Availability modelling of reconfigurable manufacturing system.
Gupta, A. ; Jain, P.K. ; Kumar, D. 等
1. Introduction
Manufacturing companies in the 21st century face increasingly
frequent and unpredictable market changes driven by global competition,
including the rapid introduction of new products and constantly varying
product demand. To remain competitive, companies must design
manufacturing systems that not only produce high-quality products at low
cost, but also allow for rapid response to market changes and consumer
needs. Reconfigurability is a novel engineering technology that
facilitates cost effectiveness and rapid responses to market and product
changes. A cost effective response to market changes requires a new
manufacturing approach. Such an approach not only must combine the high
throughput of a DML with the flexibility of FMS, but also be capable of
responding to market changes by adapting the manufacturing system and
its elements quickly and efficiently. These capabilities are encompassed
in reconfigurable manufacturing systems (RMS), whose capacity and
functionality can be changed exactly when needed (Koren et al., 1999).
Customization, scalability and convertibility (Koren et al., 2003) are
critical reconfiguration characteristics. Implementing RMS
characteristics and principles in the system design leads to achieving
the ultimate goal to create a "living factory" that can
rapidly adjust its production capacity while maintaining high levels of
quality from one part to the next. This adaptability guarantees a high
long-term profit-to-cost-ratio and rapid return on investment of
reconfigurable manufacturing systems. Lokesh and Jain (2011) developed a
three-phased methodology to decide RMS configuration in the desired
period considering various features such as multiproduct line, number of
stages, selection of machine type, machine configuration, number of same
type parallel machine in a stage, machine selection for all stages,
allocation of stage functionality blocks in each stage, etc., and
various constraints and performance measures satisfaction, but existing
configuration consideration is also important to select RMS
configuration in the desired period. A system's configuration
facilitates or impedes its productivity, responsiveness, convertibility
and scalability, and also impacts its daily operations. Multi-stage
manufacturing system allows for several operational configurations,
depending on how the machines are arranged in the stages and how they
are connected via the material handling system. In the general case the
total number of configurations for N machines is huge. The number of
possible configurations increases exponentially with the number of
machines. However, the number of possible RMS configurations is much
smaller. System configurations are classified either as symmetrical or
as asymmetrical, based on whether a symmetric axis is drawn along the
configuration. Asymmetric configurations add immense complexity and are
not viable in real manufacturing lines, because of non-identical
flow-paths for the parts. They therefore need several process plans and
corresponding setups. Different process plans and corresponding
flow-paths increase part quality problems and make quality error
detection more complicated. It is more likely that in a real
manufacturing context, only symmetric configurations are considered;
these are always single process configurations with identical machines
in each stage. The type of systems configurations has an important
impact on their performance. Different types of manufacturing systems
performance measures are reviewed (Hon, 2005). The performance of the
system configurations depends upon how much the system is available to
meet the required demand of the products. This ability of a system
configuration to satisfy production demand requires its availability
evaluation. The evaluation of availability of a system configurations
are influenced by the availability and arrangement of its individual
components. ElMaraghy, H. et al. (2005) introduced the notion of
availability as a functional requirement and used it to compare
manufacturing systems complexity. Manufacturing system specifically
reconfigurable manufacturing systems are typically composed of group of
reconfigurable machines/stations in a specific arrangement. These
individual machines/stations have either identical or different
performance levels (production rates). In addition, each of these
individual machines/stations has several performance states (e.g.
operating, idle, down or under repair). Accordingly, reconfigurable
manufacturing systems have a finite number of performance levels.
Therefore, it belongs to the category of Multi-State Systems (MSS). A
binary system is the simplest case of a MSS having two distinguished
states (perfect functioning and complete
failure). There are others situations in which a system are to be
considered to be a MSS. Any system consisting of different units that
have a cumulative effect on the entire system performance is also to be
considered as a MSS. Indeed, the performance rate of such a system
depends on the availability of its units, as the different numbers of
the available units provide different levels of the task performance.
The MSS was introduced in the middle of the 1970s in (Murchland,
1975). In this works, the basic concepts of MSS reliability were
formulated; the system structure function was defined for coherent MSS,
and its properties were investigated. The reliability importance was
extended to MSS (Griffith, 1980). The concept of equivalent behavior was
introduced (Garriba et al., 1980) to provide a comprehensive description
of states and state transitions in the MSS and its components. Pouret et
al. (1999) was developed a method for the two-sided estimation of MSS
unavailability. The method was based on the binary model, which can be
assessed with the usual tools. An asymptotic approach to the MSS
reliability evaluation was presented (Kolowrocki, 2000). In real-world
problems of MSS reliability analysis, the great number of system states
that need to be evaluated makes it difficult to use traditional
techniques in various optimization problems. Traditional techniques for
assessment of MSS reliability (availability) include Boolean-based
methods, such as minimal cut sets (Aven, 1985) and fault tree technique
(Vesely et al., 1981) can be represented by the Monte-carlo simulation
for the reliability assessment, the main disadvantages of these
approaches are the time and expenses involved in the development and
execution of the model. The approach based on the extension of Boolean
models is historically the first method that was developed and applied
for the MSS availability evaluation. It is based on the natural
expansion of the Boolean methods to the MSS. The main difficulties in
such analysis are the 'dimension damnation' since each system
element can have many different states (not only two states as existed
in the binary-state system). This makes the Boolean approach overworked
and time consuming.
Stochastic-based methods, mainly Markov and semi-Markov processes
(Limnios & Oprisan, 2001) are widely used for the MSS reliability
(availability) analysis are more universal. In fact, this approach was
successfully used for the assessment of multi-state power systems and
some types of communication systems even before MSS was theoretically
defined. The stochastic process method can be applied only to relatively
small MSS because the number of system states increases dramatically
with the increase in the number of system elements. The computational
burden is the crucial factor when one solves optimization problems.
These techniques are inefficient and extremely time consuming if applied
to large MSS because of the high number of system states (Lisniansk
& Levitin, 2003). In contrast, the Universal Generating Function
(UGF) technique is fast enough to be used in these problems. This
technique allows to find the entire MSS steady-state performance
distribution (PD) based on the steady-state PD of its elements by using
a fast algebraic procedure. In this analyst use the same recursive procedures for MSS with a different physical nature of performance and
different types of element interaction. The u-function is extension of
widely known ordinary moment generating function. The essential
difference between the ordinary and UGF is that the latter allows one to
evaluate probabilistic distributions of overall performance.
The Universal Generating Function technique was first introduced by
Ushakov (1986), proved to be efficient in evaluating the availability of
large MSS (Levitin & Lisnianski, 1999). However, it has never been
applied to reconfigurable manufacturing systems. In addition, the
application of UGF to MSS to date is limited to the evaluation of
systems with multiple type of output performance. The application of UGF
in assessing the availability of reconfigurable manufacturing system is
developed in this study. A modification of the original method to
generalize its use and extend it to RMS with multiple types of output
performance is introduced. This enables the application of the UGF
technique to reconfigurable manufacturing systems capable of producing
multiple part types simultaneously. This technique allows finding the
entire system availability based on the steady-state performance
distribution of its elements by using a fast algebraic procedure.
2. Universal Generating Function (UGF):
2.1 Brief Description:
The UGF (u-function) technique was proved to be very effective for
the reliability evaluation of different types of MSS (Lisniansk &
Levitin, 2003). In particular, the UGF enables to assess availability of
multi-state systems. UGF allows evaluating probabilistic distributions
of overall performance for wide range of systems characterized by
different topology, different nature of interaction among system
elements and different physical nature of element's performance
measures. This is done by introducing different composition operators
over the UGF. The main assumptions when using the UGF technique was that
the system elements are mutually statistically independent.
The UGF of the distribution of a discrete random variable X (can be
any stochastic performance level), which can have K values ([a.sub.1],
[a.sub.2], [a.sub.K]), is the function U(Z) defined for all real numbers
Z by:
U(Z) = [K.summation over (i=1)] [P.sub.i][Z.sup.a.sub.i] (1)
where [p.sub.i] is the probability that the random variable X under
consideration takes the value [a.sub.i], and Z is the argument of the
generating function.
Consider systems described as reducible structures, i.e.,
structures that can be represented as compositions of serial and
parallel connections of a group of components (e.g. manufacturing system
configurations). A characteristic property of such systems is that each
of them can be reduced to a single equivalent component by means of a
finite number of composition operators. composition operators are used
to obtain the overall UGF of these systems by applying simple algebraic
operations to the UGF of their components. Steady-state availability of
a repairable system, as a performance measure, is the probability that
the system is, on average, performing satisfactorily over a reasonable
period of time (Lewis, 1987). To obtain steady state probability
distributions of the different states of a multi-state system based on
the probability distributions of the states of its individual
components, the composition operator [phi] is defined by:
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (2)
The f ([a.sub.i], [a.sub.j]) is defined according to the physical
nature of the multi-state system performance and the interactions
between its components. It expresses the entire performance level of a
subsystem consisting of two components connected in parallel or in
series in terms of the performance levels of its individual components.
Let [pi] be the composition operator corresponding to a parallel
connection of components and a is the composition operator for a series
connection. Composition operator's [pi] and [sigma] are special
cases of [phi]. For MSS that uses capacity of its components as its
performance level (e.g. production rates in our case), the two
operators, [pi] and [sigma] are defined as follows:
* The system total performance level is the addition of the
performance levels of all components in parallel arrangement.
Accordingly, the [pi] operator is the product of the individual UGF of
system components and [cross product] is the composition operator over
U-function for the elements connected in parallel or series:
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (3)
* The system total performance level is the minimum of the
performance levels of all components in serial arrangement. Accordingly,
the a operator is applied to choose the minimum performance level which
corresponds to the bottleneck component:
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (4)
Evidently, a successive application of the composition operators,
[pi] and [sigma], reduces any reducible structure to an equivalent
component. Consequently, the UGF of the entire multi state system is
obtained in the form:
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (5)
2.2 UGF Modification
A modification to the UGF is developed to consider systems with
multiple independent types of output performance that collectively
affect the assessment of the performance measure of the system. These
output performance types (e.g. production rates for multiple part types
in RMS) is to be expressed, in such a case, by a vector, the length of
which is the number of these types rather than a single variable.
Accordingly, the UGF expressed in (1) is now be replaced by:
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (6)
where is [G.sub.i] the output performance types vector.
In MSS of this type, the total performance rate of a pair of
elements connected in parallel is equal to the sum of the performance
rates of the individual elements. When the elements are connected in
series, the element with the lowest performance rate becomes the
bottleneck of the subsystem. Therefore, for a pair of elements connected
in series the performance rate of the subsystem is equal to the minimum
of the performance rates of the individual elements. When applying the
composition operators [pi] and [sigma], expressed in (3) and (4), the
summation/comparison are now vector operations applied to corresponding
elements of vectors [G.sub.i] and [G.sub.j] The resultant vector is the
same size and includes the performance level corresponding to each type
of output performance. The modified operators are now expressed as
follows:
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (7)
And
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (8)
By applying the modified composition operators, the UGF of the
entire multi state system is now obtained in the form:
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (9)
3. Application to Reconfigurable Manufacturing System
3.1 Availability of RMS
Consider the reconfigurable manufacturing system requires the N
machines for processing the parts family. Figure 1 show the typical part
family in which part two parts variant are to be manufactured in
reconfigurable environment. The number of machines required depends upon
the parts demand and the total processing time for the part and the time
available in the particular day/ shift. This yielded system designer,
the minimum number of the machines needed to meet the required demand.
The next step is to arrange these machines in the one of the possible
configurations to take the advantage as much as possible in terms of
productivity and cost. In general, the number of possible configurations
for the N machines is huge but the number of possible RMS configurations
is much smaller as indicated in the Table 1. The basic equation for
calculating the number of possible configurations is as follows:
K = [N.summation over (i=1)] (N-1/m-1) = [2.sup.N-1] (10)
where, K is the number of possible configurations with N machines
arranged in the exactly m stages. For example, for N=6 machines arranged
in up to 6 stages, eq. (10) yields K= 32 configurations, and if arranged
in exactly 3 stages yield K= 10 configurations. The mathematical results
of the equation (10) for any N and be arranged in the triangular format
is called Pascal Triangle as shown in the Table 1. This triangle allowed
system designer to immediately calculate and visualize the number of the
possible RMS configurations for N machines arranged in the m stages.
[FIGURE 1 OMITTED]
Figure 2 shows a typical configuration structure used in the
reconfigurable manufacturing system which is the flow line that allow
the parallel of machines/stations in different production stages. The
presence of multiple parallel machines/stations per stage reduces the
effect of breakdown of any of the machines thus the use of buffers is
not always essential. This typical reconfigurable structure is capable
of producing the multiple parts.
[FIGURE 2 OMITTED]
In Figure 2, St stands for ith stage, [M.sup.j.sub.i] for ith
machine/station in jth configuration. Here The reconfigurable
manufacturing system exemplified in Figure 2 is a MSMS that falls under
the category of reducible structures. Accordingly, the application of
UGF in evaluating its availability is justified.
In the context of RMS, the system availability, defined in Section
2.1, is considered a measure of the ability of the system to satisfy the
demand requirements. To evaluate the steady-state availability of the
system, the availability of its individual components
(machines/stations) and their individual performance levels for
different types of output performance (i.e. production rates
corresponding to multiple parts types being produced) is considered.
3.2 Application of UGF
Consider the steady-state availability of each individual
machine/station j with two possible states (operating or failed) to be
[R.sub.j]. The performance level of this machine/station is a vector of
all output performance types (production rates corresponding to each
part type). This performance level can either be 0 (when failed) with
probability of occurrence of (1-[R.sub.j]) or [PR.sub.j] (when
operating) with probability of occurrence of [R.sub.j] where [PR.sub.j]
is a vector of nominal production rates corresponding to each part type.
In such case, the polynomial UGF in eq. (6) has only two terms as
follows:
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (11)
The UGF of the entire system is obtained through successive
applications of the composition operators as described in eq. (7) and
eq. (8). it represents all the possible states of the system by relating
the probability of each system state to the expected performance of the
system in that state. The system availability is the probability that
the system is in one of those states in which the system production
rates satisfy the target demand requirements, which is the summation of
the probabilities of occurrence of those states.
4. Numerical illustration
For illustrating the above approach, a reconfigurable manufacturing
system that produces multiple part types simultaneously is considered to
explain the application of the modified UGF technique in evaluating
system availability and its computational merits. The said system is
capable to produce the typical part and its variant simultaneously as
shown in the figure 1. Four reconfigurable machines are required to
complete all the desired operations for producing the typical part type.
The steady state availability of the reconfigurable machines is
calculated by using the equations (12) and (13) and presented in Table
2.
[MTTF.sub.M] = [MTTF.sub.C]/ No. of Components (12)
Machine Availability (R) = [MTTF.sub.M]/([MTTF.sub.M] +
[MTTR.sub.M]) (13)
where, MTTF is the mean time to failure and MTTR is the mean time
to repair for components and the machine. The MTTF and MTTR for each
machine are taken hypnotically but for practical application, it is
available to the system designer a priori. The demand for two parts is
assumed 120 and 180 for initial period and system is capable to meet the
additional demand in subsequent reconfiguration.
In the example problem, once the number of machines is taken to
complete all operations, the next step of the system designer/analyst is
to calculate the number of total possible symmetrical configuration
using the equation 10 or directly it is taken according to the table 1.
The number of possible RMS configurations for our problem is eight, are
further classified in terms of number of stages as highlighted in table
1. These symmetrical configurations do require simple material handling
system for loading /unloading the station as well as they provide
bidirectional material movement. Also, variable process plan can easily
adoptable for these configurations. The all possible symmetrical
configurations for the example problem are presented in Figure 3.
In Figure 3 configuration A is pure serial and of the four stages.
Configuration H is of pure parallel and of single stage. The remaining
configurations are hybrid and of two and three stages respectively.
These possible configurations gave the different availability value in
terms of their performance. In order to obtain the UGF representing the
system configuration availability performance, we first defined the
U-function for each element (machine) such as [U.sub.1](Z),
[U.sub.2](Z), [U.sub.3](Z) and [U.sub.4](Z) in accordance with the
eq.(11) for machines [M.sup.1.sub.1], [M.sup.1.sub.2], [M.sup.1.sub.3]
and [M.sup.1.sub.4] respectively.
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII]
Similarly, we calculated the [U.sub.2](Z), [U.sub.3](Z) and
[U.sub.4](Z) which is come out equal to the [U.sub.1](Z). This is
because the individual machine availability and their production rates
are taken equal in the example problem.
[FIGURE 3 OMITTED]
Once the U- function for the individual machines (elements) are
determined then obtain the U-function for the pair of mutually
independent elements connected in a series or in parallel and replace
this pair with an equivalent elements with U-function obtained by the
composition operators using eq. (7) and eq.(8). If the system
configuration contains more than one pair of element then repeat the
above procedure.
Lets us take the configuration D for sample calculations for the
illustration. This particular configuration is having two stages. Each
stage is having two RMT which are parallel and then connected in series.
First, the U-function for the pair of elements connected in parallel
(stage1) is calculated as follows:
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII]
and, for stage 2, the U-function is:
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII]
The UGF of this system configuration is obtained by applying the
series ([sigma]) composition operators to the two serial stages as
follows:
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII]
In calculation, the UGF combine common terms and thus reduced the
number of system state from eight into the above three state
corresponding to the three vectors of production rates. Following the
above mentioned steps, we determined the UGF function for the all the
possible system configurations in figure 3 and found availability values
of the different system configurations. The availability of each
symmetrical configuration is presented in the figure 4 for the initial
demand.
The expected production (EP) of the system configuration
corresponding to the different part types is deduced from Eq. (14).
EP = [summation over (all j)] [R.sub.i] [PR.sub.j] (14)
where EP is a vector of the expected values (expectations) of the
actual production capacity (possible production rates) of the system
configuration corresponding to different part types obtained using the
UGF after considering availability. The feasibility of system over a
period of time (that is, a configuration period) is accomplished if the
expected values (expectations) of the system production capacity,
corresponding to different part types, fulfill the demand requirements
for these part types. These expectations reflect the performance
(production rates) of the system in its different possible states,
considering availability, and the probabilities of occurrence of these
states. if the demand is 100 for part1 and 120 for part 2 for
configuration used for sample calculations, and first state in obtained
UGF of configuration, does not satisfy the requirement but the remaining
two states does. Hence, the system configuration availability is equal
to the 0.9449 (the sum of probabilities of the satisfactory states).
Similarly, if the requirements of two parts are 150 and 200
respectively, then the system configurations availability is found
0.4815 (i.e. probability associated with third state). This means that
the system is 94.49% and 48.15% available to satisfy the required demand
of 100,120 and 150,200 parts. Availability determination is further
extended to calculate the expected production. The expected production
(EP) is found 94 of part1and 113 of part2 using equation 14. Further,
System utilization is defined as the ratio of the expected production
relative to its capacity (demand).The system utilization for the sample
configuration is 94% for part 1 and 94.17% for the part 2.
Although the utilization of the system has to be below 100% to
warrant its feasibility, the closer to 100% the system utilization is,
the more it is able to provide the capacity needed when it is needed,
which is one of the main objectives of changeable and reconfigurable
manufacturing systems. Finally, High system availability reflects
stability of the system in meeting its demand requirements, and system
utilization reflects closeness of the system to providing the capacity
needed when needed.
5. Conclusions and Future Scope
Availability of a manufacturing system provides a measure for its
ability to meet targeted demand requirements. The use of the Universal
Generating Function (UGF) technique in assessing the availability of
Reconfigurable Manufacturing Systems (RMS) has been developed. one of
the major contributions in the presented work is the modification of the
original technique to be capable of dealing with multiple types of
output performance. This allows evaluating the availability of
reconfigurable manufacturing systems that produce more than one part
type simultaneously. The application of the modified UGF to RMS and its
computational merits in terms of reduction in the number of system
states were illustrated using an example. This shows that the UGF
technique is a powerful tool for comparing different systems
configurations based on availability, and supporting the system designer
in making the necessary tradeoffs decisions. The use of such a
computationally efficient technique has an important significance in the
field of reconfigurable manufacturing systems performance evaluation. it
permits the evaluation of large systems in reasonable time. This
application of the proposed UGF-based availability model is limited to
reconfigurable manufacturing systems without buffer capacity between the
different production stages. Modeling such systems with finite buffer
capacity can be a valuable area for future scope. Also, one can apply
this model to select the optimal configuration for multi task
manufacturing system.
DOI:10.2507/daaam.scibook.2012.21
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Authors' data: Gupta, A[shutosh]; Jain, P[ramod] K[umar];
Kumar, D[inesh], Mechanical & Industrial Engineering Department,
Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, India,
[email protected],
[email protected],
[email protected]
Tab. 1. Pascal Triangle for Calculating the Number of
possible configurations
Total No of
Number of Possible Configurations Configurations
1 1 1
Number of 2 1 1 2
Machines 3 1 2 1 4
4 1 3 3 1 8
5 1 4 6 4 1 16
6 1 5 10 10 5 1 32
7 1 6 15 20 15 6 1 64
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Number of stages
Tab. 2. Steady state availability
Machine Type No of [MTTF.sub.C] [MTTR.sub.C]
Components
[M.sup.1.sub.1] 10 1000 20
[M.sup.1.sub.2] 10 1000 20
[M.sup.1.sub.3] 10 1000 20
[M.sup.1.sub.4] 10 1000 20
[M.sup.2.sub.2] 15 1000 20
[M.sup.2.sub.2] 15 1000 20
[M.sup.2.sub.3] 20 1000 20
[M.sup.2.sub.3] 20 1000 20
[M.sup.2.sub.4] 30 1000 20
[M.sup.2.sub.4] 30 1000 20
Machine Type [MTTF.sub.M] [MTTR.sub.M] Availability
[M.sup.1.sub.1] 100 20 0.833
[M.sup.1.sub.2] 100 20 0.833
[M.sup.1.sub.3] 100 20 0.833
[M.sup.1.sub.4] 100 20 0.833
[M.sup.2.sub.2] 66.67 20 0.769
[M.sup.2.sub.2] 66.67 20 0.769
[M.sup.2.sub.3] 50 20 0.714
[M.sup.2.sub.3] 50 20 0.714
[M.sup.2.sub.4] 33.33 20 0.625
[M.sup.2.sub.4] 33.33 20 0.625
Fig. 4. Availability values for the different configurations
System Availability
0,0 120,180 240,360 360,540 540,720
Conf A 0.5185 0.4815 0 0 0
Conf B 0.0937 0.4248 0.4815 0 0
Conf C 0.3255 0.6745 0 0 0
Conf D 0.0552 0.4634 0.4815 0 0
Conf E 0.1700 0.8291 0 0 0
Conf F 0.3255 0.6745 0 0 0
Conf G 0.3255 0.6475 0 0 0
Conf H 0.0008 0.0155 0.1162 0.3861 0.4815