Accession to the European Union: impact of legislation change on performance of Lithuanian companies/ Prisijungimas prie Europos Sajungos: juridiniu nuostatu itaka Lietuvos imoniu veiklai.
Travkina, Irina ; Dudzeviciute, Gitana ; Maciukeviciene, Liuda 等
1. Introduction
Almost unanimous agreement exits that globalization processes
considerably affect international business environment. The
liberalization of markets and reduced or modified trading barriers, as
it is believed, open new business opportunities. In some cases, alas,
globalization brings new unexpected challenges. One of the greatest
challenges is the growing competition, or changing conditions, which
expose trading companies to new restrictions of both economic and
political character. Under globalization the response to this challenge
depends on the qualities of the organization (Ciburiene 2006), on
competing products cost level and structure (Tvaronaviciene et al.
2008a, b) and on specifics of economic activity (Tvaronaviciene,
Travkina 2006).
Generally, country's ability to occupy a global market share
depends on its competitiveness. There are a lot of criteria elaborated
for country's competitiveness measuring. For example, World
Competitiveness Yearbook (2008) uses 331 criteria such as: economic
performance, government efficiency, business efficiency, infrastructure,
etc. It is notable that those criteria are intertwined and, finally,
affect countries' economic growth and sustainable development (Grybaite, Tvaronaviciene 2008).
In this paper we concentrate on the external factors that affect
Lithuanian companies' economic performance with a special focus on
the degree of redirection of international trade caused by changing
legal conditions. It is being aimed to scrutinize change of
international trade conditions as Lithuania globalizes, and to reveal
some unexpected implications for its competitiveness. The article is
structured as follows: at first we overview transformation of foreign
trade legal conditions after Lithuania has regained independence,
including changes in trade policy after the EU accession. Analysis of a
particular case study let us disclose controversial impact of adoption
of new regulation on Lithuania's ability to compete in
international markets.
2. Foreign trade reforms in Lithuania
Lithuania became an independent state in 1990, what has led to
radical political, economic and social changes. Changes in foreign trade
were partially conditioned by change of economic policy and new
agreements. Specifically, foreign trade was liberalized due to a number
of unilateral decisions and treaties, which created the current
Lithuanian foreign trade regime and trade policy-making structure. A
bilateral and regional free trade agreement, particularly with the EU
and the two other Baltic countries, was another important factor in the
development of Lithuania's foreign trade policy. WTO commitments
have already carried out a positive role in removing trade barriers and
measures that discriminate foreign products and services. The main
areas, which still needed further liberalizing by elimination of both
tariff and non-tariff barriers restricting trade and access to the
market, were agriculture and infrastructure (Bagdanavicius 1999).
From 1st of May 2004 Lithuania applies European Union's
contractual relations with third countries and international
organizations. Thus, the foreign trade policy making is delegated to the
Council and the European Commission as Republic of Lithuania joined the
European Union's common trade policy area.
Enlargement of the European Union has opened additional
opportunities for business in Lithuania as it joined the common market,
with more than 450 million consumers. For the new EU Member State it is
important to cope with increased competition, and, on the other hand, to
penetrate larger markets in order to increase its own economic growth.
Lithuanian-made products now obtain the EU origin and,
respectively, other countries apply corresponding customs tariffs. In
Lithuania free trade (preferential) agreements with Macedonia, Algeria,
Egypt, Israel, Lebanon, Morocco, Palestine, Syria, Tunisia, Jordan,
South Africa, Mexico, Chile, and ACP (Africa-Caribbean-Pacific Ocean)
countries are valid.
The European Union imposes quantitative restrictions on many
categories of textile and clothing imports from third countries. For
import licenses for these goods, Lithuanian enterprises must apply to
the Ministry of Economy of Lithuania. For World Trade Organization
member countries, these restrictions will be valid until 1 January 2005,
the other Member restrictions will remain for a longer period, as
provided for in the European Union and the countries with corresponding
treaties. Special provisions for China's market protection remain
until the year 2009.
The European Union restricts steel imports from Kazakhstan, Russia
and Ukraine. Import licenses are being issued by Ministry of Economy of
Lithuania.
Since 1 January 2005, the European Union had also imposed
quantitative restrictions on the ceramics, dishes, and cutlery and
footwear imports from China. Licenses for import from China have to be
taken from Ministry of Economy of Lithuania.
Since the beginning of the EU membership in the European
Commission's communication on the autonomous tariff suspensions and
quotas, Lithuania has had the possibility to apply to the European
Commission for suspension of customs duties and granted quotas. The main
goal is to help European companies to bring in raw materials,
semi-manufactured products or components in excess of planned
quantities. In order to facilitate the European Union exporter's
access to other markets, the European Commission gathers information
about the various trade restrictions on European Union origin goods,
analyses their import procedures and announces data in the special
database.
Lithuania, like any of the EU countries, applies relatively low
conventional duties, despite suffering itself from certain free trade
distortions, especially in the area of trade with the EU in
"sensitive" agricultural products and textile goods.
Lithuania's accession to the EU impacts trade with Russia which
remains an important source of imports. Introduction of a free trade
with Russia, instead, would significantly enhance Lithuanian
competitiveness.
3. Lithuanian foreign trade development in the period of 1990-2009
Analysis of Lithuanian foreign trade development according to the
above-mentioned reforms and statistical data is made in three stages:
--the first period after the Declaration of Independence
(1990-1997);
--the second period during and after the crisis in Russia and other
CIS countries (1998-2003);
--the third period after the EU accession (the year 2004).
The first period was characterized by dominant trade relationships
with the two most important Lithuania's foreign trade partners of
the integrated economic systems: the East, represented mainly by states
of the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS), and the West,
represented by the European Union. Lithuanian trade with the European
Free Trade Association (EFTA), the Central European Free Trade
Association (CELP) countries changed gradually as treaties were signed,
shares of the United States and Japan changed respectively as
international relationships were shifting towards European countries.
[FIGURE 1 OMITTED]
Despite trade volumes were increasing during the entire considered
time span, including all three conditionally distinguished periods,
trade balance was negative. As it can be observed in Fig. 1, only the
years 1991-1992 yielded the positive trade balance. Alas, it was partly
conditioned by the fast rise in the price level in Lithuania, and
respectively by more expensive export. It was favourable for Lithuania
that the major foreign partners, CIS countries, continued to import
goods. Since the end of 1992 the liberalization of prices in CIS
countries started, what led to the increase in imported energy resources
prices. Although in the period of 1993-1997 trade volumes continued to
grow, the resulting balance appeared to be negative again. In the year
1997 it amounted to 7.136 billion Lt.
The bigger part of trade deficit accounted for complications
related to difficulties with crude oil imports, which was further being
refined in Lithuanian 'Mazeikiu nafta'. A significant portion
of exports, actually, accounted for re-exports. For example, in the year
1997 32% of imported agricultural and food products have been
transferred to another country. Not all international movement of goods
is being reflected by official statistics, because of smuggling. Anyway,
despite some inaccuracies, general trends of international trade are
sufficiently clear.
The foreign trade balance during the second distinguished period,
i.e. in the years 1998-2003, was negative as well. This time the main
factor impacting on international trade was severe crisis in Russia and
other CIS countries (Fig. 2).
In the year 2001 export increased significantly. It is worth to
note that records of enhanced import appeared mainly because of the
increase in fuel re-exports. Fluctuations in imports of crude oil and
export of refined products are determined by volumes of Russian oil
supply and respective usage of Mazeikiu Nafta's productive
capacities (Tvaronaviciene et al. 2008c). At the very end of 2001 growth
rates of export diminished, despite the fact that CIS market was already
recovering after crisis. Lithuania gradually redirected its exports from
West to East.
[FIGURE 2 OMITTED]
Later, in the year 2003, the pace of foreign trade slowed down even
more considerably: the increase of the volume of imported goods was only
6.0%, while the volume of exported goods increased by 9.1%. The main
feature of that year was that exports grew faster than imports,
similarly like in the period of 2000-2001, and unlike in the year 2002.
The growth of export would have been even more impressive, if not the
overhaul of Mazeikiu Nafta.
At the beginning of the third period (in 2004) a number of factors
retarded Lithuania's export prospects. First, Mazeikiu Nafta,
managed by the Russian oil giant Yukos, has been in operational
paralysis and there was a threat of the uncertainty in the oil supply
continuity. Yukos declared concern about possible oil supply
disruptions, and, in such case, it would be very difficult to maintain
the flow of crude oil completely unchanged and stable. It threatened
part of exports related to performance of Mazeikiu Nafta (recall that
export of mineral products comprise about a fifth of the total export
value of Lithuania).
Second, the factor retarding successful export was conditioned by
political issues: Russian officials restricted reciprocally imports from
the European Union countries (including Lithuania's agricultural
products). As a result of Russian new legislation adoption, right after
the EU accession, the export of animal products to Russia has been
completely halted. Slovenia, Malta and Cyprus stated that they had no
opportunities to export agricultural products to Russia. Meanwhile,
seven new EU members started successful negotiations, after which
parties came to an agreement and exports of agricultural products to
Russia were renewed.
In 2004 the new European Union members experienced threat of hardly
predictable aspect of the EU accession side effects (example was
provided above). Uncertainty regarding the future of the Baltic
countries has led to roller coaster of imports during that year: until
the EU accession, i.e, in March-April 2004 unexpectedly the increase in
imports was recorded, which in May already changed to a downturn.
Temporarily incompatible foreign trade reflection rules of
methodological character could have impacted statistical May imports to
Lithuania. During that month Latvia and Estonia experienced food,
mineral products, metals imports decline. Fluctuations were conditioned
not only by irrational inflation expectations leading to consumer goods stocks bubble. External factors, such as the global metals prices
tumble, impacted the situation as well. Lithuania had an import surge
"before entering the EU ", which was the highest among the
Baltic countries.
During the third period imports developed more vigorously if to
compare to exports. Consequent negative trade balance was quite high
(Fig. 3).
[FIGURE 3 OMITTED]
In 2008, the largest export product groups in Lithuania were
mineral products (25 percent of total export), machinery and mechanical
and electrical equipment (11 percent) and chemical products (10
percent). The largest import product groups were mineral products (30
percent of total import), machinery and mechanical and electrical
equipment (14 percent), vehicles and auxiliary transport equipment (10
percent).
In 2008, Russia was the major export partner of Lithuania (16
percent of total export). Other equally significant export partners of
Lithuania with strongly rising export volumes were Latvia (12 percent)
and Germany (7 percent). Three major import partners of Lithuania were
Russia (30 percent of total import), Germany (12 percent) and Poland (10
percent).
4. Food products and beverages
Exports of food products and beverages were very dynamic for the
fifth consecutive years (from 2003 to 2008). The growth of exports of
foods slowed down slightly only at the end of 2008, but remained strong.
For the first time food products represented the largest share of
Lithuanian total exports (in 2008--16 percent of total export, in
2003--12 percent, in 1998--14 percent)). This product group also had a
heavy relative weight in the exports, as in Latvia, Estonia, Poland and
Denmark.
It was expected that the domestic demand for food products and
beverages may shrink next year and the situation in the neighbouring
regions is less than encouraging. Authors consider, that the prospect of
the food products and beverages section in the short run has become
worse, but in the longrun it is constantly increasing worldwide since
increasing food consumption (Fig. 4).
It should be noted that the Russian market has become a very
important market for the food industry because it absorbs about a third
of exported foodstuffs. This situation is similar to the period of
1997-1998, i.e. to the end of the first stage of Lithuanian foreign
trade development (Fig. 5).
[FIGURE 4 OMITTED]
5. A case study: impact of the EU accession on Lithuanian
banana's importers
Banana is a very important fruit. According to quantities consumed
it follows rice, wheat and corn. Bananas are grown in 130 countries
worldwide, mostly in the third countries. India leads in banana
production, but major part of Indian bananas are consumed domestically.
Six main banana exporting countries in 2005, just after Lithuania's
accession to the EU, shared the export market as shown in Fig. 6.
Almost three-quarters of world banana exports are generated in four
countries: Ecuador, Philippines, Costa Rica and Colombia. According to
the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Ecuador
alone exports more than one-third of international banana exports (Fig.
6). In 2005 a record number of 15 Atlantic hurricanes caused significant
damage to Central American banana plantations. Countries like Ecuador
were not exposed to hurricanes in 2005, and therefore benefited from
supplying bananas at comparatively high prices (Workman 2006).
[FIGURE 5 OMITTED]
In 2005 the dominant banana importers were 23 European countries
(29.2%), U.S. (27.5%), Japan (8.2%), Russia (7.9%) and Canada (3.5%)
(www.fao.org).
The EU adopted a new banana import regime of gradually, through a
two-step process, nearing towards a tariff-only system that came into
force on 1 January 2006. Bananas continued to be imported into the EU
under a tariff-rate quota system during the transitional period of
2001-2005. According to Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique,
France (Guyomard, Mouel 2002), banana trade case reveals restructuring
of the EU imports from non-preferred to preferred suppliers.
Transformation of trade conditions in detail is presented in Fig.
7.
New EU members, including Lithuania, were exposed to changing
banana trade conditions. In May 2004 Lithuania automatically adopted
European banana trade system customized to old EU members'
(so-called "traditional" importers) interests.
The traditional importers in Lithuania and other 9 countries which
entered the EU appeared to be "non-traditional" for the EU
market right after accession. Import regulation in the enlarged EU was
being implemented by introducing a licensing system. In this context 17%
of banana imports is being licensed to companies, which have not
historically (looking from the EU point of view) imported bananas, while
83% of the share is attributed to "traditional" European
importers (Grybe 2009).
More specifically, to traditional banana importers economic agents
have been established in the EU and had purchased a minimum quantity of
bananas (250 tons) originating in third countries (Guyomard, Mouel
2002). Such distinction between the so-called "traditional"
and "nontraditional" importers meant that all banana importing
companies originated in 10 new EU members fell under
"non-traditional" importer category with all consequent
implications, i.e. being attributed to non-traditional importers meant
that companies from 10 new Member States may claim 17% of total licensed
banana import volumes.
[FIGURE 7 OMITTED]
Such market regulation appeared to be discriminatory taking into
account that the EU enlarged by 74.1 million people (to 3823 million,
what comprised about 20% of population increase). 17% of licensed import
volumes were distributed between 25 Member States but not between 10
newcomers, which, in turn, were automatically rejected of
"traditional" importers status, and, respectively, licenses.
"Over the quota" tariffs for imported bananas were 900%
higher if to compare with licensed tariffs: 680 Euros against 25 Euros
per ton. De jure in the enlarged EU all 25 Member States operated in
equal conditions, while de facto, EU15 countries had obvious advantage
in terms of exploiting "traditional" importer status and
meanwhile having possibility to claim licenses attributed to quoted
"non-traditional" importers as well.
Consequently, Lithuanian banana importers neither met requirements
set for traditional importers, nor received quotas and respective trade
licenses as non-traditional importers. Hence, during European transition
from quota-tariff to tariff system Lithuanian banana importers found
themselves in a discriminating position as did not receive licensed
quotas with lower tariffs. Lithuanian banana importers became not
competitive as "over the quota" fruit was heavily taxed.
To generalize, European Commission's Regulation No. 896/2001
in terms of banana regime has extracted Lithuanian banana importers from
the competition in the EU25 market during after-accession period.
Bureaucratically, tariff-only regime seems to be a positive tool of
trade lowering barriers, but, actually, process of implementation can
lead to opposite consequences (Grybe 2009).
Entering the EU during transitional period for banana trade regime
meant putting Lithuania into uncompetitive position, even though edible
fruits and nuts comprise a small part of its imports and exports (Table
1).
The tariff-only banana trade now is liberal enough, and, it seems
that any business company can engage in international trade. In reality
the competition is harsh as companies which have already occupied a
significant global market share can enjoy economies of scale, which is
unachievable for new entries.
Fig. 8 reflects composition and volumes' fluctuations of the
main importing company--Litbana. Banana import dropped significantly,
according to the 2005 record. Comparative increase in volumes in 2006 is
partly caused by the rising internal consumption. Another import
recovery impacting factor is political. In the year 2005 Russian
Federation prohibited import of fruits and vegetables from Poland, which
switched fruit routes. Actually, the same Polish production was
channeled through Lithuania, what is vividly reflected in Fig. 9 and
Table 2 (in the year 2006 Russia reappears as important export
destination). Fig. 9 illustrates the process of export redirection
towards the EU market. That clear tendency undoubtedly was conditioned
by the EU accession.
6. Conclusions
Membership in WTO and the EU had a great impact on foreign trade
processes in Lithuania. However, competitiveness of some Lithuanian
companies was subjected to regulation change caused by globalization.
[FIGURE 8 OMITTED]
[FIGURE 9 OMITTED]
Presented case study verifies that free trade principle does not
automatically guarantee equal conditions for competition between old and
new companies, originated in New Member States. Legislation change in
both the EU and third countries affected performance of Lithuanian
companies. Despite changing trade directions, generally, implications of
the EU accession for exports were reflected in substantial export shift
towards the European market.
Received 10 September 2008; accepted 15 February 2009
Iteikta 2008-09-10; priimta 2009-02-15
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WTO: WT/DS27/58, 2 July 2001, Commission Regulation (EC) 896/2001
of 7 May 2001, Council Regulation (EC) 2587/2001 of 19 December 2001;
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DOI: 10.3846/1648-0627.2009.10.142-149
Irina Travkina . PhD student of Vilnius Gediminas Technical
Univesity, Enterprise Economics and Management Department. Research
interests: competitiveness, international trade.
Gitana DUDZEVICIUTE. Dr, Associate Professor of Vilnius Gediminas
Technical Univesity, Enterprise Economics and Management Department.
Research interests: financial markets, economic growth.
Liuda MACIUKEVICIENE. Master of Economics, Head of Department at
Vilnius College of Law and Economics. Research interests: international
economics.
Irina Travkina (1), Gitana Dudzeviciute (2), Liuda Maciukeviciene
(3)
(1,2) Vilnius Gediminas Technical University, Sauletekio al. 11,
LT-10223 Vilnius, Lietuva (3) Vilnius College of Law and Economics,
Laisves pr. 58, LT-05120 Vilnius, Lithuania
E-mails: (1)
[email protected]; (2)
[email protected], (3)
[email protected]
Irina Travkina (1), Gitana Dudzeviciute (2), Liuda Maciukeviciene
(3)
(1,2) Vilniaus Gedimino technikos universitetas, Sauletekio al. 11,
LT-10223 Vilnius, Lietuva (3) Vilniaus teises ir verslo kolegija,
Laisves pr. 58, LT-05120 Vilnius, Lietuva
El. pastas: (1)
[email protected]; (2)
[email protected]; (3)
[email protected]
Table 1. Edible fruits and nuts in total Lithuanian Imports
and Exports, mill Lt and %, respectively
Edible fruits and nuts 2004 2005 2006
Imports 309.9 377.1 660.1
Exports 93.5 154.7 477.0
Balance (216.4) (222.4) (183.1)
% of Total Import 0.9 0.9 1.2
% of Total Export 0.4 0.5 1.3
2007 2008
344.5 1 218.0
741.1 964.6
396.6 (253.4)
1.4 1.7
1.7 1.7
Resource: Department of Statistics to the Government of the Republic
of Lithuania (Statistics Lithuania)
Table 2. Litbana UAB exports of green bananas, million tons
2000 2001 2002 2003
Belarus 3.637.710 3.313.775 4.472.397 4.078.977
Russia 6.071.618 5.360.519 6.406.407 5.943.653
ES/Lithuania 249.565 1.072.104 1.208.756 1.631.591
2004 2005 2006 2007
Belarus 290.491 100.649 138.259 459.765
Russia 583.408 510.366 3.854.870 382.716
ES/Lithuania 13.640.473 7.815.055 9.297.513 10.990.485
Fig. 6. Six main banana exporting countries, 2005
(million metric tonnes)
Philippines; 1,9
Costa Rica; 1,6
Colombia; 1,5
Guatemala; 1,1
Honduras; 0,51
Ecuador; 4,7
Source: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United
Nations (2006)
Note: Table made from pie chart.