Classes and agrarian transition in Pakistan.
Khan, Mahmood Hasan
This is a study of class formation and agrarian transition in
Pakistan. The process of class differentiation under way is a
manifestation of capitalist development. The agrarian transition in
Pakistan is reflected by the disintegration of the peasant and feudal systems. The approach adopted in this paper demystifies the process of
agricultural development in an underdeveloped country where, with the
expansion of forces of production, the precapitalist relations of
production are slowly dissolving. It should also help in discovering the
mechanism by which agricultural surplus is extracted from direct
producers and rural poverty is perpetuated.
1. INTRODUCTION
The historical role of agriculture in the process of capitalist
development is well known: it provides surpluses of output and manpower
for initiating industrialization. Development is initially fuelled by
increased agricultural productivity and transfer of surplus for profits
and capital accumulation. (1) Rapid development of the forces of
production in agriculture is then the most important task for the
underdeveloped countries. It is also true that as the forces of
production develop they bring about changes in the (social) relations of
production. In a predominantly rural society, the agrarian structure
undergoes a process of (class) differentiation, in which are embedded the seeds of uneven development. A study of the nature and direction of
the process of (capitalist) development in an underdeveloped country
should therefore highlight the process of class formation and agrarian
transition.
In this study, we propose to study the nature and evolution of the
agrarian transition in Pakistan. The agrarian structure in Pakistan is
highly differentiated, characterized by asymmetrical relations between
direct producers and those who own and control the means of production (land and capital). The process of class differentiation under way in
the agricultural sector is a manifestation of capitalist development,
created by the market forces and technology, and supported by public
policy. This differentiation is increasingly based on the acquisition of
capital by capitalist farmers and exploitation of the landless and
near-landless peasants. The agrarian transition in Pakistan is reflected
by the disintegration of the peasant (family farms) and feudal
(landlord-sharecropper) systems.
There are two related objectives of this study. First, we develop a
typology of peasantry in Pakistan, using the unequal endowments of land
and labour as the main criteria for class differentiation. Secondly, we
analyse the process of agrarian transition toward a capitalist
agriculture, with particular emphasis on the underlying forces hastening
this process. The orthodox literature on agricultural development
assumes a priori voluntary contractual agreements (tenures) on land
between profit-maximizing individuals. There is, however, a
well-developed body of dissenting literature which emphasizes the social
relations of production, in which the contractual arrangements are not
symmetrical and hence the differentiation of classes among farmers or
peasants. The development of agriculture, within a framework of private
property in land, is then seen as a contradictory process in which the
class antagonisms sharpen with the development of the forces of
production. (2) We subscribe to this latter point of view in
understanding the agrarian transition in Pakistan.
Since at each stage in our argument we plan to use empirical
evidence "facts"--we should point out here the problems we
have encountered in making use of the available (official) data. The
usual caveats about quality of almost all published and unpublished data
apply in Pakistan as in any other underdeveloped country. Further, the
decennial censuses of population and agriculture, and the periodic
national surveys, provide no direct information on farm households on
the basis of ownership and use of land. Then there are no satisfactory
data or estimates of the number and status of the landless agricultural
workers. Finally, we have not found, at least for our purposes, complete
or consistent data for each of the four provinces of Pakistan, namely,
the Punjab, Sind, the North-Western Frontier Province (N.W.F.P.), and
Baluchistan. We have, therefore, generalised on the basis of the
evidence mainly from the Punjab and Sind and occasionally from the
N.W.F.P. It should be noted that the Punjab and Sind, which constitute
the Indus basin, contribute over 80 percent of the national agricultural
output, and a vast majority of farms are also located in these
provinces. (3)
2. A TYPOLOGY OF CLASSES
The neoclassical paradigm rests on a world-view in which the
individual makes "free" and "independent" choices
among alternatives for the "best" outcome in economic
relations with other individuals. Development is then a
market-adjustment process, in which the economy tends to move--guided by
the "invisible hand" from one (Pareto optimal) equilibrium to
the next at a higher level of welfare. It is within this framework that
the various tenancy relations about land have been explained. However,
such a theory has little, if any, explanation for the co-existence of a
variety of production relations or tenurial arrangements in agriculture.
It is still less adequate in explaining the dynamics of the agrarian
transition. (4)
The alternative paradigm is based on the premise that the
individual is neither completely independent nor free, but acts as a
member of the group within a complex set of relationships: individual
choices are made only within a social context. According to this point
of view, the dialectical historical process provides probably the only
satisfactory route in understanding the differentiation of peasantry (or
class formation) and agrarian transition to capitalism. (5)
The concept of class formation is central to the understanding of
the tendency of a pre-capitalist (feudal and peasant) agriculture to
transform into a capitalist state. Class as a concept is embedded in the
dichotomy between the ownership of means of production (land and
capital) by some and the exploitation of the labour power of others
(peasants and workers). It is an asymmetrical relationship, historically
determined by the endogenous interaction of the forces of production and
(social) relations of production. We use this dichotomy as a basis for
identifying agrarian classes. (6) As shown in Chart 1, there are at
present five distinct classes in the agricultural sector of Pakistan.
Their salient features need some explanation here.
(1) Landlords. They own large areas of land, and rent out almost
all of it in small percels to landless share-croppers. Landlords do not
rent or lease land from others. Labour is provided entirely by the
sharecropper's household. Landlords neither work for themselves nor
provide their labour to others. Their overlordship on land is exercised
mainly through their agents (supervisors), and sharecroppers play no
role in production decisions. Profit and wage as economic rewards do not
here exist. Primordial (or traditional) factors, not economic
considerations, play a central role in determining the landlord-tenant
nexus, including their shares in output.
(2) Capitalist Farmers (Rich Peasants). The capitalist farmers may
own most or some of the land they cultivate and rent or lease a part
from others. They do not normally rent out or lease their land to
others. Others' labour is the basis of production and source of
surplus value for capitalist farmers. Landless workers ("free"
labour) are hired for wages. Rich peasants do not sell their labour
power to others. They work on their land as entrepreneurs par
excellence: they organise production, supervise "free" labour,
and engage in innovation. Profits and wages appear as basic economic
categories in the distribution of output, although rent still remains an
important component of income.
(3) Family Farmers (Poor and Middle Peasants). This class consists
of households, who may own, rent or lease part of the land they
cultivate. They may even rent or lease out part of their land to others.
However, these landowners depend almost entirely on family or household
labour for production: they usually do not work for others, nor do they
hire others to work on their farms. These farmers are probably nearnest
to the Chayanovian peasant who operates a family farm, and has shown
great resilience in the face of capitalist development of agriculture.
(4) Sharecroppers (Tenants). Landless sharecroppers rent all the
land they cultivate and share the output often in kind with landlords on
some traditionally determined basis. This class may include some poor
peasants (marginal landowners) who must supplement their income by
sharecropping on small parcels of land they rent in from others.
Sharecroppers do not hire labour and depend entirely on their household
labour. They may sell their labour power to land-owners to supplement
their meagre incomes. They are a linchpin in the feudal system which
exists in parts of Pakistan.
(5) Wage Workers. This class consists of "unattached"
(landless) workers, who must earn income by selling their labour power.
They work mainly for rich peasants or capitalist farmers. Their wage is
partly in cash and partly in kind. They may work on a permanent basis,
but most of them find only seasonal work. They may supplement their
incomes by working outside agriculture. These workers constitute the
burgeoning proletariat for agriculture and industry.
We should here clarify a few points in Chart 1. First, hiring of
labour by landlords (HI > 0) implies use of sharecroppers: it is a
reference to "attached" labour. Second, family farmers may
work for others either in or outside agriculture (HO [greater than or
equal to] 0). This, of course, depends on requirements of the family
farm and level of income of the household to reproduce its labour power.
Third, sharecroppers may also work for others, outside the
landlord-tenant nexus, either in or outside agriculture (HO [greater
than or equal to] 0). Fourth, leasing of land by capitalist farmers or
rich peasants could be either from landlords, to whom they pay the
ground rent, or from middle or poor peasants on fixed payment. Finally,
it needs stressing that the proposed categories are not by any means
non-intersecting.
The typology of classes presented here highlights many basic
aspects of Pakistan's agriculture. For one thing, it specifies the
non-homogeneity of a highly differentiated agrarian economy. By the same
token, it avoids many of the pitfalls inherent in empty categories based
on either tenure or size, such as "landlords",
"owner-operators", and "tenants"--a classification
based on an arbitrary criterion of tenure--or "large",
"medium" and "small" farmers--a classification based
on an even more arbitrary criterion of farm size. The proposed scheme
cuts across the simplistic tenure categories of lessors and lessees.
Also, it does not maintain a direct relationship with large and small
holdings. Lessors could be landlords or middle and poor peasants owning
but not using land. Lessees could be capitalist farmers or sharecroppers
and poor peasants supplementing their own holdings. Classifications
based on arbitrary size and tenure categories do not reveal the
production relations. Instead, they mystify the creation and
appropriation of the social surplus. These groupings do not even assist
in analysing the problems of farm organisation in relation to the issues
of "efficiency" and "equity". Finally, the arbitrary
classifications do not reveal the impact of extraction of agricultural
surplus for capitalist accumulation on each of the classes.
What "facts" do we have about the proposed typology for
classes in Pakistan's agriculture? In Table I, we identify classes
by quantifying their shares in total farm households. There are several
interesting features. First, family farms (households) are preponderant in the N.W.F.P. and the Punjab. But just over one-quarter of the farm
households are family farmers in Sind. Secondly, sharecropping (tenant)
households dominate in Sind, but they have only one-quarter of the share
of farm households in the other two provinces. Thirdly, capitalist
households are most visible in the Punjab (27 percent), with their
second largest concentration in Sind (21 percent). These households have
less than 12 percent of share in the N.W.F.P. Finally, landlord
households in all provinces taken together are just over one percent,
but their relative dominance, particularly in Sind, is reflected in the
high share of tenant (sharecropping) households in the economy.
There is another related aspect of these four classes in the three
provinces. Family farmers seem to have control of holdings ranging from
less than one acre to 25 acres. Those who are operating or owning less
than one acre can be regarded as landless households, much like the
landless workers available in the labour market in or outside
agriculture. The share of these in all households in the N.W.F.P. is 12
percent, but they are apparently much more limited in the Punjab and
almost non-existent in Sind. (7) Most of the holdings in the range of
1-5 and 5-12.5 acres are dominated by either family farmers, as in the
N.W.F.P. and the Punjab, or sharecroppers, as in Sind. Capitalist
households seem to cultivate in the range of 12.5-25.0 and 25.0-50.0
acres, particulary in the Punjab and Sind. Capitalist holdings seem to
decline after the size of 50.0 acres, as landlords apparently dominate
the highest size of landholdings. It may be pointed out here that
official data on landholdings of over 150 acres are not published.
3. THE PROCESS OF STRUCTURAL DIFFERENTIATION AND AGRARIAN
TRANSITION
In Chart 2, we give a schematic presentation of the agrarian
transition to a capitalist system in Pakistan, which is followed by a
discussion of empirical evidence for the process of differentiation of
peasantry in the last two or three decades. There are three basic
agrarian systems which co-exist in Pakistan, namely "feudal",
"peasant", and the burgeoning "capitalist" system.
In the feudal system, the landlord provides a land parcel to the
landless sharecropper who cultivates it with his family labour and the
animals he owns. The distribution of rental and labour incomes is based
on the traditional 50:50 share in output, but without a well-defined
division of costs. The second dominant system is of peasant households,
including the poor and middle peasants, who cultivate family farms. Each
owner household depends on its own labour power and animals. The third
system is of the capitalist farmer who uses wage labour on land and
extracts surplus value as profit for capital.
The capitalist farmer emerges from among the ranks of landlords and
rich peasants: he may own all land and/or even lease some from peasants
and landlords. Labour is provided by the landless or near-landless
"proletarianized" workers, who could be from among the poor
and middle peasants (family farmers) or sharecroppers being evicted or
displaced by landlords who are transforming into capitalist farmers. Of
course, not all proletarianized labour is being absorbed in the
capitalist sector of agriculture. Increasing numbers of these unattached
workers are migrating from the village to town or city and even to the
Middle East.
At the time of the creation of Pakistan, its agrarian structure was
characterised by a quasi-feudal landlord-tenant nexus in most areas of
Sind (and several areas of the Punjab) and a peasant system with
fragmented (individual and joint) family farms quite numerous in the
N.W.F.P. and the Punjab provinces. (8) As shown in Chart 2, Pakistan had
a dual agrarian structure, in which a feudal system co-existed with a
peasant system. This has been well documented in several official
reports, both of the ruling Muslim League and of provincial governments,
in the late 1940s and the early 1950s: see Pakistan Muslim League [50];
Government of Sind [55;56;57].
Some of the evidence concerning landownership in the 1950s, and
some recent years, is given in Table 2. Land concentration was
particularly high in Sind, although the more numerous family farm owners
in the Punjab and the N.W.F.P. did not own more than 55 percent of the
total farm area. There is also evidence that most of the land in
Pakistan was then cultivated by tenants (sharecroppers): about 50
percent of the area in the Punjab and the N.W.F.P. and over 70 percent
in Sind (Pakistan Muslim League [50]). It should also be noted that
while occupancy tenants, who had some legally-recognised rights, were
predominent in the Punjab and the N.W.F.P., the tenants-at-will (haris)
cultivated most of the area in Sind. Haris had no legally-recognised
rights. The family farms, quite numerous in the first two provinces,
were highly fragmented and did not occupy a significant proportion of
the owned area (Pakistan Muslim League [50]).
[ILLUSTRATION OMITTED]
How has the structure of landownership in Pakistan changed since
the 1950s? As is evident in Table 2, the share of landowners with over
100 acres went down in their numbers and area in each province. More
striking, however, has been the increased share of landowners with less
than 5 acres, particularly in the Punjab and the N.W.F.P. This reflects
mainly the subdivision of land within the small-size holdings. As we
will explain later, owners of these holdings are the poor peasants who
are increasingly forced to lease their land to rich peasants and seek
alternative employment within or outside agriculture. These developments
at the extreme ends of landownership indicate, at least partially,
erosion of the feudal base on the one hand and increased number of poor
(marginalized) peasants on the other.
The data on landownership alone do not adequately reflect the
process of differentiation. We must combine them with data on the
distribution of operational holdings (farms), which reflect access to
land. Also, since landownership data are on individual and not household
(or family) basis, any reduction in the number and area of large
landowners (including landlords) may be largely illusory. As Khan [29]
reports, two things seem to have happened, partly in anticipation of and
partly in response to the land reform acts of 1959 and 1972. Firstly,
there were significant (legal and not so legal) intra-household
transfers of land. So, while the ownership titles (or claims) to
large-size holdings declined, the actual control of land remained
largely within the same household. Some of this may explain the
increased shares of holdings of 5-25 and 25-100 acres. Secondly, the
breakup of the landed estates may have been helped by the introduction
and use of new farm inputs, the benefits of which would not be shared
with tenants. We will return to this explanation in the next section.
The basic hypothesis advanced here about the formation of classes
and the agrarian transition in Pakistan is strengthened empirically if
we examine closely some of the evidence of the use of land together with
its ownership. Some of this evidence is provided directly by the
agricultural census data on distribution of farms by size and tenure.
When combined with data on landownership they can even indicate changes
in the production relations, i.e. a shift from the feudal and peasant to
capitalist relations. Let us first look at the broad picture of changes
in the distribution of farms and area in the Seventies. (9)
In Table 3, consistent with the evidence regarding landownership by
farm size presented earlier, the family farms of under 5 acres are
predominant in the N.W.F.P. and then in the Punjab. Their share in the
total number has increased substantially in the three provinces.
Similarly, their share in the total farm area has increased, but it was
still less than 20 percent in the N.W.F.P. and less than 7 percent in
the Punjab as well as in Sind. That these farms are cultivated mainly by
poor peasants, who must supplement their income by work for others,
would become clear when we examine their tenturial status. Most of the
farms in both the Punjab and Sind are in the range of 5 to 25 acres, and
they also occupy most of the farm area, particularly in Sind. These
farms are predominantly sharecropped in Sind and operated by family
farmers in the Punjab and N.W.F.P. The share of farms of over 25 acres
has declined in these two provinces, but increased in Sind. Their share
in the area also increased in Sind, reflecting perhaps the resumption of
land by landlords for capitalist farming. It is also important to note
that while the shares of large farms declined in the Punjab and the
N.W.F.P., proportionately the fall was much less in area than in
numbers.
The foregoing changes are highlighted in another way in Table 4.
The average size of farms in each size up to 12.5 acres became smaller
between 1972 and 1980. However, the average size of farms of over 150
acres increased substantially in the Punjab and the N.W.F.P. The average
size of middle-size farms grew somewhat in Sind but remained unchanged
in the other two provinces. More substantial evidence in support of the
transition appears in Table 5. We have here data on the area rented in
and rented out by various sizes of farms between two points in time:
1971-72 and 1979-80. Owners of 5 acres or less were not only renting
their area out, but its magnitude also increased substantially in the
Seventies. What is even more interesting is that the middle-size farms
(5 to 25 acres) in the Punjab rented out land but in Sind they rented in
from others. These opposite tendencies explain the fact that middle and
poor peasants lease out increasing amount of their land to other in the
Punjab--which is a reflection of a growing capitalist tenancy--and
sharecroppers rent in from landlords in Sind. This is also supported by
evidence that owners of large holdings rent out their area in Sind.
However, Khan [29] has shown that the area rented out by large
landowners (landlords) in Sind has declined in the Seventies, indicating
a shift toward capitalist farming by landlords through increased
resumption of land from sharecroppers for owner-cultivation.
In the Punjab, most of the land rented out by poor and middle
peasants is leased by rich peasants, particularly those with 25 to 50
acres and some of it even by farmers with 150 acres and more. In fact,
this tendency of the very large farms to increase in size was also
reflected in Table 4: the average size of farms of over 150 acres
increased substantially in the Seventies. These changes in renting or
leasing of land between various sizes of farms indicate that (a) poor
peasants are increasingly renting out their lands to middle and rich
peasants, (b) landlords are renting out less land to sharecroppers, and
(c) capitalist farms are increasing at the expense of poor (and even
middle) peasants in the Punjab and of landlords (and their
sharecroppers) in Sind. Khan [29] and Hussain [21] have provided
supporting evidence of changes in owner-operated and sharecropped areas
in the country in the Sixties and Seventies.
4. SOME EXPLANATIONS OF THE AGRARIAN TRANSITION
The agricultural crisis of the 1950s in Pakistan has been well
documented (Falcon and Gotsch [14]). Farm productivity stagnated and the
rate of growth of population started to gather momentum. The agrarian
structure remained highly differentiated, except that at the lower end
of the peasantry there was increasing subdivision and fragmentation of
holdings. The settlement of Muslim refugees from India, at least in the
Punjab, added to the increasing number of middle and poor peasants. In
Sind, it tended to aggravate the conditions of the haris, as most of the
settled refugees joined the ranks of absentee landowners. The political
environment for agrarian "reforms", so much publicized in the
early days of Pakistan by the top leadership, remained unfavourable and
the landed elite stayed intransigent. The tenancy reforms of the early
1950s in the provinces introduced some marginal changes for the
occupancy and non-occupancy tenants [29].
The land reforms of 1959 brought the first visible pressure on
landlords to readjust their holdings and relations with peasants.
However, as Khan [29] has shown, there is ample evidence that these
reforms did not basically alter the concentration of landownership, as
there were substantial intra-family (or intra-household) land transfers
and even evasion of the ceiling on individual holdings. The landless and
near-landless peasants received little if any land, and most of the
resumed land was in any case uncultivable. (10)
The most significant changes affecting the agrarian structure came
with the development of water supply, particularly of ground water
through installation of private tubewells in the Punjab. This
facilitated the adoption of fertilizer and new seed of wheat and rice in
the latter part of the Sixties. Public policy of subsidies and price
support played an important supportive role. However, it is equally
important to note here that public policy at that stage was part of a
"bimodal" strategy, emphasizing the dependence on large-scale
and commercialized farming in contrast with a "unimodal"
approach which emphasizes the growth of the entire agricultural sector.
(11)
The bimodal strategy of agricultural growth, reflecting the
dominant ideology and political alliances, has several interesting
features. First, it prefers the adoption and use of technology which is
not neutral to scale. Second, the increased private profitability of new
inputs, created mainly by public subsidies, produces a double process:
increasing capitalist relations on land and decreasing feudal tenancy,
both at the expense of poor peasants and sharecroppers. Third, the
availability and use of the productivity-increasing inputs are
themselves a function of the social conditions in which they are
introduced. It is, therefore, important that the underlying forces for
the transition should be seen within the context of the agrarian
structure itself.
The bimodal strategy was premised on two crucial assumptions. The
first assumption was that the central task in the development process
was to generate income through private markets, building on the best,
which will also combine the trickle down effects. Secondly, it was
assumed that the emerging biformity in the agrarian structure--the rich
kulak type peasants (owners and operators of large farms) in the lead
and the poor peasants (small owner-operators and sharecroppers)
following--will both create a rapid process of growth and trickle the
effects down to the mass of poor peasants. In short, dependence on
large-scale farms was the cornerstone of the bimodal strategy as opposed
to the unimodal approach followed by countries like Japan, Taiwan and
South Korea in the 1950s. The bimodal strategy in Pakistan reflected
partly the belief in the trickle-down theory, so popular at that time,
and partly the reality of a biformed agrarian structure which was
emerging in Pakistan after the land reforms of 1959.
Let us now examine the forces which can help to explain the
agrarian transition under way in Pakistan. As earlier, we will use
"facts" where the data permit.
Changes in Productivity and the Agrarian Transition
Private profitability depends on, among other things, the extent to
which new (better) inputs lead to positive changes in the cropping
pattern (e.g., multiple cropping) and level of yields of crops. Berry
and Cline [6] have provided substantial evidence that farm productivity
(technical efficiency) is closely related to the size of farm and the
tenurial arrangement. The traditional superiority enjoyed by small
(owner-operated) farms was premised on their intensive use of family
labour and animal power. However, with the spread of the Green
Revolution technology in Pakistan, the size-efficiency relationship
seems to have been reversed in favour of the large farms, thanks to the
water-fertilizer-seed-machine package which the rich peasants and
landlords could obtain at highly subsidized rates. (12) The
water-machine technology required lumpy investment and the technology
package was not scale-neutral. The credit-extension services, with the
input and output markets, have also been closely linked to the size of
one's holdings. As we will argue later, the structure of technology
and the direction of credit flows themselves reflected the influence of
large landowners and capitalist farmers on public policy.
There has also been an equally impressive demonstration of the
higher level of productivity of owner-operated (small) farms vis-a-vis
sharecropped (small) farms in Pakistan. (13) Landlords could appropriate
entirely the benefits of new technology by reducing their dependence on
sharecroppers. Resumption of land for "self-cultivaton" became
not only profitable but also necessary: the increasing pressure of cash
economy and the competition with rich peasants and capitalist farmers
have narrowed the choices of landlords. Further, in those areas of the
Punjab and Sind in which the cost of attached labour (sharecroppers) was
rapidly rising, there was added incentive for landlords to adopt the
machine technology and make use of the relatively cheap labour which
these machines created among tenants and landless workers. The scale and
management effects have become clearly dominant in determining the size
and tenancy arrangements in Pakistan agriculture. Under the propitious conditions created by the new technology and supported by public policy,
capitalist agriculture has become an increasingly attractive and even
necessary alternative to the feudal and peasant systems. We should now
turn to factors (inputs and policies) which have created the
differential productivity effects in the first place.
Use of Inputs and the Agrarian Transition
Productive and commercialised agriculture develops with
technological change, including new inputs and new methods of organising
the old inputs. The introduction of new inputs and methods depends on a
host of factors, of which the structure of landownership and tenurial
arrangements are often the most important. The dominant feudal and the
marginal peasant systems which Pakistan had inherited showed little
propensity to change the age-old methods of production. Agricultural
stagnation, in the face of rapid population growth, had created severe
restraints on industrialization. It was against this background that the
Ayub regime launched, in the early Sixties, its search for what were
regarded as the most important inputs of factors for generating and
sustaining agricultural growth. We should now analyse the effects of the
new inputs and technology on the agrarian transition in Pakistan.
Water Development
In arid Pakistan, water has been rightly conceded as one of the
most important inputs for crop growth. The canal irrigation system,
inherited from the British administration and concentrated mainly in the
plains of the Punjab and Sind, was quite inadequate to meet the water
requirements of even the traditional cropping patterns. Further, water
losses from the canal system were no less serious, partly because of
poor drainage and partly owing to poor water management on the farm.
Vast national resources were required to expand the surface irrigation
system and to alleviate the menace of waterlogging and salinity. It was
at this time that, at least in the plains of the Punjab, installation of
private tubewells as a supplementary source of water became evidently
profitable. As Ghulam Mohammad [36] shows, the development of private
tubewells in the central and eastern districts of the Punjab had become
impressive and its results quite as manifest by the mid-Sixties.
Private tubewells have provided additional water and at the time
when it was most needed for optimum plant growth. New crops could now be
grown, which required more water, and use of fertilizer became evidently
profitable. It also then facilitated the adoption of high-yielding seeds
of wheat and rice introduced in the late-Sixties. There are at least
four important aspects of the development of private tubewells which
should be highlighted here.
(1) Private tubewells have been installed mainly in the plains of
the Punjab. They are not economical in mountainous areas because of the
great depth to which they must be sunk to reach ground water. For
similar reasons, they have not been developed in Sind where the high
degree of salinity is an additional barrier. This uneven development of
ground water has been an important factor in explaining some of the
interregional disparities one observes in the country. (14)
(2) Private tubewells have been installed mostly by landowners with
holdings of over 25 acres. Given the indivisible and large capacity of
diesel and electric tubewells, even the middle peasants cannot afford
their fixed and variable costs. Therefore, there has been a high
concentration of ownership of tubewells. (15) It has two associated
problems. For one thing, while a market for tubewell water has evidently
developed, it has not been easy for the non-owners (poor peasants) to
buy water at reasonable rates and at the time when they need it most.
This has created increased uncertainty, which acts against innovation.
The other problem is that the concentration of tubewells has provided
added incentive to large landowners (i.e., tubewell owners) to lease
their neighbours' land, if not buy them out. Capitalist farming is
thus facilitated by the increased size of operational holding (farm).
(3) Inducement to invest in tubewells has been provided by handsome
public subsidies on fuels, installation costs and maintenance. In fact,
these subsidies have become an important mechanism for transferring
public tubewells--which were installed in the Indus basin to alleviate
the problems of waterlogging and salinity--to private ownership. (16)
(4) Private ownership of tubewells has in no small measure been
encouraged by a credit policy under which loans have been advanced
through the Agricultural Development Bank of Pakistan (A.D.B.P.) [1].
The World Bank [61] document on the A.D.B.P. shows that these loans have
been available not only readily, given the collateral of land, but also
at very low rates of interest with convenient terms for repayment.
As stated earlier, substantial investment in surface-and
ground-water supply has been made by various levels of governments,
starting mainly in the late Fifties. Surface water has been available to
users at highly subsidized rates: water revenues do not even cover the
maintenance expense of the canal system in the public sector. However,
access to canal water in the village is not without problems. The
watercourse system is regulated by public officials inconsultation with
"committees" of water users on each watercourse. Studies by
the World Bank [62] and the USAID [59] have shown that tail-enders on a
watercourse, who are usually the middle and poor peasants, are always at
a disadvantage in getting water in adequate quantity and when they need.
This has been a serious handicap to innovation and higher level of
income.
It is also be now well known that additional and assured supply of
water has been a major factor in raising the private profitability of
fertilizer and new seeds of wheat and rice in Pakistan. As a new
(non-traditional) input, fertilizer was introduced with public subsidy,
which remains even today an important component of government policy for
increasing crop output. However, use of fertilizer and new seeds, which
in any case was premised on availability of adequate water supply, has
not been without serious interregional and interfarm disparities.
Dependence on rainfall, as in the rain-fed areas of the Punjab and the
N.W.F.P. or inadequate canal water, as in the south-eastern parts of
Sind, has been a major barrier to the use of fertilizer and new seeds,
resulting in increased differences between the poor and rich peasants
because of the unequal access to fertilizer and credit markets. Small
peasants have clearly indicated that insufficient and uncertain supply
of water and inadequate cash or credit militated against increasing the
level of fertilizer per acre and coverage of the crop area [13; 25].
Cash/credit problem is aggravated by unequal access to the extension
service, which is supposedly the carrier of applied knowledge about new
technology.
Tractorization
The impact of mechanical inputs on growth and agrarian structure
has been a centre of controversy in Pakistan. This applies particularly
to the use of tractors, which have increased rapidly since the
mid-Sixties. (17) In general, the case for tractors is premised on the
argument that they rationalize agriculture by their positive effect on
(a) cropping intensity, (b) cost of human and animal labour, (c) yield
level, and (d) land preparation and post-harvest operations. On the
other hand, there are doubts about some of these positive effects,
particularly on yield level and multiple cropping. More importantly, it
has been contended that tractorization in Pakistan has resulted in (a)
labour displacement and tenant eviction, and (b) expansion of holdings
which are already large. Implied in these arguments is the notion that
rich peasants and landlords are increasingly encroaching on lands which
were available for cultivation to poor peasants and sharecroppers.
In the light of the available evidence, some generalisations can be
made about tractors and their effects on growth and agrarian structure
in Pakistan: see Govt. of Pakistan [43; 44]; Bose and Clark [7]; Ahmad
[2]; Gotsch [15]; McInerney and Donaldson [35]; Salam [53; 54];
University of Karachi [58]; and Naqvi et al. [37].
(1) The ownership of tractors, all imported, has increased rapidly
since the late Sixties.
(2) Tractors are highly concentrated on holdings of over 25 acres.
They range between 33 and 55 HP, and are generally beyond the means of a
vast majority of landowners.
(3) There has been almost no positive effect of use of tractors on
the yield level.
(4) Tractor ownership has generally led to an increase in the size
of large landholdings, both by increased landlease from poor and middle
peasants and by self-cultivation by landlords.
(5) Private return on tractor is particularly high if more water is
available for reclaiming land. Hiring out of tractors has also raised
the return on investment, particularly as the tractor market is still
highly concentrated.
(6) Cropping intensity seems to have increased on farms using
tractors, but mainly where more or assured supply of water was
available.
(7) While there is no conclusive evidence of net displacement of
labour due to tractors, the position of sharecroppers on the landlord
estates has weakened as less of their time and power of their animals is
required for land preparation and post-harvest operations. The
traditional strength of the sharecropper, represented by his family
labour and animal power, has been undermined as the landlord is now even
less willing to share the benefits of new technology associated with
fertilizer, water, seeds, and tractors.
The process of tractorization, dominated by large tractors (over 35
HP), was initiated by pressure from large landowners. It has in turn
resulted in concentration of tractor ownership on the one hand and in
pressure for expansion of area under large holdings both of landlords
and of rich peasants, on the other. The tractor market, dependent on
imports, has been closely regulated by the government. Public policy has
so far consistently favoured the import and use of large tractors. In
fact, a ban on import of tractors of less than 33 HP was lifted only in
mid- 1982. The government has also provided handsome incentives to
purchase of tractors in the form of (a) reduced import duties and taxes,
and (b) A.D.B.P. loans at low rates of interest. The tax-credit
subsidies have remained high even with rapidly increasing demand for
tractors by large landowners. The price of imported tractors in Pakistan
compares favourably with what American farmers pay in the domestic
market [61].
Farm Credit
The simultaneous transformation of the peasant and feudal systems
into a capitalist mode, creating capitalist farmers from among rich
peasants and landlords and wage labour from among poor/middle peasants
and sharecroppers, has been clearly aided by public policy and markets
with unequal adoption of new technology for growth. This brings us to
one of the most important elements helping the development of capitalist
agriculture in Pakistan. Increasing investment in new technology--which
has tended to be lumpy or indivisible--has required access to credit at
reasonable cost. Poor peasants and sharecroppers have been at a
particular disadvantage. The indebtedness of the peasant in poor
countries is legendary, reflecting the age-old vicious circle of
poverty. Most of the peasants are caught in the fetters of debt simply
because their incomes are not adequate to sustain them from one season
to the next. The condition of the poor peasant is often more desperate
now. The cash economy is upon him and his credit-worthiness for loans
from institutional sources is low. Hence his continuing dependence on
traditional (high-cost) sources of credit. Traditionally, poor and
middle peasants have relied on friends and moneylenders, including
landlords for sharecroppers. In fact, in many areas of Sind, loans
advanced to sharecroppers have been an important source of strength to
landlords in determining their relations, including use of labour,
sharing of cost and output, etc. [61; 25].
Institutional sources of farm credit have become quite significant
in the last 20-25 years. (18) However, lending practices of public
institutions have clearly encouraged expenses on only certain inputs and
their collateral requirements have excluded a majority of small peasants
(particularly sharecroppers) from taking advantage of these loans to
meet their cash needs. For instance, the A.D.B.P., which has emerged as
the single most important credit agency of the government in the farm
sector since the mid-Seventies, has been concentrating on loans for
"lumpy" investment (tractors, tubewells, special projects,
etc.), for which only large landowners (i.e. those owning or operating
over 25 acres) can establish their credit. Lending for the so-called
current inputs, fertilizers and seeds, has been transferred to
cooperative and commercial banks, to which most small landowners are
expected to turn. While these loans are soft, their acquisition by small
peasants involves cumbersome procedures and a web of officials and
merchants on the way. The consequent cost and delays have tended to
discourage their use.
The non-institutional sources, friends (relatives) and moneylenders
(merchants), thus still remain important for the poor peasants and
sharecroppers. Friends and relatives cannot, of course, often be a
certain and adequate source of loans which would meet one's
investment requirements for profitable fanning. Acquiring credit from
moneylenders and merchants may be convenient, but the debt charges can
easily exceed the total cost of procuring credit from institutional
sources. For most poor and middle peasants, credit from these sources
provides cash for consumer spending and expenses between seasons. It is
often these consumer needs of the peasant, for which the institutional
sources do not in any case provide loans, which maintain his dependence
on money-lenders and discourage investment spending or innovation.
Subsidies on Inputs
One final aspect of public policy affecting growth and agrarian
structure should now be explained. Direct subsidies on certain inputs,
e.g. fertilizer, plant protection, new seeds, tubewells, have been an
integral part of public policy to promote agricultural growth since the
early Sixties. These subsidies should be distinguished from indirect
subsidies involved in water charges, interest rates, duties and taxes on
imported material and machinery, etc. We are also here not considering
support prices for major crops (wheat, rice, cotton and sugarcane) which
have been playing their role in changing cropping patterns, private
profitability, etc. (19)
In Table 6, we can get an idea of the magnitude of direct subsidies
on major agricultural inputs, particularly the impressive increase in
the subsidy on fertilizer since the mid-Sixties. What is equally
striking in these figures is that direct agricultural subsidies have
claimed an increasing share of the total (capital) development
expenditure of federal government, which rose from about 4-5 percent in
the Sixties to over 10 percent in the late Seventies and early Eighties.
It should also be pointed out that the development budget itself has
increased consistently over this period: it increased eightfold between
1965 and 1982 [41]. Since we have evidence that the level and coverage
of fertilizer and plant protection measures per acre are generally
higher on large holdings than on small holdings, it implies a
disproportionately larger flow of subsidies to owners and operators of
large landholdings: see Khan [26]; Mahmood [33]. It is similar in its
effect to the unequal distribution of indirect subsidies involved in,
say, the farm credit programme in the public sector. The increased
private profitability of new inputs is therefore quite unequal between
rich peasants (or landlords) and poor (or middle) peasants. This then
reinforces the tendency toward a capitalist agriculture.
5. POLICY IMPLICATIONS AND CONCLUSION
It would be wrong to suggest that the process of
"depeasantization" in Pakistan would follow a linear path of
transformation. Undoubtedly the contradictions now operating in the
differentiated agrarian structure, under the influence of markets and
public policy, are dissolving the dominant features of the feudal and
peasant systems. However, the transformation of rich peasants (and
landlords) into pure capitalists and of poor peasants (and
sharecroppers) into pure wage workers can be prolonged or delayed by
several countertendencies. For one thing, peasants have historically
shown a high degree of resilience and ability to adapt. They could
remain attached to land and provide their labour power as
peasant-proletariat to the burgeoning capitalist farmers. In fact, in
this they may play a complementary role for the development of a
capitalist agriculture. We have at least two major arguments which need
some explanation here in the light of what has been recently happening
in Pakistan.
Let us first examine the landlord-tenant system. Landlords have not
been entirely in favour of evicting their sharecroppers. This is partly
to avoid the legal problems which a large-scale tenant eviction could
produce. But the more important reasons are perhaps economic. Subsidized
inputs, including tractors and other machines, have raised private
profits which the landlords would not want to share with their tenants.
Some landlords have adopted the policy of sharing the cost of all
"modern" inputs with sharecroppers, even of those which weaken
the bargaining power of tenants and make the cost of animal power high
to maintain. In addition, or alternatively, landlords have expanded
their self-cultivated areas, mainly by reducing the size of the parcel
they give to each sharecropper. These policies increase the pool of
increasingly dependent (thus relatively cheaper) labour without
increased dependence on seasonal (or casual) labour, the supply of which
may be uncertain or costly. This mechanism works well in areas where
either there may be a chronic shortage of seasonal (wage) labour or
little alternative employment opportunity exists for sharecroppers.
Attached labour then provides a pool of weakened peasants, whose
dependence on landlords has also been increasing due to their
indebtedness.
Turning next to the peasant system, which dominates in many areas
of the Punjab and the N.W.F.P., Naseem [38] reports that migration of a
part of the household labour has become a desperate necessity for poor
(and even middle) peasants. This migration could be to larger towns or
cities within the country or even to the Middle East, which has been a
major source of employment to middle (and poor) peasants. To the
landless, who have not necessarily been the major beneficiaries of
labour migration to the Middle East because of their poor asset
position, migration from the village has been an escape from drugery for
much lower wages than can be earned in industry or town. For households
which own individually or jointly small parcels of land, migration from
the village, particularly to large cities and the Middle East, has
brought additional income for survival. The remittances have also
become, at least for some middle or poor peasants, a source of
additional land which can be leased or bought from other poor peasants
who cannot evidently survive on their incomes in farming on small plots.
An addition to one's holding could mean survival in farming, with
reduced vulnerability to competition from rich peasants, or even joining
the ranks of rich peasants. The peasant system at the lower end can thus
extend its life-span and even remain a contending force to a rapid
development of capitalist agriculture.
But this is not all. With outside income, and given the high
private profitability of investment in agriculture, competition for land
intensifies. An active land market can work both ways for the peasants:
some middle and poor peasants can no longer survive this competition
while others (some middle but most rich peasants) can flourish in an
increasingly capitalist system of agriculture. In fact, the military
government in Pakistan, which took power in 1977, has apparently decided
to promote "corporate" farming: a decision intended to
modernize agriculture in a capitalist way [48]. (20) How far it extends
and how rapidly it disintegrates the feudal and peasant systems will
depend on the economic (and political) contradictions it creates in the
society.
These tendencies reflect the contradictions which the process of
development itself creates. However, their consequences for the society
are enormous, particularly if public policy is used as an important
instrument of change. The policy implications of our analysis of the
agrarian transition in Pakistan are clear. If the intent of public
policy is to promote agricultural growth within the existing agrarian
structure, then the adverse social consequences of the rapid process of
depeasantization should be faced.
Rapid promotion of a capitalist agriculture by deliberate state
intervention normally means unequal development. This is almost
inevitable with the given agrarian structure as a parameter. The bimodal
policy emphasizing the growth of large (capitalist) farms will tend to
increase the disparities in incomes and polarize the rural society. The
expected trickle-down effect of such growth can be vitiated even more if
the employment effects, as expected, are also negative and the economy
cannot expand its capacity fast enough to absorb the displaced farmers.
The rhetoric for the small farmer will increasingly be confronted by a
contradictory reality which public policy would have helped to create.
The squeeze on the small and medium operators (owners and sharecroppers
alike) will inexorably force their transformation into wage workers to
be absorbed within or outside agriculture.
In order to alleviate the twin problems of income disparity and
unemployment, which are the necessary consequences of a bimodal policy
of agricultural development, the state must acquire an increasing
proportion of new incomes created in the farm sector. The most
appropriate policy instrument then is a direct tax on agricultural
income. It will not only have a positive effect on agricultural
productivity, inducing growth, but it will at the same time transfer a
part of the surplus to the society to create infrastructure, jobs, etc.
for the poor. The impact of these revenues can be crucial on
infrastructural investments, which are so necessary to raise
agricultural production and to provide jobs and new incomes to the
landless.
The softer option indicated above is premised on the assumption
that the agrarian structure is not altered through direct land reforms.
It is essentially a bimodal policy with sensitivity to the issues of
unemployment and income disparity. However, it is not likely to slow
down the process of depeasantization. This process, with its implied
adverse effects on the dispossessed and the society, can be harmonized if public policy makes a dent on the very basis which creates biformity.
A unimodal policy, homogenizing the effects of agricultural growth, can
work only if the agrarian structure is radically restructured and a
compatible delivery system is established. An egalitarian, and even
efficient, delivery system for inputs, services and infrastructure in
the rural areas cannot be viable without first demolishing the
foundation which creates serious inequalities. Market and non-market
incentives will cause these inequalities to increase even if the
delivery system is apparently designed to suit the circumstances of the
small peasant or farmer.
Agrarian reformism can also contribute significantly to prolonging
of the process of depeasantization in a society. Populist alliances,
confused with socialism, can introduce land reforms which confer upon
the landless and poor peasants rights of private property on land
resumed from landlords and rich peasants. Such was indeed the promise of
the Bhutto regime when it launched its land reforms in 1972. (21) In a
country where most cultivators are either landless or possess little
land, and most of the land is owned in large parcels by a small number
of households, transfer of substantial land to the former groups can
extend the peasant system or even transform it into a (cooperatized)
family farm system.
On the other hand, a land reform programme can promote rather than
retard the development of capitalist agriculture by creating the
necessary pressure on landlords without redistributing a significant
portion of land to landless sharecroppers and poor peasants. There is
evidence that the land reforms of 1972 may have contributed to this
tendency without at the same time strengthening the peasant system.
Hussain [20] and Khan [29] argue that these reforms may have sharpened
the contradictions in the countryside, thus hastening the process of
depeasantization.
In conclusion, our analysis of classes and the agrarian transition
in Pakistan attempts to demystify the process of agricultural
development. We use a methodology which not only emphasizes the highly
differentiated nature of the agrarian structure, but also identifies
classes based on unequal endowments of land and labour. The proposed
typology, with supporting empirical evidence, highlights the asymmetry of relations among the various classes. Further, this study traces the
agrarian transition under way in Pakistan, with emphasis on the sources
and the consequent process of depeasantization. We have particularly
focussed on those elements of public policy which may have helped to
hasten the process and sharpen the class differences. Finally, we have
briefly presented alternative policy options to minimize and even avoid
the adverse social consequences which are likely to follow from the
capitalist transition of agriculture in Pakistan.
Appendix
Background of the Land Tenure Systems
Historically, the areas which now constitute Pakistan, peasants
(cultivators) had no right to own land before the British conquest of
India. In the pre-British days, even after the decay of the Mughal
Empire in India, there were two basic claims on land: production by
peasants and collection of rent (as land tax) by the King's
servants for the absolutist state. The direct producers on land were
tenants and the state (or the kind) was their landlord. Admittedly this
relationship had been greatly disturbed in many areas of India owing to
the disintegration of the Mughal, rule by about the mid-18th century.
Simultaneous and contending claims on land had become quite common,
although no clear market for land had yet developed. Rent as income from
private ownership of land was not an established economic relationship.
In fact, this issue has been debated quite extensively in the literature
on the pre-British agrarian system in India and Pakistan. We have found
the relevant material in Habib [17]; Alavi [3]; Khan [29] and Hamid
[18].
The idea of private (rental) property of land was transplanted into
India after conquest by the British. Starting from Bengal in the 1790s,
private titles to land were awarded to the former rent collectors and
collaborators. These included some of the former ruling chiefs, as the
Mirs (or amirs) of Sind were allowed to retain a large part of their
former estates after 1843. Similarly, most of the traditionally
cultivated area in the Punjab was alloted to a small number of large
landowners after 1849 [18]. Initially, most of the land was distributed
as private property to a limited number of former rent collectors and
"friends" and the direct producers (peasants) continued to
remain tenants, now of the new (private) landlords. Landlords were
content with collection of rent from their tenants in the face of
shortage of labour and tenants had nowhere else to go to earn their
incomes. This became the basis of the feudal system which has existed in
Pakistan.
There was one significant change introduced by the British with the
development of a canal irrigation system in the Punjab in the 1880s.
Crown lands, which could not be cultivated earlier without assured
supply of water, were distributed to landless cultivating peasants in
small parcels in the so-called canal colony districts. This was seen as
the beginning of yeomen farmers, supporting the British in their task of
transferring surplus from the colony. But before the end of the 19th
century, a large proportion of these family farmers started to lose
their lands to money-lenders. Land fragmentation became another
debilitating factor, particularly because of the growth of population
and Muslim laws of inheritance. In 1901, the British administration
introduced legislation in the Punjab and the N.W.F.P. to protect the
peasantry from land alienation and fragmentation. However, it did not
completely halt the process of depeasantization or the increased
vulnerability of these farmers to the forces of the market [29; 18]. A
peasant system on a similar scale never developed in Sind, mainly
because of the absence of a perennial irrigation system. In fact, even
after the construction of Lloyd (now called Sukkur) Barrage in 1932,
most of the land remained concentrated in the hands of a small number of
landlords and cultivated by tenants-at-will (haris) [29]. This in short
is a historical background of the agrarian systems of Pakistan.
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Legislation Committee. Karachi. 1945.
[58.] University of Karachi. Applied Economics Research Centre.
"Impact of Tractors on Agriculture in Pakistan". Karachi.
1982. (A Study for A.D.B.P.; Unpublished)
[59.] USAID. The On-Farm Water Management Project in Pakistan.
Washington, D.C. 1982. (A.I.D. Project Evaluation Report No. 35)
[60.] World Bank. "Pakistan: Development, Issues and
Policies". Vol. I. Washington, D.C. 1978. (Unpublished)
[61.] World Bank. Pakistan Staff Appraisal Report: Fifth Credit for
the Agricultural Development Bank. Washington, D.C. 1979.
[62.] World Bank. Staff Appraisal Report: Pakistan On-Farm Water
Management Project. Washington, D.C. 1981.
[63.] Yasin, C. G. "Private Tubewells in the Punjab".
Lahore: Punjab Board of Economic Inquiry. 1975. (Unpublished)
(1) This is expected of agriculture irrespective of the development
paradigm one prefers or adopts. Industrialization (development) means
creation and transfer of agricultural surplus--produced by peasants and
appropriated by either landlords or the state--to industries in the
hands of capitalists or the state. But this is not all. In the
contemporary debate on "unequal exchange" between the
underdeveloped and developed (capitalist) countries, backwardness of
agriculture in the former is seen as a major source of net transfer of
the surplus through trade to the latter. It has been argued that low
levels of productivity in agriculture, particularly in the food sector,
result in international inequality of wages for labour of equal value.
However, Emmanuel [12] and Lewis [32] present two different
interpretations of the notion of "unequal exchange".
(2) The first view reflects the classical paradigm and the second
view is Marxian in its origin.
(3) Landownership data have never been published as part of the
agricultural censuses in Pakistan. They have not been available to
researchers for reasons best known to officials responsible for land
records, etc. Further, there are no definite land records for ownership
in several areas of Baluchistan and "tribal" areas in the
N.W.F.P. Finally, even the agricultural census data have serious
problems for studying changes in operational holdings (farms), say, in
the 1960s. Recently, Hussain [20] has given details of the adjustments
one would have to make to compare the farm data collected in the 1960
and 1972 agricultural censuses.
(4) Currie [9] provides a detailed treatment of various tenure
systems within a neoclassical framework. We do not have a global optimum but only local ones, depending not only on the level of welfare
postulated but also the specific segment.
(5) We have made use of the works of Lenin [31]; Kautsky; Hussain
and Tribe [19, Chapter 4 in Volume I and Chapter 2 in Volume II] and
Chayanov [see 30].
(6) It is somewhat similar to the method used by Bardhan [5].
(7) The number of households of landless workers is probably quite
large in the provinces of Punjab and N.W.F.P., but we have no direct
information in official data from censuses and surveys. Eckert [11];
Khan [24] and Naseem [38] give substantial evidence on the conditions of
agricultural workers, including their wages, for several areas of the
Punjab in the 1970s.
(8) A historical account of the land tenure system is summarised in
the Appendix.
(9) While we have not here used the 1960 agricultural census
figures because of the problems stated in footnote 3, Hussain [21]
argues that changes in the 1960s were largely similar to those observed
in the 1970s.
(10) see also the debate between Alavi [4] and Burki [8]. Khan [29]
and Hussain [21] support Alavi's argument that these reforms did
not reduce the influence of landlords on the political process in the
country.
(11) A full discussion of agricultural strategies in the sixties
can be found in Johnston and Kilby [22].
(12) We have now several studies in Pakistan, particularly in the
Punjab and Sind, which support these generalisations. See, for example,
Khan [26]; Mahmood [33]; Salam [52]; Khan [27]; Mahmood and Haque [34].
(13) For example by Khan [28; 29]. For some other countries, see
Berry and Cline [6].
(14) Water from private tubewells has become a major source of
irrigation to farms in several areas of the Punjab. The impressive
increase in numbers of tubewells can be seen in the following:
Year Pakistan Punjab
1964-65 34,400 (private) 28,746 (private)
1970-71 97,636 (private + public) 81,814 (private)
1974-75 154,290 (private + public) 130,453 (private)
1979-80 185,973 (private + public) 154,468 (private)
These figures are from Eckert [10]; Yasin [63]; Government of
Pakistan [42].
(15) This is clearly shown in the agricultural machinery census
[46].
(16) Since 1980 the military government has been giving significant
subsidies to farmers to buy public tubewells in all provinces.
(17) Their numbers have been estimated as follows:
Year Numbers in the Country Numbers Imported
1968-69 15,600 4,411
1974-75 33,279 7,190
1980-81 98,000 18,923
These figures are from [42] and [41].
(18) The rapid expansion of credit from institutional sources can
be seen in the following data:
Commercial
Year A.D.B.P. Banks Others Total
(in million Rupees)
1964-65 40.5 -- 97.3 137.8
1969-70 91.3 -- 118.8 201.1
1974-75 396.3 520.9 123.0 1,040.2
1979-80 711.6 1,587.4 716.8 3,015.8
1980-81 1,066.7 1,816.1 1,126.5 4,019.3
These figures are from Government of Pakistan [41; 47]. It should
be noted that commercial banks were inducted into farm credit soon after
the Bhutto government nationalized them in 1972. Other sources are
mainly the cooperative banks, which have become important for seasonal
loans since the late seventies.
(19) Almost all of the major crops are procured by government.
Farmers are guaranteed a base price which is announced some time before
the crop season. The support price of a crop is supposed to reflect (a)
a "fair" return to farmers, and (b) an incentive for increased
productivity. However, in practice it is determined through a political
process in which the interests of large landowners are well protected if
not promoted. Similarly, access to procurement centres and public
facilities is not equally available to producers of large and small
marketable surpluses. The larger issue of the impact of subsidies,
including the effects of changing input and crop prices, on agriculture
in Pakistan has been recently analysed by Gotsch and Brown [16].
(20) There is apparently a well-orchestrated campaign to popularize the notion that large-scale (corporate) farming is a panacea to
agricultural growth. This argument [23] is in addition to other equally
pursuasive forces increasing the involvement of industrial capitalists
in corporate farming: it confers upon them direct and immediate benefits
in the form of (a) agricultural subsidies (e.g. loans from A.D.B.P.),
and (b) reduced taxes on industrial incomes and no tax on agricultural
income as incentives for increased investment in agriculture. Of course,
investment in agriculture is also a very profitable venture for those
who want their "black" money laundered into legitimate income.
(21) These claims were highly exaggerated [29, Chapter 5].
MAHMOOD HASAN KHAN, The author is Professor in the Department of
Economics, Simon Fraser University, Canada. This paper is based on two
lectures he gave at the Pakistan Institute of Development Economics. He
is grateful to Professor Syed Nawab Haider Naqvi for several valuable
suggestions and comments. He thanks the Literary Editor of the PDR for
stylistic improvements in the text. Of course, they bear no
responsibility for the author's opinions and mistakes.
Table 1
Percentage Distribution of Rural Households in Provinces of
Pakistan, 1971/72
Under 1.0- 5.0- 12.5-
1 < 5.0 < 12.5 < 25.0
Acre Acre Acre Acre
Class Province
Landlords Punjab
Sind
N.W.F.P.
Capitalist Punjab 12.72
Farmers Sind 12.87
N.W.F.P 3.71
Family Punjab 2.80 14.74 21.17 11.10
Farmers Sind 0.32 6.69 11.11 9.21
N.W.F.P. 9.11 29.99 17.26 6.01
Share- Punjab 0.85 5.90 16.34
croppers Sind 0.10 11.28 39.70
N.W.F.P. 2.41 12.20 11.08
All Punjab 3.65 20.65 37.51 23.82
Classes Sind 0.42 17.97 50.81 22.08
N.W.F.P. 11.52 42.19 28.34 9.72
25.0- 50.0- 150.0 All
50.0 150.0 Acres & Farm
Acre Acre Over Sizes
Class Province
Landlords Punjab 0.17 0.03 0.21
Sind 0.62 0.10 0.72
N.W.F.P. 0.23 0.02 0.25
Capitalist Punjab 10.23 3.56 0.37 26.88
Farmers Sind 5.48 2.10 0.42 20.88
N.W.F.P 4.31 2.95 0.72 11.69
Family Punjab 49.82
Farmers Sind 27.32
N.W.F.P. 62.37
Share- Punjab 23.09
croppers Sind 51.08
N.W.F.P. 25.69
All Punjab 10.32 3.73 0.40 100.00
Classes Sind 5.48 2.72 0.52 100.00
N.W.F.P. 4.31 3.18 0.74 100.00
Source : [45] and [29, Chapter 3].
Note : The household data from the 1972 census have been combined with
the landownership data provided by the provincial Land Commissions for
the same year.
Table 2
Change in Distribution of Landownership in Provinces of Pakistan,
1950 to 1976
Percentage of all Owners
Farm Size
(Acres) Year Pakistan Punjab Sind N.W.F.P.
5.0 or less 1950 64.4 66.3 29.8 70.3
1971 -- 60.4 36.7 --
1976 70.8 69.1 40.3 85.9
>5.0 to 25.00 1950 28.7 28.9 46.0 21.6
1971 -- 35.6 42.9 --
1976 25.1 27.4 41.5 12.4
>25.0 to 100.0 1950 5.7 4.1 16.2 6.9
1971 -- 3.5 17.7 --
1976 3.5 3.0 15.8 1.5
Over 100.0 1950 1.2 0.7 8.0 1.2
1971 -- 0.5 2.7 --
1976 0.5 0.5 2.4 0.2
Over 500.0 1950 0.1 0.1 0.9 0.1
Percentage of all Owned Area
Farm Size
(Acres) Year Pakistan Punjab Sind N.W.F.P.
5.0 or less 1950 15.3 15.7 3.6 31.9
1971 -- 20.6 5.6 --
1976 24.9 26.1 8.2 40.8
>5.0 to 25.00 1950 31.7 39.0 18.8 25.2
1971 -- 45.7 29.9 --
1976 39.4 43.0 30.5 33.0
>25.0 to 100.0 1950 21.8 21.9 23.2 19.7
1971 -- 21.6 40.3 --
1976 24.0 21.7 40.4 15.2
Over 100.0 1950 31.2 23.4 54.4 23.3
1971 -- 12.1 24.2 --
1976 12.6 9.2 20.9 11.0
Over 500.0 1950 15.4 9.9 29.1 12.4
Source : [39, Appendix I] Khan [29, Chapter 31.
Table 3
Change in Distribution of Farm and Farm Area in Pakistan, 1972 to 1980
Percentage Distribution
of Farms
Farm Size
(Acres) Year Pakistan Punjab Sind N.W.F.P.
< 1.0 1972 4.1 4.0 0.4 12.2
1980 4.5 4.3 0.6 12.0
< 5.0 1972 28.1 26.1 18.8 55.5
1980 34.1 31.7 25.3 61.2
5.0-< 25.0 1972 61.0 62.1 73.8 38.0
1980 56.7 58.5 67.1 33.6
25.0-< 50.0 1972 7.7 8.8 5.2 4.0
1980 6.5 7.2 5.3 3.2
50.0-< 150.0 1972 3.0 2.7 1.7 2.3
1980 2.0 2.3 1.8 1.5
150.0 and Over 1972 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1980 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Percentage Distribution
of Farm Area
Farm Size
(Acres) Year Pakistan Punjab Sind N.W.F.P.
< 1.0 1972 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7
1980 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.7
< 5.0 1972 5.3 4.8 4.5 12.7
1980 7.1 6.5 6.4 16.5
5.0-< 25.0 1972 51.8 53.4 63.7 40.5
1980 52.1 53.6 59.8 42.7
25.0-< 50.0 1972 18.8 21.2 13.1 14.2
1980 17.8 19.3 15.0 13.5
50.0-< 150.0 1972 15.0 14.7 10.7 18.9
1980 15.0 14.0 11.8 15.8
150.0 and Over 1972 9.0 5.7 7.9 13.5
1980 8.0 6.4 6.9 11.9
Source : [45; 49].
Table 4
Change in Average Farm Size in Pakistan, 1972 to 1980
Pakistan Punjab
Farm Size 1972 1980 1972 1980
(Acres)
< 1.0 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49
1.0-< 5.0 2.75 2.69 2.78 2.71
5.0-< 12.5 8.21 8.02 8.23 8.05
12.5-< 25.0 16.45 16.47 16.29 16.16
25.0-< 50.0 31.89 31.84 31.62 31.54
50.0-< 150.0 71.86 72.07 70.29 70.95
150 and Over 280.13 301.31 255.57 274.86
Average 13.00 11.50 13.10 11.70
Sind N.W.F.P.
Farm Size 1972 1980 1972 1980
(Acres)
< 1.0 0.67 0.60 0.50 0.48
1.0-< 5.0 3.06 2.98 2.53 2.45
5.0-< 12.5 8.43 8.07 7.53 7.40
12.5-< 25.0 16.76 17.08 16.36 16.83
25.0-< 50.0 31.97 32.62 32.00 31.94
50.0-< 150.0 77.92 71.73 73.18 79.63
150 and Over 374.00 316.00 287.50 481.00
Average 12.70 11.50 9.10 7.60
Source : [45; 49].
Table 5
Renting of Farm Area by Size of Holding in Provinces of Punjab and
Sind, 1971-72 and 1979-80
Area Rented in (000 Acres)
1971-1972 1979-1980
Farm Size Punjab Sind Punjab Sind
(Acres)
up to 5.0
>5.0-25.0 +2,607 +1,856
>25.0-50.0 +1,917 +0,820
>50.0-150.0
over 150.0 +0,538
Area Rented Out (000 Acres)
1971-1972 1979-1980
Farm Size Punjab Sind Punjab Sind
(Acres)
up to 5.0 -5,985 -218 -8,280 -372
>5.0-25.0 -165 -1,023
>25.0-50.0 -1,074 -882
>50.0-150.0 -765 -2,383 -1,540 -2,490
over 150.0 -432 -917 -721
Source : [45; 49; 29, Chapter 3].
Note : The areas rented in and rented out have been determined by
differences in each size of farm between owned and operated areas.
Table 6
Distribution of Major Agricultural Subsidies in Pakistan, 1965-1982
(In Million Rupees)
Plant
Year Fertilizer Protection Seed Mechanization
1965-66 75 15 1 26
1966-67 125 18 2 37
1967-68 89 30 3 27
1968-69 118 31 3 38
1969-70 122 25 2 39
1970-71 98 30 3 --
1971-72 72 54 3 --
1972-73 228 128 2 25
1973-74 118 63 4 22
1974-75 326 112 6 16
1975-76 607 241 6 69
1976-77 381 306 6 74
1977-78 665 289 18 99
1978-79 1,692 -- -- 27
1979-80 2,500 -- -- 48
1980-81 2,448 -- -- 48
1981-82 1,950 -- -- 24
Total Input Subsidy as Percent of
Year Subsidy Development Budget
1965-66 117 5.0
1966-67 182 3.8
1967-68 149 3.5
1968-69 190 4.4
1969-70 188 3.8
1970-71 131 3.1
1971-72 129 6.3
1972-73 383 10.8
1973-74 207 4.3
1974-75 460 5.5
1975-76 923 8.8
1976-77 767 5.8
1977-78 1,071 7.2
1978-79 1,719 10.7
1979-80 2,548 16.2
1980-81 2,496 14.4
1981-82 1,974 9.9
Source: [61]; [16]; [41].
Chart 1
Agrarian Class Differentiation in Pakistan
Class Land
1. Landlords LO > 0
[LR.sub.o] > 0
[LR.sub.i] = 0
2. Capitalist Farmers LO > 0
(Rich Peasants) [LR.sub.o] = 0
[LR.sub.i] > 0
3. Family Farmers (Middle LO > 0
or Poor Peasants) [LR.sub.o] > 0
[LR.sub.i] > 0
4. Sharecroppers LO = 0
[LR.sub.o] = 0
[LR.sub.i] > 0
5. Wage Workers LO = 0
[LR.sub.o] = 0
[LR.sub.i] = 0
Class Labour
1. Landlords SE = 0
[HL.sub.i] > 0
[HL.sub.o] = 0
2. Capitalist Farmers SE > 0
(Rich Peasants) [HL.sub.i] > 0
[HL.sub.o] = 0
3. Family Farmers (Middle SE > 0
or Poor Peasants) [HL.sub.i] = 0
[HL.sub.o] [greater than 0
or equal to]
4. Sharecroppers SE > 0
[HL.sub.i] = 0
[HL.sub.o] [greater than 0
or equal to]
5. Wage Workers SE = 0
[HL.sub.i] = 0
[HL.sub.o] > 0
Note: LO =land owned; [LR.sub.o] = land rented out; [LR.sub.i] = land
rented in; SE= self-employment; [HL.sub.i] = hiring in labour;
[HL.sub.o] hiring out labour