Estimation of distribution of income in Pakistan, using micro data.
Ahmad, Mehboob
INTRODUCTION
Income distribution entered the post war discussion of economic
development fairly late. Until the 1960s much of the focus was on
industrialisation and the need for capital accumulation. Pakistan was no
exception as in the early 60s economic expansion became the main target
and means to political identity. Rapid population growth associated with
steep decline in mortality demanded acceleration of production to keep
pace. Overall aggregate expansion was much faster than before but
without benefit for the poor. In that context emerged a new professional
interest in income distribution.
Haq's (1964) study was one of the oldest studies conducted to
measure inequality in personal income distribution in the high income
brackets in the urban areas of Pakistan. The main objective of the
author was to present the income distribution pattern in terms of the
relative shares of different income groups as well as in terms of Pareto
coefficients and concentration ratio during the period 1948-49 to
1957-58 for which published tax data was available. While recognising
the limitations of the data used, the author went on to calculate
various measures of income inequality including Pareto coefficient and
Lorenz curve. The author also made comparison of Pakistan's income
distribution with U.S.A. and U.K.
Bergan (1967) while using HIES 1963-64 rearranged data by decries
and then calculated Gini coefficients for overall Pakistan, West
Pakistan, East Pakistan, and for both rural and urban areas of Pakistan.
Mujahid (1978) focused to highlight the methodological issues involved
in the measurement of poverty and income inequalities. His main
conclusion was that the level of household income alone as the basis of
measuring the extent of poverty in Pakistan was not a satisfactory
criterion for estimating poverty. In order to find out weather economic
growth had fostered greater inequality for different years between
1963-64 and 1971, Jeetun (1978), using HIES data, measured the trends in
income inequalities in urban, rural and in overall Pakistan. He employed
several statistical measures including Mean, Relative Mean Deviation,
Standard Deviation, Coefficient of Variation, Kuznets Total Disparities
Measure and Gini Coefficient.
Kemal (1981) surveyed studies on income distribution in Pakistan.
He argued that very little attempt has been made to explain the level
and changes in income inequalities and to decompose income inequalities
into inequalities due to occupation, sectors, rural, urban, etc.
Chaudhry (1982) while using the "Farm Accounts and Family
Budgets" data for the period 1965-66 to 1970-71 concluded that the
Green Revolution was actually responsible for reduction of income
disparity between small and large farms, between farm and non-farm rural
classes and between well-to-do and poorer agricultural regions in
Pakistan.
The objective of study by Cheema and Malik (1984) was to find
effects of the different income policies that increase the relative
income share of the poor on the composition and level of consumption
demand and the level of employment in Pakistan. Their results showed
that redistribution of income in favour of poor would have positive
effect on growth potential of the economy by stimulating the demand for
domestically produced and often labour-intensive goods. Main concern of
Mahmood's (1984) study was to compare the results regarding changes
in income distribution derived from various measures of inequalities
including Gini Coefficient, Standard Deviation of Log Income,
Coefficient of Variation, Atkinson's and Theil's Indexes. He
quantified the degree of income inequalities and analysed the
consequences of economic changes on income distribution at different
points in time (1963-64 to 1979).
The contribution of his study, according to Chaudhry (1984), is
that income inequality among groups of households and persons has been
measured on the basis of their per capita rather than per household
income status as the former is decidedly a better indicator of
households welfare and the standard of living enjoyed by them. The
estimates thus derived have been used to test Kuznets hypothesis which
suggests that income inequality tends to increase during first stages of
economic growth, then levels off and finally diminishes during the later
stages. The major objective of de Kruijk and Leewan's (1985) study
was to examine the development of poverty and inequality in Pakistan
during the 1970s and to decompose inequality into various components in
order to identify the location, the magnitude and the change of various
inequalities, de Kruijk (1986) while using HIES 1979 analysed the
incidence of inequality between and within urban and rural, between and
within occupational groups in the four provinces of Pakistan.
The main purpose of Ercelawan's (1988) study was to evaluate
inferences of change in rural inequality from HIES data for 1971-72 and
1979. He computed various Indices for data on households grouped by
household income and expenditures. He also computed aggregation bias,
crude bounds, grouping bias, internal density interpolations, weighted
average bounds, spilt histogram, Pareto mix and applied standard
interpolation techniques to 1979 data to examine efficiency in improving
estimates from aggregated data by using degree of approximation error,
and the extent of stability in errors. Following Kakwani (1980); Iqbal
(1988) derived an alternative formula for the computation of expenditure
elasticity. He suggested that another important measure of income
inequality, namely the Coefficient of Variation could be used
effectively to estimate the expenditure (income) elasticity.
Ahmed and Ludlow (1989) used HIES data to estimate inequality for
income and expenditure for the household by using Coefficient of
Variation, Logarithmic Variance, Gini coefficient, Atkinson Index and
Lorenz Curve for 1979 and 984-85. Kemal (1994) while examining the
adjustment experience of Pakistan since the late seventies and its
impact on efficiency and equity concluded that the freeze on wages and
slower growth of employment had led to a deterioration in the personal
income distribution through changes in the functional income
distribution during 1987-88 to 1990-91. Utilising HIES data of 1990-91,
Jafary and Khattak (1995) have attempted to measure and analyse inequality and poverty in Pakistan. By utilising HIES data Choudhry
0995) computed and analysed income inequalities in Pakistan as well as
in its provinces broken down to rural, urban level. He not only studied
extent of inequality in Pakistan but also its changes overtime measured
on the basis of per capita income distribution involving household.
We can summarise the above studies by stating that: (1) All the
studies mentioned above used secondary grouped or HIES grouped data
which could give rise to sub-standard results. According to Siever
(1979), measurement of income inequality, almost exclusively based on
grouped data, is sensitive to the number of interval chosen and the
assignment of interval means. These effects could overwhelm cross-section comparisons or time series results. The magnitudes of
grouping errors in some cases are substantial. (2) Almost all studies
used household as frame of reference, therefore, ignored the fact that
underlying units could differ in size. (3) Many studies have used
various inequality indices without stating reason for their selection
and preference and as a result, these studies do not give due
consideration to the conceptual underpinnings of these measures, which
are essential for understanding the implications of the results
regarding various measures of income inequality.
In this study we shall utilise non-grouped HIES 1992-93 data to
derive our results concerning income distribution in Pakistan. We shall
also make use of grouped data, whenever necessary, to calculate our
results.
METHODOLOGY
Numerous indices exist for measuring the degree of inequality in
the distribution of income and wealth. They range from simple measures
like the share of aggregate earnings received by each quintile to more
complex measures such as the Gini, Theil, Atkinson and generalised entropy indices. All have different mathematical constructions, which
can lead to different assessments concerning the degree of inequality
[Slotteje (1989)]. For this reason, multiple or package of measures of
inequality are used.
In our study the main measure of inequality used as proxy to show
distribution of income in Pakistan is Gini coefficient. Other measures
calculated are coefficient of variation, standard deviation of logs of
incomes, Theil's index and Atkinson's index. [For details, see
Mehmood (1984)].
DATA BASE AND PACKAGE USED
The main feature of this study is that it is based on individual
household data of the Household Integrated Economic Survey (HIES)
1992-93 being conducted by the Federal Bureau of Statistics. At the time
of this study Household Integrated Economic Survey 1992-93 was the
latest data available on tapes. The universe of this survey consists of
all urban and rural areas of the four provinces of Pakistan defined as
such by 1981 Population Census excluding few areas with population of 4
percent of the total population. The package used to calculate measures
of inequality is Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS).
Household vs. Persons as Frame of Reference
The utility and soundness of any exercise relating to estimating
and analysis of income inequalities not only depends on the choice of
the package of inequality indices but also on the choice of some
appropriate income receiving/consuming unit(s). It is well established
that household is the most appropriate and most commonly used frame of
reference for a meaningful analysis of income distribution. That is why
it is almost exclusively used as basic unit of measurement in surveys
etc. Moreover, in any given society/sector there is a normal household
size and most of the households (in terms of their size) fall around
this 'normal' household. For example, in a country like ours
the normal household size is six and most of the households (size) fall
within close range of this figure. Apart from this it must be remembered
that in almost all societies in general and Muslim society in
particular, inequality among households is more important than
inequality among individual persons within or between households.
There is no doubt that household is the most commonly used frame of
reference. But according to Kuznets (1976) "it makes little sense
to talk about inequality in the distribution of income among families or
households by income per family or household when underlying units
differ so much in size. A large income for a large family may turn out
to be small on a per person or per consumer equivalent basis, and a
small income for a small family may turn out to be large with allowance
for the size of the family. It follows that before any analysis can be
undertaken size distributions of families or households by income per
family or household must be converted to distribution of persons (or
consumers equivalents) by size of family or household income per person
or per consumer" [Kuznets (1976-87)].
In view of the above arguments, an attempt is made to calculate
Gini coefficient as a measure of inequality using both households and
individuals as frame of references. Ours is not the first attempt in
this direction. Number of other writers have calculated various measures
of in equalities for countries of their choice using both households and
individuals as frame of reference. These include Kuznets (1963, 1976),
Ranadive (1965); Ojha (1971); Kumar (1974); Henry (1975); Hsia and Chou
(1978); Visaria (1980); Datta and Meerman 0980); Choudhry (1982, 1984,
1995) and many others.
Estimates of National Inequalities
Estimates of distribution of income are presented in Table 1 below.
The Table shows Gini coefficients for Pakistan as well as for urban and
rural areas of Pakistan. The Table 1 (a) shows Gini coefficients based
on distribution of household by household income. Table 1 (b) contains
Gini coefficients calculated on the basis of persons by household
income. The Table 1 (a) has two columns of Gini coefficients. The first
column is calculated using non-ground micro data and the second column
in calculated by using grouped data being published by the Federal
Bureau of Statistics.
The first column of Table 1 (a) shows that there is more inequality
in rural areas than urban areas as indicated by higher Gini coefficient
of rural areas compared with the urban areas. The column 2 shows just
the opposite results i.e. Gini coefficients based on grouped data show
that there is more inequality in urban areas compared with rural and all
Pakistan. However, almost all coefficients presented in column 2 are
lower than those of in column 1. Many other studies (which utilise
grouped data) including Mahmood (1984); Choudhry (1995); Jafary and
Khattak (1995) support the results of grouped data. But the estimates
using micro data seem to be more realistic than the one obtained by
using grouped data.
Table 1 (b) shows Gini coefficients based on distribution of
persons by household income. The only difference between Table 1 (a)
first column and 1 (b) is that the first Table is based on household
data whereas second Table in based on persons data. As expected the
values of coefficients in Table l (b) is lower than the values in Table
1 (a). This shows that inequality among households is more than among
individuals. Movement from household based data to persons based data
leads to fall in the value of Gini coefficients by 10 points in case of
all Pakistan, 9 points in case of urban areas, and 12 points in case of
rural areas. This indicates very important phenomenon in our rural vs
urban areas i.e. inequality (Gini coefficient) falls more in rural areas
than in urban areas of Pakistan when we moved from household based data
to persons based data. One possible explanation for this is that the
rural incomes are more human labour based than urban incomes. That is
why movement from household based data to persons based data has reduced
the value of Gini coefficients more in rural areas than in urban areas.
In other words high income households in rural areas are those which
have more people living in those households and low income households
are those which have less people living in them. That is why when
incomes were re-divided on persons or per capita basis the inequality
fell as high incomes of larger families were divided among more people
and small incomes of smaller households were divided among people living
in smaller households.
Estimates of Provincial Inequalities
The estimates of provincial inequalities are presented in Tables 2
to 5. The Table 2 is related to inequalities in the province of Punjab.
This Table, again, is divided into (a) and (b). The Table (a) shows
measures of Gini coefficients based on distribution of household by
household income. Gini coefficient are calculated using both non-grouped
micro data and grouped data. They are calculated for all Punjab as well
as for urban and rural Punjab. The Gini coefficients calculated using
grouped data show that in Punjab the distribution of income is same in
rural as well as in urban areas. The Gini coefficients calculated using
micro data show not only more inequality than inequality observed when
we used grouped data but the data also shows that inequality in rural
areas (Gini =0.394) is much higher than in the urban areas (Gini
=0.346). The distribution of income improves tremendously when we used
persons rather than households as the frame of reference in Table 2 (b).
This shows that there is more inequality among households than among
persons. This is simply because in case of households small size
household incomes are matched/ compared with large size households
income without considering the fact that the large size households have
more earners compared with small size households. When we took this fact
into account the distribution of income got improved and the Gini
coefficient fell by almost 10 points. This Table almost confirms our
results in Table (a) except in the case of urban areas. When we changed
our frame of reference from households to persons, the improvement in
the case of urban areas is not at the same level/rate as for over all
Punjab and rural areas. A big improvement is recorded by rural Punjab
where Gini coefficient fell by 11 points (from 0.394 to 0.284) compared
with fall of only 5 points (from 0.346 to 0.294) for urban Punjab. This
big fall in Gini coefficient (inequality)for rural Punjab indicates the
phenomenon, as stated above, that rural incomes are more physical or
human labour based compared with incomes of urban areas. In that case a
household with more people will have more earners (and vice versa),
therefore, will have higher income compared with a household with
smaller number of people. So when we divided incomes on per capita
basis, inequality fell substantially. This is not the case of urban
areas. Here inequality falls too as we move from household data to
persons data but the fall is less than the fall of what we observed in
case of rural areas. In that case it is possible that in urban Punjab,
say, we have a small household but with high income compared with a
household with large numbers of people or earners but with small amount
of income. This shows that here incomes are not physical labour based
only i.e. in urban Punjab many people make their living by involving
themselves in trade, services, entrepreneurship, etc.
Table 3 (a and b) shows Gini coefficients for Sindh. The Gini
coefficients calculated using micro data show that there is a lot of
inequality in urban areas (Gini = 0.521) compared with rural areas (Gini
= 0.441). High inequality in urban areas shows that data collected from
urban areas is heavily influenced by cities of Karachi and Hydarabad.
Whereas relatively low inequality in rural areas indicate that most of
the people in rural Sindh are poor and the rural elites are probably
less represented in the data collected.
The Household grouped data in Table 3 (a) show just the opposite
results. Here there is more inequality in rural areas compared with the
urban areas. The results indicate the dominance of rural elites in the
data collected from rural areas and also in the groups made by the
Bureaus of Statistics.
Table 3 (b) shows the Gini coefficients calculated based on
distribution by persons. As expected this data shows more equality
compared with the household data. Use of per person data improves the
income distribution (Gini coefficient) in urban Sindh. This also shows
commonly observed phenomenon that in cities like Karachi a very high
proportion of population consists of migrant workers who tended to have
small families compared with locals of Karachi. People, when migrate to
cities, migrate alone or with their own family while leaving extended
families behind in the rural areas.
Movement from household based data to persons based data has led to
improvement in the distribution of income tremendously. This is
particularly true in the case of urban Sindh (Gini falls by 23 points
from .521 to .289). Even in rural Sindh, the improvement is phenomenal
(Gini falls by 17 points from .441 to .274). This much fall in Gini
coefficients shows that most of the people incomes in Sindh are,
probably, human labour based even though most of the incomes earned may
not be human labour based. In other words most of the people contacted
by survey officials were, probably, those whose incomes were human
labour based. That in why when household based incomes were divided
among members of the household, the inequality went down sharply.
Table 4 (a and b) shows distribution of income in NWFP. The (a)
part of the Table is based on distribution of household by household
income whereas Table (b) in based on distribution of persons by
household income. The Table (a) shows that in the NWFP there is more
inequality in the urban areas compared with rural areas. In fact there
is a substantial difference between the level of inequality in the two
areas. However, grouped data results show just the opposite i.e. there
in more inequality in the rural areas compared with the urban areas.
When we look at Gini coefficients based on distribution of persons
(Table 4 (b)), the previous results are confirmed as this Table too
shows better distribution in the rural areas compared with urban areas.
In fact in case of rural area distribution has improved by almost 15
point compared with 10 point improvement in urban areas. This shows how
intensity of income inequality is reduced once we move from households
to persons based data. This also shows that in rural NWFP the incomes
earned are probably more human labour based compared with incomes earned
in urban NWFP. This is just the opposite of what we saw in the case of
Sindh where reduction in income inequality was more pronounced in urban
areas once we moved from household to persons data.
Table 5 (a and b) shows the distribution of income in Balochistan.
As before, we calculated Gini coefficients using both non-grouped as
well as grouped data. The household (non-grouped) based Gini
coefficients show that the distribution of income is more or less same
both in urban and rural areas. However, the grouped data shows a high
figure of 0.41 for all Balochistan. The rural and urban areas have the
same Gini coefficient of 0.35.
The persons based data in Table (b) confirms the above results. The
Gini coefficient has fallen by approximately 10 point but in case of
urban areas it has fallen by almost 15 point. This means that when Gini
coefficients are calculated using data on persons, inequality fell more
in the urban areas compared with rural areas. This also shows the lack
of industry (which is main source of inequality in urban areas) in the
urban areas of Balochistan that is why the incomes earned in urban areas
of Balochistan are human labour based. The same was true, as observed
above, for Sindh too but with a difference. In urban Sindh most of the
people represented in data are those who are not very rich whereas in
urban Balochistan most of the people are actually not very rich. As in
Sindh, here again, majority of the people living in urban Balochistan
are migrant workers with smaller families whereas members of extended
families are still in the rural areas. In fact the cities of Balochistan
including Quetta are like small towns of other provinces. That in why
the income earned in urban Balochistan are human labour based.
In Table 6 (below) previous information is brought together in
three sub Tables namely a, b, and c. The both sub-Tables (a) and (b)
show Gini coefficients based on distribution of household by household
income differing only that (b) is calculated using non-grouped micro
data whereas (a) is calculated using grouped data being published by the
Bureau of Statistics. The Table (c) is calculated using micro data based
on distribution of persons by household income. These three Tables could
be used to compare the distribution of income among various provinces.
The Table 6 (a) shows highest level of inequality in Sindh and
Balochistan followed by Punjab and NWFP. The second column of the Table
shows that highest level of inequality is found in urban all Pakistan
and Punjab followed by province of Sindh. The provinces of Sindh, NWFP,
and Balochistan show lowest level of urban inequalities in their income
levels. The figures for rural inequalities are presented in column 3 of
Table 6 (a). The Table shows highest level of inequality in rural Sindh
followed Punjab and NWFP whereas lowest level of rural inequality is
recorded in the province of Balochistan.
When we look at Table 6 (b) we can see that the highest level of
inequality is found in the province of Sindh followed by all Pakistan
and all Punjab. Lowest inequality is found in all Balochistan where Gini
coefficient is only 0.339 compared with 0.425 in Sindh. There is
difference of almost ten points between the two provinces. The highest
level of inequality shown by the Gini coefficient is consistent with the
actual situation in Sindh where big landlords in rural areas are matched
by big industrialists in the urban areas. Between these two there is a
big majority of population which only lives from hand to mouth either in
urban slums or in rural settletments.
The situation becomes even worst when we look at urban data that is
second column of Table 6 (a). The Gini coefficient reaches as high as
0.521 in Sindh compared with only 0.313 in Balochistan. A surprising
calculation is shown by NWFP urban where Gini coefficient reaches to
0.403. This shows relatively high level of inequality in the urban areas
compared with other provinces with the exception of Sindh. Again a high
level of inequality is observed in the rural Sindh (Gini = 0.441)
followed by Punjab (Gini = 0.394) and all Pakistan (Gini = 0.3841).
There is not much difference for Balochistan. It is all the same for
rural and urban Balochistan. in other words when we used household based
non-grouped data, Balochistan showed the lowest level of inequality
compared with any province of Pakistan.
Table 6 (c) is based on distribution of persons by household
income. The first column confirms the first column of Table 6 (b). In
this Table highest level of inequality is recorded by all Sindh followed
by all Punjab and all Pakistan. Accordingly lowest level of inequality
is found in all Balochistan followed by NWFP. When we moved from
household based data (Table 6 (b)) to persons based data (Table 6 (c))
highest level of improvement is recorded by Balochistan (Gini fell from
0.339 to 0.208) followed by NWFP (Gini fell from 0.381 to 0.252). This
is what we observe in reality i.e. in these two provinces there are not
many factories or big businesses, therefore, most of the income earned
here are human labour based. Probably high income households have lager
numbers compared with low income households which have smaller family
sizes. That is why when incomes are divided on per capita basis
inequality (Gini coefficient) fell more sharply in these two provinces.
Column two, which is related to urban areas, shows highest level of
inequality in NWFP (Gini = 0.297) and Punjab (Gini = .294) whereas
lowest level of inequality is shown by the province of Balochistan (Gini
= 0.175). When we moved from household based data (Table 6 (b)) to
persons based data (Table 6 (c)), the highest improvement in inequality
is recorded by Sindh whereas lowest level of improvement is shown by
Punjab. In case of Sindh the Gini coefficient fell from 0.521 to 0.289
(more than 23 points) compared with fail of only 5 point (from 0.346 to
0.294) for urban Punjab. In column three of Table 6 (c), highest level
of inequality is shown by Punjab (Gini = 0.284) followed by Sindh (Gini
= 0.274) and all Pakistan (Gini = 0.260). Movement from Table 6 (b) to 6
(c) leads to improvement in the level of inequality for all the
provinces of Pakistan (including all Pakistan) but this improvement is
more pronounced in the case of urban and rural Sindh and rural NWFP. In
other words the incomes earned in urban and rural Sindh and rural NWFP
are probably more human labour based than incomes earned in other
provinces of Pakistan including all Pakistan.
Distribution of Income: Multi Package Perspective
In this section we shall examine distribution of income in the
light of various measures of income distribution including Standard
Derivation of Log Income, Coefficient of Variation, Atkinson's
Index with epsilon equal to 0.5 and 3.0 and Theil's Index. These
are presented in Table 7. In this Table we calculated rural/urban income
distribution for all Pakistan using all the measures mentioned above.
The calculations are presented in four columns of 1963-64, 1970-71, 1979
and 1992-93. The calculations of first three columns are taken from
Mehmood (1984) whereas indices (calculations) presented in fourth column
are calculated using, HIES data 1992-93. All coefficients (including
that of Mehmood) are calculated using grouped data, except Gini
coefficients presented in first three entries of last column. These
three entries, calculated using micro data, are brought here from Table
1 (a). The Table 7 shows that movement from 1963-64 to 1970-71 leads to
fall in inequality in all Pakistan as well as rural and urban areas of
Pakistan. Then the movement from 1970-71 to 1979 leads to increase in
inequality through out as indicated by the values of all the measures
presented in the Table. But the movement from 1979 to 1992-93 is not
smooth. This is true despite the fact that most of the measures show
rising inequality in Pakistan as well as in the rural and urban areas of
Pakistan. Only few exceptions are noted as follows. When we calculated
Gini coefficient and coefficient of variation the calculations show
rising inequality except for urban areas of Pakistan. Similarly, two
falling entries are recorded by Atkinson's index (e = 0.5) and
Theil's Index. These are for all Pakistan and rural Pakistan.
Except for these minor exception the results presented in the last
column show rising inequalities in the early 90s.
The benefit of using the multi-package is confirmation of the
results. But this is only possible if all results indicate the same
direction. However, if they show contradictory results then the use of
multi package could be confusing as experienced by many people including
Mebmood (1984). In this type of situation it is better to use single
measure of inequality.
CONCLUSION
The main purpose of this paper has been to calculate distribution
of income in Pakistan as well as in its four provinces by making use of
the HIES 1992-93 micro data. Our calculations show that Pakistan is
fairly all right in terms of its distribution of income. The highest
level of inequity is seen in Sindh particularly in rural Sindh and
lowest level of inequality is seen in Blochistan particularly in urban
Blochistan. Most interesting results/conclusion are observed when
calculation are presented/ compared using households as a frame of
reference and persons as a frame of reference. Movement from household
based data to persons based data reduces the values of Gini ratios in
rural areas more than in urban areas indicating a very important
phenomenon in rural vs urban areas of Pakistan i.e. the rural incomes
are more human labour based than urban income. In other words
high-income households in rural areas are those which have probably more
people living in those households and low income households are those
which have less people living in them. That is why when are re-divided
income among persons or on per capita basis the inequality fell as high
incomes of larger families are divided among larger number of people and
small incomes of smaller households are divided among smaller number of
people. The same phenomenon is observed in all provinces of Pakistan but
more so in Sindh and NWFP.
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Comments
There have been numerous attempts to analyse the income
distribution in Pakistan. In this respect the paper by Mehboob Ahmad is
an innovative attempt to estimate the distribution of income in
Pakistan. The main objective of the paper was to estimate the income
distribution in overall Pakistan as well as in all the provinces with
urban-rural breakdown.
The paper utilised both the primary and secondary HIES 1992-93
data. Paper used various income distribution measures to derive the
results.
Paper used households and individuals as a unit of measure. The
paper concludes that "Pakistan is fairly all right in terms of its
distribution of income. The highest level of income inequality is
observed in Sindh, particularly in Rural Sindh and lowest level of
inequality in Balochistan, particularly Urban Balochistan. Paper also
concludes that income inequality is less in rural areas compared to
urban areas when individuals are used as a unit of measure. This is due
to the fact that rural incomes are more human labour based. In other
words high-income households in rural areas are those which have more
people living in these households and lowincome households are those,
which have less people living in these. These are the main conclusions
of the paper.
I have a few general observations on the paper.
(1) There are some typographical mistakes in the paper. On page 7
paper says that "At the end of this paper we shall bring in
relevant data from India to be compared with Pakistan data". Paper
is silent on this statement. The author may report the relevant data for
comparison purpose or delete this as one of the objectives of the paper.
(2) The paper holds that all the previous studies made so far, used
various income distribution measures without providing any explicit
reason for preferring one measure to another. This paper also used
various measures but with the same problem. If all the measures are
imperfect then why should not use the one which is most common.
(3) Paper claims that "High income households in rural areas
are those which have more people Jiving in those households and low
income households are those which have less people living in
these". The paper does not give this estimate or any other
reference. This need to be established in this or any other paper
otherwise without clear empirical evidence this will be a naive statement.
(4) Regarding the results, there is another typographical error.
See Table l(a) and other Tables. The overall result of Pakistan is the
weighted average of the rural and urban estimates. The value reported
for overall Pakistan is greater than the rural and urban values, that
should be in between rural and urban estimates.
(5) Table 10 of the paper reports the trend in income distribution.
The paper has reproduced the first three columns from Mehmood (1984)
paper and fourth column is that of the author estimates from HIES
1992-93. This table shows less income inequality in rural areas than
urban during 1963-64 to 1979. The results for the year 1992-93 are the
reverse of the past trend. This needs to be explained in detail.
(6) The paper deals with the empirical side of the income
distribution. But it falls short of drawing any policy implications in
this regard. At the end let me commend the author for focusing his
attention on an area which has generated intense debate and analysis.
Nasim Shah Shirazi
Suleyman Demeril University, Almaty, Kazakhistan.
Mahboob Ahmad is Assistant Professor, Department of Economics,
Allama Iqbal Open University, Islamabad.
Table 1 (a) Table 1 (b)
Gini Coefficient Based on Gini Coefficient Based on
Distribution of Household Distribution of Persons
by Household Income by Household Income
(HIES 1992-93) (HIES 1992-93)
Area Micro Data Grouped Data Grouped Data
Pakistan 0.398 0.35 0.291
Urban 0.375 0.38 0.285
Rural 0.384 0.36 0.260
Table 2 (a) Table 2 (b)
Gini Coefficient Based on Gini Coefficient Based on
Distribution of Household Distribution of Persons
by Household Income by Household Income
(HIES 1992-93) (HIES 1992-93)
Area Micro Data Grouped Data Micro Data
Punjab 0.398 0.38 0.300
Urban 0.346 0.38 0.294
Rural 0.394 0.37 0.284
Table 3 (a) Table 3 (b)
Gini Coefficient Based on Gini Coefficient Based on
Distribution of Household Distribution of Persons
by Household Income by Household Income
(HIES 1992-93) (HIES 1992-93)
Area Micro Data Grouped Data Micro Data
Sindh 0.425 0.40 0.327
Urban 0.521 0.36 0.289
Rural 0.441 0.40 0.274
Table 4 (a) Table 4 (b)
Gini Coefficient Based on Gini Coefficient Based on
Distribution of Household Distribution of Persons
by Household Income by Household Income
(HIES 1992-93) (HIES 1992-93)
Area Micro Data Grouped Data Micro Data
NWFP 0.381 0.37 0.252
Urban 0.403 0.35 0.297
Rural 0.355 0.37 0.208
Table 5 (a) Table 5 (b)
Gini Coefficient Based on Gini Coefficient Based on
Distribution of Household Distribution of Persons
by Household Income by Household Income
(HIES 1992-93) (HIES 1992-93)
Area Micro Data Grouped Data Micro Data
Balochistan 0.339 0.41 0.208
Urban 0.313 0.35 0.175
Rural 0.324 0.35 0.202
Table 6 (a)
Measures of Gini Coefficients Based on Distribution of Household by
Household Income HIES 1992-93 (Grouped Data)
All Urban Rural
Pakistan 0.35 0.38 0.36
Punjab 0.38 0.38 0.37
Sindh 0.40 0.36 0.40
NWFP 0.37 0.35 0.37
Balochistan 0.41 0.35 0.35
Table 6 (b)
Measures of Gini Coefficient Based on Distribution of Household by
Household Income, HIES 1992-93 (Non-grouped Data)
All Urban Rural
Pakistan 0.398 0.375 0.384
Punjab 0.398 0.346 0.394
Sindh 0.425 0.521 0.441
NWFP 0.381 0.403 0.355
Balochistan 0.339 0.313 0.324
Table 6 (c)
Measures of Cini Coefficient Based on Distribution of Persons by
Household Income, HIES 1992-93 (Non-grouped Data)
All Urban Rural
Pakistan 0.291 0.285 0.260
Punjab 0.300 0.294 0.284
Sindh 0.327 0.289 0.274
NWFP 0.252 0.297 0.208
Balochistan 0.208 0.275 0.202
Table 7
Measures of Household Income Inequalities in Rural, Urban, and
All-Pakistan
Measures of Inequality 1963-64 1970-71 1979 1992-93
Gini Coefficient
All Pak. 0.356 0.321 0.360 0.398
Urban 0.381 0.360 0.414 0.375
Rural 0.350 0.295 0.324 0.384
Standard Deviation of Log Income
All Pak. 0.640 0.562 0.619 0.81
Urban 0.674 0.619 0.699 0.81
Rural 0.632 0.523 0.565 0.80
Coefficient of Variation
All Pak. 0.715 0.645 0.766 0.80
Urban 0.764 0.757 0.927 0.80
Rural 0.694 0.567 0.658 0.77
Atkinson's Index([epsilon]=0.5)
All Pak. 0.102 0.082 0.106 0.09
Urban 0.116 0.105 0.141 0.15
Rural 0.098 0.069 0.085 0.11
Atkinson's Index ([epsilon]=3.0)
All Pak. 0.433 0.349 0.401 0.49
Urban 0.452 0.400 0.473 0.55
Rural 0.427 0.320 0.354 0.46
Theil's Index
All Pak. 0.215 0.176 0.230 0.27
Urban 0.246 0.227 0.315 0.49
Rural 0.204 0.143 0.179 0.13