative statics predicted by
theory. While previous experimental studies have explored contests
between individuals, we provide the first laboratory investigation of
contests between groups, allowing us to incorporate the effect of
intra-group dynamics on behavior. We find greater levels of cooperation
than theory predicts--a result consistent with the experimental evidence
on social dilemmas.
II. THEORETICAL MODEL
Following the collective rent-seeking literature (e.g., Baik 1994;
Lee 1995; Nitzan 1991), consider a conflict between two groups, in which
the groups compete for a fixed prize, which is a pure private good that
can be divided among group members. Assume for simplicity that the
entire prize goes to the victorious group and will be subject to a
sharing rule wherein each member of the victorious group receives an
equal share of the prize. Knowing this, group members voluntarily and
individually decide the level of effort spent in the conflict. We extend
this now by considering the conflict is between a group and a subset of
that group.
For conceptual ease, define the competing group and subset of that
group respectively as county and town. Those county members that are not
part of the town are defined as rural. Let the population of the county
be m and the population of the town be n, and necessarily m [greater
than or equal to] n, with no inter-group mobility. (4) Therefore, the
rural population is (m - n) and the relative size of the town to county
is ([phi] = n/m). A conflict, between county and town, erupts over an
exogenous prize, g, (e.g., the avoided cost of environmental cleanup).
Individuals may exert costly effort to influence the outcome of the
conflict. Assuming individuals exert effort for one side of the
conflict, we stratify individual effort by town and rural membership.
Let individual effort of each town member be [x.sup.t.sub.i] where i =
{1 ..... n} and that of each rural member be [x.sup.r.sub.j] where j =
{1,..., m- n}. Individuals are identical, and thus we refer to the
individual efforts of representative town and rural members as [x.sup.t]
and [x.sup.r], respectively. Total group effort, town and rural, is the
sum of individual members' effort and denoted as [X.sup.t] for town
and [X.sup.r] for rural. (5)
Group payoffs are dictated by one of two possible outcomes of the
conflict--county (6) wins or town wins. When either group wins, it
avoids some or all of the cleanup costs and the other group pays the
remaining bill with the intragroup sharing rule exogenously set at
sharing costs equally among members of the liable group. (7) Again,
stratifying by town and nontown (rural) membership, the town pays g if
the county wins, while the rural group pays 0. If the town wins, the
town and rural groups pay in proportion to their sizes--the town paying
n (g/m) and the rural group paying (m - n)(g/m). Individually, if the
county wins, town members pay g/n and rural members pay 0. If the town
wins, all members of the county (town and rural) pay g/m.
Let [p.sup.t]([X.sup.t], [X.sup.r]) represent the probability of
success for the town, with [p.sup.r]([X.sup.t], [X.sup.r]) representing
that for the rural group. Following the contest literature, assume a
logit functional form for the group probability functions (see Dixit
1987; Tullock 1980). The logit contest-success function captures the
dynamic that relative effort influences the likelihood of winning. The
probabilities for success are:
(1) [MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII]
We now explore equilibrium effort levels in this internal conflict.
At the level of the individual, the expected cost of the ith member of
town is
(2) [MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII]
and the corresponding expected costs to the jth member of the rural
group is
(3) [MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII].
Individuals are identical, risk neutral, and select effort levels
to minimize their corresponding objective functions. The first order
conditions provide reaction functions for the individuals of each
competing group, by which we solve for two equilibria. (8) First, to
establish a baseline, we solve a within-group cooperative equilibrium
that represents an individual's contribution to the best response
of their group to the actions of the other group, which is akin to
members cooperating--voluntarily or through the coercion of a benevolent planner--to achieve the group's best response. Next, we solve a
noncooperative Nash equilibrium that represents an individual's
self-interested contribution to the group, which allows individuals to
free-fide on their fellow member contributions. The two solutions
indicate the role of free-tiding in the conflict, which is later tested
in the lab.
A. Cooperative
The cooperative individual reaction functions are calculated from
Equations (2)and (3) by determining the best response by the
representative member of a cooperative group taking the actions of the
opposing group members as given. That is, the town members act as a
singleton and choose [X.sup.t] to minimize [nc.sup.t.sub.i] given the
effort level of the rural group. Likewise, the rural group chooses
[X.sup.r] to minimize (m- n)[c.sup.r.sub.i] given the effort level of
the town. Because the members are identical, the total effort is divided
symmetrically by each group. Therefore, the cooperative reaction
function of a town's member, given a positive effort no greater
than the cost of the cleanup is (9)
(4) [x.sup.t][x.sup.r]) = [[square root of g[(m -
n).sup.2]/[mn.sup.2]] - [(m - n)/n] [x.sup.r]
and the cooperative reaction function of a rural group member,
given a positive effort no greater than the cost of the cleanup is
(5) [x.sup.r]([x.sup.r]) = [[square root of gn [x.sup.t]/m(m - n)]]
- [n/m-n)] - [x.sup.t].
Solving for the equilibrium provides the expected expenditure of
each individual in the conflict when group members are cooperating
(voluntarily or not) to act on behalf of their group. With each
individual symmetrically and simultaneously minimizing their
group's expected costs with effort levels, cleanup costs, and
relative populations being common knowledge, we have the following
cooperative equilibrium:
(6) [MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII]
[FIGURE 1 OMITTED]
Figure 1 illustrates the individual reaction functions and the
corresponding cooperative [MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN
ASCII], for given levels of n relative to m. The population of the
county is normalized to unity such that relative populations are
described solely by n. Equilibria are characterized by the intersection
of the reaction functions at each level of n (the specific values of n
displayed are arbitrarily chosen at 0.25, 0.5, and 0.75).
B. Noncooperative
The noncooperative individual reaction functions are calculated
from Equations (2) and (3) by determining the best response of an
individual group member taking the actions of other members in her group
and all members in the opposing group as given. Again, individuals are
symmetric so group members will behave the same. The noncooperative
reaction function of the town's representative member and the rural
group's representative member, given a positive effort no greater
than the cost of the cleanup, is:
(7) [x.sup.t]([x.sup.r]) = (m -n)/n ([square root of g[x.sup.r]/mn]
- [x.sup.r])
(8) [x.sup.r]([x.sup.t]) = [square root of gmn[x.sup.t]]/m(m -n) -
n/(m - n) [x.sup.t.].
Solving for the noncooperative Nash equilibrium provides the
expected expenditure of each individual without the presence of
voluntary or coerced cooperation. With each individual simultaneously
minimizing their own expected costs with effort levels, cleanup costs,
and relative populations being common knowledge, we have the following
noncooperative Nash equilibrium:
(9) [MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII]
Figure 2 depicts the noncooperative reaction functions and the
individual Nash equilibria, for given levels of n relative to m. As in
Figure 1, the population of the county is normalized to unity such that
relative populations are described solely by n, and equilibria for
specific values of n are provided.
Theory provides hypotheses on how the relative size of the internal
group affects effort in internal conflicts. For the cooperative case,
Figure 3 depicts relationship between effort levels and the relative
size of the internal group respective to the overall group size. As
illustrated, effort by an internal group member is negatively related to
the relative size of the internal group, (10) and the effort by an
external member is invariant to the relative size of the internal group.
Thus we have two cooperative research hypotheses:
* Cooperative Internal Hypothesis: Individual effort by internal
group (town) members declines with relative increases in the internal
group size.
* Cooperative External Hypothesis: Individual effort of those
outside the internal group (rural) is invariant to relative increases in
the internal group size.
[FIGURE 3 OMITTED]
Turning to the noncooperative case, Figure 4 illustrates the
relationship between effort levels and the relative size of the internal
group respective to the overall group size. As in the cooperative case,
effort by an internal group member remains negatively related to the
relative size of the internal group, II though the noncooperative Nash
equilibrium predicts lower absolute effort levels across the board due
to the presence of free-riding. Unlike the cooperative case, effort by
an external member is positively related to the relative size of the
internal group. Thus we have the following two noncooperative research
hypotheses:
* Noncooperative Internal Hypothesis: Individual effort by internal
group (town) members declines with relative increases in the internal
group size.
* Noncooperative External Hypothesis: Individual effort of those
outside the internal group (rural) increases with relative increases in
the relative size of the internal group size.
[FIGURE 4 OMITTED]
Figure 5 illustrates how relative group size affects total effort.
In both cooperative and noncooperative cases, total effort is inversely
related to the relative size of the internal group. Further, the
presence of within-group strategic behavior in the noncooperative
equilibrium causes total effort to be lower in the noncooperative case
across all levels of the internal group's relative size.
III. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN
Subjects were recruited from the undergraduate student body at a
large public university to participate in a computerized contest game.
(12)
[FIGURE 5 OMITTED]
After entering the lab, participants signed a consent form
acknowledging their voluntary participation while agreeing to abide by the instructions. All subjects were unfamiliar with contest games, and
written protocols ensured uniformity in procedures.
A. Basics
We conducted three treatments, each consisting of two sessions. In
each session, 16 subjects were randomly placed in groups of four (m =
4). Group members were not identified to one another, and communication
was not allowed among subjects. A monitor read the experimental
instructions aloud while the subjects followed along with individual
copies. The instructions concluded with a series of questions and
answers that reinforced subject understanding. After being endowed with
25 tokens, group members contended for a prize of 80 tokens (g = 80).
The probability function of a group winning the contest, [p.sup.t],
and [p.sup.r] was common knowledge, and equaled the ratio of the
group's effort to total effort expended by all groups. Individual
member contributions to group effort, [x.sub.i] and [x.sup.j], were
costly--one token paid for one unit of effort. Using their endowment,
subjects simultaneously chose how much effort to contribute to their
group's effort. Group effort, [X.sup.t] and [X.sup.r], the total
effort contributed by members, was announced, along with the resulting
probabilities for each group winning the prize. A random draw determined
the winner, and individual payoffs were announced and recorded.
Subsequent rounds followed with a new endowment and contest, with a
total of 20 rounds. Groups were randomly reassigned after each round to
minimize reputation effects. This, along with subject anonymity and no
communication, minimizes the likelihood of coordination and cooperation
and supports the prospects for observing individual Nash behavior. After
the final round, subjects received their earnings in cash and in
private, and left the lab one-by-one without any discussion.
B. Treatments
The experimental design involves three treatments, each varying by
the size of the subgroup ([phi] = n/m). We vary n, while all other
parameters remain constant (m = 4, g = 80, p(*)), and we observe
individual and group effort. In each treatment, each group of four
contends with a subset of itself with the size of the subset varying
across treatments; [phi] = 0.25, 0.50, or 0.75. (13)
C. Predictions and Hypotheses
Using the cooperative equilibrium expressed in Equation (6), we
identify the theoretically predicted individual effort by town members
(i.e., internal group members) as: 15 tokens when [phi] = 0.25; 5 tokens
when [phi] = 0.50; and 1.67 tokens when [phi] = 0.75. Predicted
individual effort by those outside the subgroup, or rural members, is 5
tokens in all treatments. Using the noncooperative Nash equilibrium
expressed in Equation (9), we identify the theoretically predicted
individual effort by town members (i.e., internal group members) as:
11.25 tokens when [phi] = 0.25; 2.5 tokens when [phi] = 0.50; and 0.417
tokens when [phi] = 0.75. Predicted individual effort by rural members
is: 1.25 tokens when [phi] = 0.25; 2.5 tokens when [phi] = 0.50; and
3.75 tokens when [phi] = 0.75. Note the specific predictions correspond
to the previously presented research hypotheses.
IV. RESULTS
Table 1 provides the mean individual effort levels for town and
rural group members in each treatment, along with a summary of the
cooperative and noncooperative predictions given the experimental
parameters. Table 1 also reports the predicted and observed relative
effort levels, which are defined as the difference between the mean
effort expended by the town and rural members (e.g., a difference of
zero indicates symmetric effort).
Results from the lab provide strong support for the noncooperative
research hypotheses. As the relative size of the internal group
increased, the effort expended by town members declined and the effort
expended by rural members increased. Specifically, when the internal
group was 25, 50, and 75% of the overall group, the internal group
members (town) spent 13.86, 6.18, and 4.88 units of effort and those
outside the internal group (rural) spent 3.61, 7.97, and 9.48 units.
These results hold if we consider all 20 rounds or only the final five
rounds of the session.
Reviewing the numbers in Table 1 more closely reveals a close
correspondence between observed mean effort levels and the specific
game-theoretic predictions. In treatment one (phi] = 0.25), mean effort
by town and rural members fell between the cooperative and
noncooperative predictions, but over time, effort declined and
approached the noncooperative predictions. In the final five rounds,
town and rural members contributed 11.55 and 2.60 units of effort, which
correspond closely to the noncooperative predictions of 11.25 and 1.25
units. With the parameters of treatment one, theory predicts asymmetric effort by town and rural members with a town member expending 10.0 more
units of effort than a rural member. Actual numbers match up extremely
well, with town members' mean contribution being 10.25 more than
that of rural members.
Predictions in treatment two ([phi] = 0.50) call for symmetric
effort by town and rural members -5.0 units in the cooperative solution
and 2.5 units in the noncooperative solution. Mean individual effort
levels observed in the lab were 6.18 and 7.97 for town and rural
members, but fell to 5.60 and 6.23 units in the final five rounds.
Subjects appear to be exhibiting less free-riding than predicted by
theory. Results concerning relative effort levels are consistent with
the symmetric prediction--the difference in mean effort by town and
rural members is 1.79 over all rounds, and this difference falls to 0.62
in the final five rounds.
Observed effort levels in treatment three ([phi] = 0.75) are
consistently above the cooperative (and noncooperative) predictions,
even in the latter rounds. Actual individual effort levels for town and
rural members were 4.88 and 9.48 units across all rounds, consistently
greater than the cooperative predictions of 1.67 and 5.0 units and the
noncooperative predictions of 0.42 and 3.75 units. Though effort being
above predicted levels is common is the experimental literature
(Onctiler and Croson 2005), we suspect the inflated effort levels
observed in treatment three is largely due to boundary effects (e.g.,
Andreoni 1995; Chan et al. 1994). Thus, relative effort levels may be
more instructive. (14) We expect, according to theory, a town member
will contribute 3.33 fewer units of effort than a rural member. We
observe that town members contributed 4.60 less.
We turn to a conditional analysis of individual effort levels to
confirm these initial impressions. Table 2 reports the results from the
following empirical model:
(10) [E.sub.it] = [[alpha].sub.i] [[theta].sub.i] t [[omega].sub.i]
[u.sub.i] + [[epsilon].sub.it],
where the dependent variable, [E.sub.i], denotes the ith
subject's effort level toward the conflict in period t,
[[theta].sub.i] is a vector of binary variables signifying the size of
the internal group of subject i's conflict ([phi] = 0.50 or 0.75;
[phi] = 0.25 omitted); [[omega].sub.i] is a vector of interaction
variables that captures the relative effect of internal group size on
internal group members, [[psi].sub.t] is a set of T - 1 dummies that
capture potential nonlinear period effects; [u.sub.i] are random effects which control for unobservable individual characteristics; [alpha] is
the constant term; and [[epsilon].sub.it] is the contemporaneous additive error term.
Table 2 reports the results from three models: a pooled model using
the full model described in Equation (10), and two reduced models using
stratified data according to group membership (town and rural). (15) The
conditional estimates confirm our initial impressions that the
experimental investigation provides strong support for the
noncooperative research hypotheses. From the town model, results
indicate that the effort expended by internal group members is
negatively related to the size of the internal group, which is
consistent with both the cooperative and noncooperative internal
hypotheses. Estimated coefficients indicate that effort by an internal
group member decreases 7.68 units as the relative size of the internal
group increases from 25 to 50% (p = 0.027), and decreases 8.98 units as
the relative size increases from 25 to 75% (p = 0.006). These estimated
treatment effects correspond well to the noncooperative game-theoretic
predictions of 9.75 and 10.83 units.
Results from the rural model find that the effort levels of those
outside the internal group are positively related to the relative size
of the internal group, which is consistent with the noncooperative
external hypothesis and inconsistent with the cooperative external
member hypothesis. Estimates suggest that effort by those outside the
internal group increases 4.36 units as the relative size of the internal
group increases from 25 to 50% (p = 0.030), and increases 5.86 units as
the relative size increases from 25 to 75% (p = 0.021). The estimated
treatment effects are larger than predicted (1.25 and 2.5 units), and we
suspect this finding is related to observed effort being inflated by a
boundary effect. Results from the pooled model suggest this may be the
case. (16)
As illustrated in Table 2, the conditional estimates from the
pooled model show the gametheoretic predictions are extremely accurate
in describing relative behavior between competing members. The
coefficients associated with the interaction vector reveal the estimated
difference in effort between town and rural members conditioned on
treatment effects and unobserved. subject and period effects, and these
differences closely match predicted behavior across all treatments. In
treatment two (([phi] = 0.50), estimates indicate town members
contributed 10.25 more units of effort than rural members (p = 0.000),
which matches the prediction of 10 units. Also consistent with theory,
in treatment three ([phi] = 0.75), estimates find statistically
equivalent, i.e., symmetric, effort by town and rural members (p =
0.459). And while marginal in significance, estimates concerning
treatment four ([phi] = 0.75) indicate town members contributed 4.60
fewer units of effort than rural members (p = 0.1 16), which corresponds
well to the predicted 3.33 units.
V. CONCLUSIONS
Conflicts often arise between two interdependent groups, in which
one group competes with a subset of itself (e.g., a conflict between a
town and county over environmental cleanup costs). This paper extends
the literature on collective rent-seeking to consider the possibility of
this type of conflict. Theory suggests that rent dissipation decreases
as the relative size of the internal group increases, and that members
of the internal group respond differently to the presence of an internal
conflict than those outside the internal group. The Nash equilibrium
effort level expended by members of the subgroup is inversely related to
the relative size of the subgroup, while the equilibrium effort expended
by those outside the subgroup depends on the presence of within-group
cooperation. If members cooperate on behalf of the group, effort by
those outside the internal group is unaffected by the relative size of
the internal group. Without cooperation (i.e., free-riding), effort by
members outside the internal group is positively related to the size of
the internal group increases.
Exploring the theoretical predictions in the lab, we find the Nash
equilibrium concept is a strong predictor of observed behavior in a
setting of internal conflicts. Experimental results support the general
hypotheses arising from theory, particularly the noncooperative Nash
solutions. As the relative size of the internal group increased, members
of the internal group decreased contributions of effort and members
outside the internal group increased effort.
doi: 10.1111/j.1465-7295.2010.00329.x
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(1.) A 1995 pre-lawsuit agreement fell through because the town
judged that the expenses were unreasonable and the work was performed by
an unqualified firm. The town then offered a lump sum of $326,700, but
in response, the county filed suit against the town in federal court. In
a press release, a town council member states "this lawsuit is an
act of aggression, and forces the town to respond aggressively."
The town passes a resolution to disconnect water and sewer services to
county facilities and the mayor argues in public that "town members
are not second class citizens and should not be subject to double
taxation." The town loses in court, and the 1999 consent order
requires the town to provide the following: $225,000 to the county for
recovery of remediation costs, $45,000 per year for 10 years with the
funds mandated to support public parks, and free water and sewer service
for 10 years to the nine homes affected by the contamination. The town
must also rescind the resolution (i.e., threat) to disconnect
water-sewer service to county facilities.
(2.) See Garfinkel and Skaperdas (2007) and Konrad (2007) for a
review of contest models and the theoretical literature.
(3.) Other examples include a $1.5 million conflict between
Buffalo, NY and one of its neighborhoods (Hickory Woods Community) over
the responsibility of 60 homes located on a contaminated site and a $4.2
million conflict between New York and New York City over an order to
develop or sell 111 community lots. Also, Blackwell and McKee (2003)
consider the competition for resources to fund a local or global public
good.
(4.) We do not incorporate inter-group mobility. See Baik and Lee
(1997, 2001) for studies that examine inter-group mobility in a
collective rent-seeking model.
(5.) Effort and cost is assumed to be unitary, and relative
populations inherently dictate relative abilities of groups. This
corresponds to the notion greater population leads to greater resources
(e.g., money, political influence, etc.).
(6.) Rural (nontown) members dictate the effort exerted by the
county, and are the members who benefit from the county winning. If
aggregating the costs over all members of the county, the county pays
the same cost of cleanup in both outcomes.
(7.) Nitzan (1991) provides a study of differential sharing rules,
while Lee (1993) considers the adoption of an egalitarian sharing rule.
Lee (1995) is the first study that models endogenously determined
sharing rules, finding the Nash equilibrium sharing rule is to
distribute rents to members according to their relative effort.
(8.) Second order sufficient conditions are satisfied by the
convexity of expected costs in effort. Given individuals are identical,
and thus individuals on the same side of the conflict should behave
identically, we refer to the behavior of a group member as the behavior
of each member in the group.
(9.) Properties of the individual reaction functions dictate if the
competing group's individual effort is zero, the reaction function
for each individual is an infinitesimal positive number. When the
competing group's individual expends an effort greater than their
cleanup cost, the reaction function is equal to zero for each
individual.
(10.) Mathematically, from Equation (6), the cooperative
equilibrium expressed in terms of relative group size is [MATHEMATICAL
EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] AS such [MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION
NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII]
(11.) From Equation (9), the noncooperative equilibrium expressed
in terms of relative group size [MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT
REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII]. Note, while the cooperative and noncooperative
solutions suggest effort is negatively related to relative group size,
the opportunity to free-ride yields lower effort in the noncooperative
solution across all ranges of discrete changes in relative group size.
(12.) The experiment was programmed and conducted with the
experiment software z-Tree (Fischbacher, 2007).
(13.) Given we provide the first experimental test of contests
between groups, we verified the experimental design by conducting a
pilot treatment that had a conflict between two autonomous groups. We do
not include this treatment in the analysis because, theoretically, the
autonomous and nonautonomous cases are not continuously related, and
experimentally, the transition from one four-person group competing with
a subset of itself differs from two four-person groups (eight people
total) competing with each other. Mean observed effort levels by town
and rural members were 5.97 and 6.54, which corresponds well to the
theoretical prediction of symmetric effort, but more closely matches the
cooperative prediction of 5 units than the noncooperative prediction of
1.25 units. This result is consistent with previous experimental work
that finds greater levels of group cooperation in social dilemmas than
theory predicts (see Cherry. Kroll, and Shogren 2005 and Ledyard 1995).
(14.) Andreoni (1995) discusses this issue within the context of a
zero-contribution-equilibrium public good game. While the model's
parameters were chosen to minimize the potential for boundary effects
across treatments, treatment three has cooperative and noncooperative
solutions of 1.67 and 0.42 within a decision space of 0-25.
(15.) Subject-specific random effects were highly significant for
all models (p < 0.001), while period-specific fixed effects were
marginally significant (p = 0.07) in the town and pooled models and
insignificant in the rural model (p = 0.82). For consistency, estimation
of the rural model included period fixed-effects; though results were
consistent across all panel specifications.
(16.) We note that the presence of a boundary effect undermines the
ability of the experimental investigation to test the impact of group
interdependence on total group effort.
TODD L. CHERRY and STEPHEN J. COTTEN *
* We would like to thank Kyung Baik, John Conlon, David Finnoff,
David McEvoy, Michael McKee, Jason Shogren, John Stranlund, and seminar
participants at the University of Tennessee and University of
Massachusetts-Amherst for helpful comments. We appreciate the financial
support from the Walker College of Business at Appalachian State
University and the College of Business Administration at the University
of Tennessee, and research support from Shillang Deng and Luke Jones.
Cherty: Professor of Economics, Department of Economics,
Appalachian State University, Boone, NC 28608-2051. Phone 828-262-6081,
Fax 828-262-6105, E-mail
[email protected]
Cotten: Assistant Professor of Economics, Department of Economics
and Finance, University of Houston-Clear Lake, Houston, TX 77058. Phone
281 283 3207, Fax 281 283 3951, E-mail
[email protected]
TABLE 1
Predicted and Observed Individual Effort Levels by Group
Cooperative Noncooperative
Predicted Effort Predicted Effort
Treatment Town Rural Town Rural
Absolute effort
[phi] = 0.25 15.0 5.0 11.25 1.25
[phi] = 0.50 5.0 5.0 2.5 2.5
[phi] = 0.75 1.67 5.0 0.42 3.75
Treatment Diff(Town--Rural) Diff(Town--Rural)
Relative effort
[phi] = 0.25 10.0 10.0
[phi] = 0.50 0.0 0.0
[phi] = 0.75 -3.33 -3.33
Observed Effort Observed Effort
(All Rounds) (Last 5 Rounds)
Treatment Town Rural Town Rural
Absolute effort
[phi] = 0.25 13.86 3.61 11.55 2.60
[phi] = 0.50 6.18 7.97 5.60 6.23
[phi] = 0.75 4.88 9.48 4.20 9.55
Treatment Diff(Town--Rural) Diff(Town--Rural)
Relative effort
[phi] = 0.25 10.25 8.95
[phi] = 0.50 -1.79 -0.63
[phi] = 0.75 -4.60 -5.35
TABLE 2
Results from Panel Estimation of Treatment
Effects
Group Membership
Town Rural Pooled
Intercept 15.84 5.40 5.50
(0.000) (0.000) (0.000)
Relative group size
[phi] = 0.50 -7.68 4.36 4.36
(0.027) (0.030) (0.060)
[phi] = 0.75 -8.98 5.86 5.86
(0.006) (0.021) (0.045)
Group membership
* Group size
Group B * [phi] = 0.25 10.25
(0.000)
Group B * [phi] = 0.50 -1.79
(0.481)
Group B * [phi] = 0.75 -4.60
(0.116)
[chi square] 33.69 66.22 70.71
(p-value) (0.0391) (0.0000) (0.0000)
N 480 480 960
Notes: Dependent variable is individual effort, panel
estimates with individual and period effects.
Figures beneath the coefficient estimates are p-values.