Driving the future: self-driving cars and smart phones that help you catch a bus are not as far-fetched as you may think.
Teigen, Anne ; Wheet, Alice ; Rall, Jaime 等
The proliferation of wireless technology has transformed American
life--from flipping through an old book to scrolling through an ebook on
a tablet, from calling morn for directions to grandma's to finding
her with an app on your cell phone.
Technology is also changing the way we move from place to place,
bringing not only convenience and safety advances, but also a few
privacy questions and safety concerns.
Let Your Car Do the Driving
Most people would rather spend 45 minutes relaxing, listening to
music or reading a book than spending time commuting in traffic. What if
you could do both? What if you could read a book and wind down after a
long day while your car drives itself?. It may be possible in the near
future with the development of autonomous, or self-driving, vehicles.
Nevada became the first state to authorize the operation of these
vehicles on its roadways in 2011. The law defines an autonomous vehicle
as one that "uses artificial intelligence, sensors and global
positioning system coordinates to drive itself without the active
intervention of a human operator." California and Florida followed
Nevada's lead in 2012, while four other states debated, but did not
pass, similar legislation.
Nevada issued the first license for an autonomous vehicle to be
tested on public roads to Google, the first company to file an
application. Google's self-driving prototype has also been
successfully tested in California. In addition, the U.S. Department of
Defense, auto manufacturers and universities have tested driverless cars
with varying degrees of success.
Proponents of these smart cars note that approximately 35,000
highway fatalities annually and 95 percent of automobile accidents are
caused at least in part by driver error. California Senator Alex Padilla
(D), who sponsored the bill there, is an advocate for the driverless
technology. "Autonomous vehicle technology has the potential to
reduce traffic accidents and save lives," he says.
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Self-driving cars are designed to remove human error, in part by
recognizing objects, other cars and hazards and choosing the best route
to reach a destination. In fact, Google's 12 vehicles have
completed more than 300,000 miles of testing in a wide range of traffic
conditions without a single accident.
Big Questions to Answer
Autonomous vehicles may be the cars of the future but there are
plenty of legal roadblocks to pass through. Laws in every state on
operating motor vehicles, driving while impaired and insuring cars all
make one big assumption--that a human is behind the wheel of a moving
vehicle.
In self-driving cars, who's going to be at fault in an
accident--the person riding in the car or the developer of the
vehicle's software? Who should get the ticket when the police pulls
the car over--the rider or the car'?
How will auto insurance premiums work? Who should carry the auto
insurance and what should it cover? And what if someone hacks into the
car's computer or a virus attacks it or a worm wiggles in?
Then there's distracted driving to consider. Is it acceptable
for a person in a car that drives itself to use a cell phone or tablet?
What about texting?
Nevada lawmakers answered a couple of these questions when they
passed legislation--in the same year they authorized the autonomous cars
allowing the use of wireless devices while legally operating a
self-driving vehicle. The legislation also prohibited those activities
while driving. As this technology spreads, states with distracted
driving laws will also have to address these issues.
Get Ready for Reality
"I think you are going to see many states recognize this
technology, begin to write rules and regulations to accommodate it, and
hopefully do a lot of research," says Florida Senator Jeffrey
Brandes (R).
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For now, a few states are paving the way. In Michigan, the DOT
conducted an online survey of companies involved in the industry to find
out what is needed for a successful testing environment. Many in
southeast Michigan hope it will be considered as a location for the
autonomous vehicle industry. California's law requires the
Department of Motor Vehicles (DMV) to establish safety regulations for
driverless vehicles before January 2015. Florida's law requires a
report from the DMV and Department of Highway Safety detailing the
legislative action needed for autonomous vehicles by February 2014.
"Autonomous technology is not science fiction," says
California's Padilla. "We are living in the era of
Moore's Law, where every two years we double our computer
processing speeds. This is allowing us to make exponential leaps in
advanced technology. To a large extent, that progress has made
self-driving cars possible sooner, rather than later."
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Putting Smart Phones to Work
Each day, buses and trains take millions of Americans to work and
back. These riders include people who may have few other options because
of a disability or lack of income. Many others love the idea of being
able to work, read or enjoy the sights while "somebody" else
worries about parking spots, rush-hour traffic and the price of gas.
Today, transit agencies, state transportation departments and
private companies are using new technologies to make public transit more
user-friendly. In some American cities, transit riders can use their
smart phones to know exactly when the next bus or train will arrive at
their stop. Transit systems are using social media and computerized
displays at transit stops to share travel information.
The Chicago Transit Authority now has a real-time information
system--called "CTA Bus Tracker"--that follows city buses with
GPS and displays their locations and expected arrival times on its
website, in emails or text message updates, and via smart phone apps.
In 2011, the transit authority also launched audio announcements on
electronic signs at 400 bus stops to make real-time, GPS-powered bus
information available to people who don't have cell phones, or who
have visual impairments.
Many of these new technologies are developed by private companies
and used by transit agencies and local governments. States can also help
spur development, for example, by collecting and sharing the needed
data.
Massachusetts' Department of Transportation openly offers data
on its website to developers. The licensing agreement allows individual
citizens and companies to use the real-time and static information to
build mobile applications for travelers. As a result, more than 50
applications are available in Massachusetts, and residents are using
them to find convenient public transportation.
"Where there is valuable, customer-relevant data owned or
maintained by state or local governments, it's good practice to
make it public," says Josh Robin, director of Innovation and
Special Projects at the Massachusetts Bay Transportation Authority.
"It helps government and it helps citizens," he says.
Nationwide, public transit ridership was up 5 percent in early 2012
from the year before, and the number of passenger-miles traveled by 16-
to 34-year-olds increased by 40 percent from 2001 to 2009. The
availability of real-time information may be one reason for the trend.
According to a national survey, 45 of 276 transit agencies provide
some information on mobile devices, and 15 of these offer the
information to riders in real-time. But departments of transportation
and transit agencies face challenges with these advanced technologies.
Web pages and other interactive media require ongoing staff time and
expertise, as well as attention to cyber security and privacy issues.
We Can Only Imagine
A mere 40 years ago, the thought of riding safely in a car that
steers itself would have been, for most people, not only absurd, but
unimaginable. And the idea that you could find instant answers to just
about any question with a swipe of a finger across a device that fits in
a pocket would have been laughable.
But now, knowing that you can send cries for help from that same
little device if a crash sends your car into a ravine or that you can
avoid the accident altogether because your car is driving itself, are no
longer mildly amusing possibilities, but seriously wonderful realities.
And for those who were not yet around 40 years ago, who may already
be taking this technology for granted, imagine--if you can--what might
lie ahead. It's mind-boggling.
Capturing New Revenues: There's an App for That
Smart phones have GPS technology that helps us navigate to our
destinations, whether by ear, by bus or on foot. Now, the Oregon
Department of Transportation is trying out a smart phone app that can
report vehicle mileage for billing purposes. It's part of a
potential future trend in collecting user fees that may eventually
replace the gas tax.
States are looking for new ways to fund transportation projects in
light of declining gas taxes and rising construction costs. One widely
discussed possibility is a Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) fee, which would
charge users based on miles driven instead of gallons of fuel consumed.
No state has established a broad VMT fee, but at least 18 have conducted
pilot projects on the concept. A new phase of Oregon's well-known
pilot project, which began in the fall of 2012, has four payment
options, including a smart phone app.
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"As well as the gas tax has served the road needs of
Oregonians in the past, it has become a declining revenue source,"
says Senator Bruce Starr (R), chair of Oregon's Road User Fee Task
Force. "Oregon will be well served in finding a solution to this
concern before it becomes an emergency." A report to the
legislature was due in February.
Federal officials are looking into a Vehicle Miles Traveled option
as well. U.S. Representative Earl Blumenauer (D) from Oregon introduced
a bill (H.R. 6662) last December to require a study of a national VMT
fee. The idea reportedly has bipartisan support.
Yesterday's Science Fiction, Today's Traffic Efficiency
Cars that drive themselves and phones that tell you where your bus
is? Even though these technologies are taking off, they still seem like
science fiction. But just a few decades ago, some of the transportation
technologies we now take for granted were also cutting-edge. Known as
intelligent transportation systems, these advanced systems are now
widespread, offering cost-effective strategies that help ease traffic
jams and keep us safe on the road. Here are a few examples.
Electronic Tolling. Remember when pitching change into toll baskets
was the only option? Today, almost every toll agency in the country uses
an electronic system to collect tolls through transponders--and often
you don't even have to slow down.
Dynamic Message Signs. They didn't even exist until the
mid-1980s, yet it's as if they've always been there: portable
or permanent electronic signs with amber-colored texts that let you know
when you need to slow down, when accidents or icy roads lie ahead, or
how long it will take to get to your exit.
High-Tech Traffic Signals. Tired of getting stuck at every
stoplight? In many cities, traffic signals are now coordinated to
improve traffic flow or to respond to real-time traffic conditions.
Another common sight is traffic signals at on-ramps that pace how
quickly vehicles get onto the freeway.
Traffic Management Centers. Behind the scenes, high-tech
"nerve centers" called traffic or transportation management
centers allow crews nationwide to monitor highways 24-7 using traffic
cameras and other data so they can keep traffic moving and respond
quickly to emergencies.
Anne Teigen, Alice Wheet and Jaime Rall cover transportation issues
for NCSL.