The impacts of foreclosure on collective efficacy and civic engagement: findings from two Central California communities.
Weffer, Simon E. ; Sylvester, Dari ; Mullooly, James 等
The Central San Joaquin Valley, the agricultural heart of
California (and the nation), is among the areas hardest hit by the
latest economic downturn, and it stands on the leading edge of the
foreclosure crisis. The downturns in construction caused by the
recession, combined with limited employment opportunities in this
region, led to skyrocketing unemployment rates. According to US
Department of Labor estimates, nine of the 10 worst cities in terms of
unemployment were in the San Joaquin Valley--including our three urban
research sites of Fresno, Merced, and Stockton (Bureau of Labor
Statistics 2012).
To this point, sociologists have failed to examine how foreclosures
affect collective efficacy and civic engagement. In this article, we
seek to fill this gap by applying Sampson, Raudenbush, and Earl's
(1997) concept of collective efficacy to the study of two communities,
one urban and one rural, in California's Central San Joaquin
Valley. In their pioneering research on neighborhood dynamics in
Chicago, Sampson et al. (1997, 918) argue that collective efficacy is
the common intent to reduce the existing problems within a neighborhood.
Since neighborhood collective efficacy is dependent on social cohesion
and social control, these factors are crucial indicators of how
foreclosures affect neighborhoods. Social cohesion is defined as the
ability of neighbors to coexist and work well together. Social control
is defined as the ability of neighbors to work together to prevent and
solve problems within their community. To this point, much of our
knowledge about this topic comes from anecdotal stories and news reports
that suggest that neighborhood foreclosures cause a strain in
neighborhood efficacy. The moving in and out of families disrupts the
order of the neighborhood, causing relationships to be less stable than
in neighborhoods where foreclosures are not as common.
What Sampson et al. (1997) show is that increased neighborhood
cohesion is associated with positive outcomes as well as fewer social
dislocations. The greater the level of social cohesion within a
neighborhood, and the greater overall social control, the better able a
neighborhood is to ameliorate negative outcomes such as violence. For
example, if a neighborhood has high cohesion, there is likely to be a
greater sense of trust among its residents. In order to retain this
trust, neighbors are more likely to exercise behaviors that reaffirm
this belief and work together to prevent disruptions of trust (such as
violence). Therefore, individuals are more likely to intervene in
situations in which the common good of the neighborhood is threatened.
Greater collective efficacy was positively associated in the study with
higher socioeconomic status, homeownership, and older age. This
reaffirms the association between residential stability on the one hand
and neighborhood cohesion and social control (and therefore collective
efficacy) on the other. Foreclosures interrupt this stability and
negatively affect the lives of the people within the neighborhood.
Sampson, Morenoff, and Earls (1999) show that diminished social
control leaves the neighborhood more vulnerable to crime, or at least
causes individuals to feel less safe. Empty houses within neighborhoods
seem to decrease safety because they serve as an outlet for gangs, the
homeless, drug addicts, and teenagers. Furthermore, when houses are
empty for extended periods of time, they may become less presentable,
lowering market values and discouraging potential new neighbors from
entering the area. Again, this could result in less social cohesion
since the neighborhood's population is shrinking, but the
likelihood of crime is growing.
Other scholars have used the concept of collective efficacy to
study a variety of topics. For example, Browning and Cagney (2002) show
that collective efficacy can be (along with financial stability) an
indicator of the capacity of local schools to affect educational
outcomes. They document a positive association between collective
efficacy and education, so that when collective efficacy is high, it
helps to protect the quality of public education. Therefore, when
neighborhoods experience frequent foreclosures, their collective
efficacy is likely to decline, and this in turn could negatively affect
their school systems. Additionally, there is a relationship between
neighborhood stability and collective efficacy regarding self-reports of
overall health. Browning and Cagney (2002) note that when a neighborhood
experiences frequent instability, its residents are more likely to
report poorer health outcomes.
Using a modified version of Sampson et al.'s (1997) collective
efficacy scale, Williams and Guerra (2011) found that lower collective
efficacy is positively correlated with bullying within schools. In their
study, rates of bullying were lower in schools with higher levels of
cohesion and trust among students and teachers. This sense of cohesion
and collective efficacy is likely to be affected by the shifts within
neighborhoods associated with foreclosures. If a neighborhood is
experiencing frequent foreclosures, the student population in a
particular school may be altered due to the relocation of some students
to other school districts. Hence, there could be a positive association
between neighborhood stability and school stability.
Galster, Cutsinger, and Lim (2007) argue that neighborhoods with
higher poverty rates show lower efficacy and higher levels of
residential instability. Individuals with a lower socioeconomic status
are also more likely to experience foreclosures. When residential shifts
are a frequent occurrence in a neighborhood, it is difficult to build a
sense of cohesion, and the lack of strong relationships among neighbors
reduces collective efficacy. Allen (2010) further suggests that the
residential instability associated with foreclosures weakens the support
networks within the neighborhood, because some families are forced to
leave in search of new housing. Furthermore, foreclosures decrease the
value of the remaining properties. When houses are uninhabited, they are
often left unkept, further discouraging potential new residents from
moving to the neighborhood (Immergluck and Smith 2006).
The problems associated with foreclosures are likely to be
concentrated in minority neighborhoods. Minority households are more
likely to experience foreclosure than white households are, regardless
of loan type. One reason for this may be the fact that most immigrants
in the United States are racial or ethnic minorities and are more likely
to have low to moderate incomes in relation to native-born inhabitants.
Additionally, neighborhoods inhabited by a majority of immigrants are
more likely to experience the negative impacts of a foreclosure (Allen
2010; Rugh and Massey 2012). Rugh and Massey argue that the segregation
of the United States has "racialized and intensified the
consequences of the housing bubble" (2012,645). They show that the
higher the concentration of Latino/as and (especially) African Americans
in an urban area, the higher the number and rate of foreclosures. They
suggest this is because financial institutions disproportionately
provided subprime and predatory loans to residents in those
neighborhoods.
In this article, we build upon the literature reviewed above to
explore the civic outcomes of high rates of foreclosure. Immergluck and
Smith (2006, 57) note that "these [foreclosed] properties ...
discourage the formation of social capital." However, few scholars
have systematically addressed the ways in which high rates of
neighborhood foreclosure may promote or hinder various forms of civic
participation. Mothorpe (2008) suggests that increased foreclosure rates
tend to increase the number of homes converted to rental units, and that
renters may be less inclined to fully engage in the civic life of the
community, including neighborhood programs. Ross and Squires (2011)
studied the perceived individual costs of increasing foreclosure rates.
They found that foreclosures have resulted in reported increases in
feelings of general mistrust, stress, and insecurity; often, these
feelings were not directed only toward mortgage lenders. Although Ross
and Squires do not take this up directly, it is plausible that
individuals who are increasingly mistrustful of financial institutions
may not feel entirely trusting of governmental and civic institutions
either. Estrada-Correa and Johnson (2012) have found that high
foreclosure rates depressed rates of voter turnout in the 2008
presidential election, even when controlling for a variety of other
variables such as education and habitual voter participation.
Research Design
Data for this article come from the Partnership for Assessing
Communities project, which has collected data from semi-structured
interviews in six communities in the Central San Joaquin Valley since
2007. We employed a mixed-methods design for our research (Creswell
2008). Qualitative and quantitative methods were combined to investigate
the questions surrounding foreclosure in the San Joaquin Valley. Our
research design reflected the various disciplinary perspectives
represented in our research team, including anthropologists, economists,
sociologists, and political scientists.
The authors of this study were fortunate to be able to collect
residents' perceptions of the quality of life in the San Joaquin
Valley before the inception of the foreclosure crisis. As noted by
DeLugan et. al (2011), although "there are a handful of recent
regional studies on specific topics ... the Central San Joaquin Valley
lacks consistent, longitudinal data about local communities and their
well-being." The team considered a wide variety of issues in the
initial construction of the study, given the different backgrounds and
stakeholders involved with the project. Project stakeholders included
nongovernmental organizations and governmental leaders, Valley
residents, and academic researchers hoping to improve life in the
Central Valley.
In this article, we focus on the impact of foreclosure rates on
various measures of social control and cohesion, based on
semi-structured interviews conducted in one urban and one rural
community in the San Joaquin Valley, South Merced and Planada,
respectively. At the time of writing, data from four other communities
in the study were incomplete and were still being coded. Each
semi-structured interview lasted between 45 minutes and one hour.
Site Selection
The annual survey data collected in South Merced and Planada were
part of a larger study, begun in 2007, of the quality of life in six
population centers. The six selected locations represented economically
struggling neighborhoods in rural and urban centers across the Valley.
The areas selected were the most likely to be adversely affected by
downturns in the economy, and they proved to be ideal sites of research
once the deep recession began. Data were collected from three urban
communities (Midtown Magnolia in Stockton, El Dorado Park in Fresno,
South Merced in Merced) and three rural communities near each of those
cities (Riverbank, Orange Cove, and Planada, respectively). Once the
sites were established, faculty-student teams were built at each campus
and trained to generate data for this study. We collected data through
site visits and annual surveys of at least 25 subjects from each site.
(1)
Data and Methods
For this article, we focus on the survey responses regarding issues
of social control and social cohesion. We used questions drawn from the
Project on Human Development in Chicago Neighborhoods that was first
discussed in Sampson et al. (1997). (These are a series of questions
using a five-point Likert scale; for the exact wording of the questions,
see Appendix A.) We combined the scores associated with each question to
obtain a total score between 11 and 55, with 11 being the highest
feeling of efficacy and 55 being the lowest. To examine the levels of
efficacy, we first ranked the scores and then coded them from the
highest to the lowest quartile using the following categories: High
Efficacy, Moderately High Efficacy, Moderately Low Efficacy, and Low
Efficacy. To understand community barriers, we asked an open-ended
question, "What are the three biggest challenges to improving the
quality of life in [location]?"
Based on previous research on neighborhood dynamics and efficacy
and foreclosure, we examined the impact of the following independent
variables on our measure of collective efficacy for each respondent:
* Gender
* Employment status
* Race
* Education attainment
* Number of years lived in the community
* Relocation from a foreign country to Central Valley
* Census-tract residential stability (as measured by the 2010
Census)
* Number of friends/family members experiencing foreclosure
* Number of foreclosures on the respondent's block
For the analysis of respondents' civic engagement, we included
all of the above variables as well as the respondent's efficacy
score. We used the following questions to examine levels of civic
engagement:
* Have you worn a campaign button, put a sticker on your car, or
placed a sign in front of your house?
* Have you contributed money to a candidate, a political party, or
any organization that supported candidates?
* Have you contacted or visited a public official--at any level of
government--to ask for assistance or to express your opinion?
* Have you worked together informally with someone or some group to
solve a problem in the community where you live?
* Have you spent time participating in any community service or
volunteer activity? (By volunteer activity, I mean actually working in
some way to help others for no pay.)
Results
Initially, we wanted to get a sense of how demographic factors were
related to respondents' collective efficacy scores. Thus, we first
examined descriptive statistics from our four years of data collection,
2007-2010, in Planada and South Merced, California. We created a scale
of collective efficacy based on 11 items that captured the
respondents' sense of social control and social cohesion within
their communities on a scale ranging from 0 to 100. (The exact wording
of the items in the scale can be found in Appendix A.) An efficacy score
of 100 would indicate an individual who believes that people in his/her
community would work together to solve problems, trust one another, and
can be trusted. By contrast, a score of or near zero would indicate an
individual who is extremely pessimistic about the ability of the
community to work together toward collective goals or who believes that
people in his/her community are very untrustworthy.
Table 1 reports mean efficacy scores broken down by our main
variables of interest. It is worth noting that residents of Planada
reported significantly higher average levels of efficacy when compared
to their South Merced counterparts: whereas South Merced respondents had
an average efficacy score of 67.3, Planada respondents averaged 72.2.
These results are consistent with our previous research findings across
a number of geographic locations showing that residents of rural areas
tend to cite higher levels of collective efficacy (see Weffer et al.,
forthcoming). In addition, the mean efficacy score for females was
slightly higher than for males, at nearly 70 compared to 68.
In our view, rural respondents have higher perceptions of efficacy
than urban ones do because they have denser social networks. In Planada
in particular, we found a congregating spot known as "El
Centro," a community center that provided programs ranging from day
care to senior services to job assistance. It was located near the local
post office and health clinic, occupying a central area where
individuals could meet and connect. South Merced lacks any such center
of gravity, so we were not surprised with the lower efficacy scores.
The gender difference was not very large, but we suspect that in
general women might view their communities more positively than men do.
For example, in Planada there is a particularly strong and effective
community organization, Las Monarchas (named after the Monarch
butterfly), which is comprised of women whose husbands work as migrant
laborers and who are living in a two-block radius of each other. This
group gets together quite frequently and is very involved in the
community. As this example shows, women's networks tend to be
stronger and denser than men's, which explains their higher
efficacy.
Next, we were interested in how the growing rates of foreclosure
have changed the perceptions of Central Valley residents. Our survey
respondents were asked an open-ended question about the impact of empty
houses in their neighborhood; their responses are summarized in Table
2A. Four major concerns accounted for 74 percent of responses. Crime and
safety concerns topped the list of fears, with 36 percent of respondents
mentioning one or both. Respondents say that the foreclosures and
resulting empty houses "invite crime" and "hay mas
inseguridad--las pandillas se meten dentro" (there is less
security--the gangs get inside). The second-largest category of
responses pertained to the appearance of empty houses in the
neighborhood. The impact that empty homes would have on home values
accounted for the third-largest category of concerns. For many
communities in the San Joaquin Valley, empty homes have contributed to a
vicious cycle in which the blight leads to severe depression of the
housing market, which in turn brings additional foreclosures because the
mortgage debt is much higher than the property is worth. In a related
vein, 6 percent of respondents were concerned about the broader economic
impact empty homes would have. These economic concerns included the
ability of communities to keep existing stores open and to bring new
businesses to the area.
In Table 2B, we tabulated responses to the open-ended question,
"What are the three biggest challenges to improving the quality of
life in [location]?" Responses generally clustered within six major
categories. Again, the most often-cited challenge was crime and safety,
named by 25 percent of the respondents. Perhaps more interesting,
however, is what is missing from the remaining categories. Although many
individuals mentioned challenges of access--whether to goods/services,
youth programs, or social services--none of them identified the dramatic
increase in foreclosure rates among the main problems. So even though
respondents attribute a large number of negative consequences to
foreclosure, as shown in Table 2A, those same respondents do not seem to
view foreclosure as one of the top three challenges facing their
communities. To what extent, then, was the highly visible foreclosure
crisis coloring the perceptions of residents living in what one may call
Foreclosure Ground Zero?
Table 3, which presents our findings from our Ordinary Least
Squares regression analysis, sheds some light on this question. When
examining Table 3, there are two components that should be focused on:
the direction of the effect (positive or negative) and its statistical
significance. A positive effect will increase the efficacy score; a
negative effect will decrease it. For example, we see that women have
higher efficacy scores compared to men, or that being unemployed
decreases one's efficacy score. The second component, statistical
significance, allows us to examine how sure we are that these
relationships exist. The relationship between gender and efficacy has a
statistical significance level (or p-value) of .001. This means we are
99.9 percent sure that being a woman has a positive effect on perceived
collective efficacy. Similarly, we are 95 percent sure that unemployment
has a negative relationship with perceived efficacy. However, we have
less certainty that the number of foreclosures on the block is related
to efficacy, because the statistical significance of this relationship
is above the 0.05 level.
How did the respondents' social identities relate to
perceptions about collective efficacy in the community? Interestingly,
we found no statistically significant impact of race on
respondents' efficacy scores. Having a college education (or more)
shows a statistically significant and positive effect on perceived
efficacy, though a relatively small one. Moreover, we found that
individuals likely lose .75 points off their efficacy scores for each
year spent in Planada or South Merced, controlling for other factors.
A pattern appears pertaining to the efficacy and stability of
residents who relocated to the Central Valley from abroad (98 percent of
whom migrated from Mexico). We found that individuals who relocated from
Mexico had significantly higher efficacy scores (up to four points in
Model 2), holding all else constant. This effect seems to capture the
dynamics noted in the immigrant incorporation literature, which suggests
that recent immigrants tend to have a positive attachment to the United
States. However, as that literature also noted, this stronger sense of
efficacy unfortunately tends to fade over time, as relocated individuals
become increasingly more familiar with (and alienated from) their
surroundings. Thus, for each additional year that the relocated
individual lives in his/her new community, his/her efficacy score
decreases by more than 2.5 points, holding all else constant.
In earlier work, Sampson (1997) has shown that the longer an
individual resided at his/her home, the higher the rates of collective
efficacy and stability. However, our results indicate that longer
periods of residential stability tend to slightly depress one's
sense of efficacy, holding all else constant. For instance, in Model 2,
we found that, for each additional year at the same residence, the
respondent's efficacy score decreased by 1.13 points. Yet, there
seems to be an aggregate community stability effect.
The results in Table 3 show that higher rates of neighborhood
stability (as measured by the Census based on residential moves) are
significantly related to higher rates of collective efficacy; this is
consistent with Sampson's (1997) conclusion that communities that
are stable have more efficacy. However, residing for a long time in the
Central Valley does not necessarily mean being in a stable housing
situation. So although stable communities offer greater efficacy, being
a longtime resident of the Valley may negatively affect one's
efficacy. Perhaps the high levels of inequality found in the Central
Valley have long-term negative impacts on individuals' efficacy,
which might be offset by living in stable neighborhoods where
friendships and dense networks, like Las Monarchas in Planada, can
develop.
The results shown in Table 3 suggest that foreclosure only seems to
have a discernible impact on respondents' perceived efficacy when
it directly touches the life of the respondent or his/her friends. For
instance, as shown in Model 1, a person with at least one friend who has
faced foreclosure has a 1,5-point lower efficacy score than someone who
does not, holding all else equal. More dramatically, in a slightly more
specified Model 2 we see that individuals with three or more friends who
have experienced foreclosure have efficacy scores more than eight points
lower, holding all else equal. An interesting result emerges, however:
the presence of three or more foreclosed homes on one's block is
not a statistically significant predictor of lower efficacy scores. Also
notably, being unemployed has a significant impact on efficacy, lowering
one's score by nearly 2.5 points.
These findings support the conclusion that one's sense of
collective efficacy is only shaken by events that touch the respondent
personally. Thus, individuals may be cognizant of empty homes on their
street and fret about the potential for crime or depressed home values,
but fundamentally, unless those empty homes once belonged to the
respondent him/herself, they aren't likely to depress his/ her
sense of efficacy. As long as foreclosure is not a part of one's
own life, an individual can continue to feel trust in his/her community
and work alongside neighbors to accomplish neighborhood goals. One
possible explanation for this finding could be that foreclosure, unlike
other types of social dislocations such as poverty, homelessness, gangs,
and so on, is relatively new. Residents may be more cynical about their
ability to change persistent social problems than they are about
affecting newer ones, such as the foreclosure crisis.
Table 4 presents our results using binomial logistic regression,
which allows us to calculate the probability of something happening or
not happening given a one-unit change in a particular variable or
factor. In Table, 4 we examine if individuals are more or less likely to
participate in certain activities given certain attributes. Because
binomial logistic regression supplies us with coefficients that are
difficult to interpret, we have expressed our findings in terms of odds
ratios.
We look at the odds of a person participating in either of our two
types of civic action: political involvement (i.e., wearing a campaign
button/contributing to a campaign/visiting a politician) or community
involvement (i.e., volunteering/ working with other community members to
solve a problem). Table 4 reveals that women are 12 percent more likely
than men are to participate in the political process. Each year lived in
the community increases the likelihood of political involvement by 0.18
percent (i.e., 10 years lived in the community result in a 1.8 percent
increase in political participation). Asians are 12 percent less likely
than Latinos are to participate in politics. (2) Those with less than a
college education are 13 percent more likely to participate politically.
As expected, there is a positive relationship between respondents'
efficacy scores and their likelihood of participating in politics. All
of those results are significant at least at the .05 level.
We see similar patterns with regard to community involvement: women
were 47 percent more likely than men are to act civically, and there is
a positive relationship between years lived in the community and civic
engagement. Asians are 11 percent less likely than other racial/ethnic
groups to volunteer or work with community members. As Table 4 shows,
those with a college education or more are significantly more likely to
be involved in their community (these findings echo the seminal findings
of Verba et al. 1995). Efficacy still has an impact, with a 1.03 percent
increase in community involvement for each unit change in efficacy.
Most important, an individual who has one to two friends or family
members who have lost their home to foreclosure is almost 34 percent
less likely to volunteer or work together with a community member. If an
individual has three or more friends/family members who have lost their
homes, he/she is over 81 percent less likely to volunteer or work with
the community. These findings broaden the dismal civic picture presented
by Estrada-Correa and Johnson (2012), who find significant decreases in
voter turnout in communities with higher levels of foreclosure.
It is somewhat surprising to find that unemployment is not a
significant predictor of political or community involvement. Much of the
work on the topic of civic engagement and unemployment shows a negative
and statistically significant impact of unemployment on civic
engagement. However, the existing work tends to examine the impact of
unemployment rates on civic engagement at the state or national levels
(Lim and Sander 2013). Here, we focus on the impact of individuals'
unemployment on their likelihood of engaging in political and voluntary
activities. Consistent with earlier macro-level studies, the results in
Table 4 indicate that the relationship between unemployment and civic
engagement is negative. However, this relationship is not as
statistically significant as the one found at the macro-level.
Conclusion
Whereas society at large has focused on the economic and individual
impact of foreclosures, social scientists are just now turning their
attention to how the dynamics of foreclosures are affecting communities
and neighborhoods .This study contributes to that effort by examining
how foreclosures influence individual perceptions of cohesion,
collective efficacy, and civic engagement in two disadvantaged
communities in California's Central San Joaquin Valley. We found
that residents are concerned that foreclosures might bring about crime
and other negative outcomes; however, they tend not to identify
foreclosures as one of the top three obstacles to the community's
success. Moreover, it is not the number of foreclosures per se, but
rather the closeness to someone who suffers foreclosure, that mostly
affects an individual's perception of collective efficacy.
Our findings also seem to dispute and concur with Sampson et al
,'s (1997,1999) original results. Like Sampson and colleagues, we
find that residential stability (as measured via the Census) is
positively related to perceived efficacy; however, we find the opposite
to be true for time in residence. Our research suggests that the longer
one stays in either South Merced or Planada, the more his/her efficacy
score decreases. Perhaps this is due to the overall disadvantage of
these communities, as well as the limited ability to gain employment
outside agriculture (particularly after the housing market collapse).
This is particularly true for immigrants, though they tend to start with
a higher level of efficacy (all else holding constant) when compared to
other respondents. This would seem to be consistent with recent work in
the immigration literature that suggests that immigrants arrive with
visions of upward mobility in the "land of opportunity," but
become disillusioned after a while. Perhaps the systemic inequality
found in the Central San Joaquin Valley saps them of their positive
outlooks over time (Dohan 2003).
Finally, we explored how foreclosure affects the probability that
individuals will engage in political and civic action. Our results
suggest that foreclosures do not influence routine political behavior
such as wearing a campaign button or making a campaign contribution.
However, foreclosures have a very large negative impact on volunteering,
which arguably takes more time than those routine political activities
do. Here we may see the first tangible consequences of foreclosure for
collective participation. At a time when communities greatly need
members to come together to help solve common problems, individuals are
pulling back from community involvement. They may tend to focus inwardly
and help their friends or family to survive incidences of foreclosure,
rather than outwardly through community engagement. Our research thus
extends the findings of Ross and Squires (2011) and Estrada-Correa and
Johnson (2012), which suggest that foreclosures reduce overall trust and
social capital as well as civic participation. Moreover, we find that
one's feeling about the community, measured through efficacy, is
negatively affected by foreclosure. Together, these findings suggest
that foreclosures diminish how we think about and act in our
communities.
How do we reverse these consequences among disadvantaged
communities? A possible answer may be to launch initiatives that focus
on empowering communities. We could provide them with tools to create
systemic change where they live and improve the networks among
individuals, organizations, and service providers. Since 2008, the
California Endowment, a private foundation, has become involved in the
communities included in our study through the Building Healthy
Communities initiative. Moving forward, it will be of interest to see
whether this program will positively affect efficacy and civic
engagement in these communities. If so, it may provide a road map for
how disadvantaged communities can increase their collective efficacy and
action.
APPENDIX A: COLLECTIVE EFFICACY SCALE
How likely are your neighbors to take action if children were
skipping school and hanging out on a street corner-very likely, somewhat
likely, neither likely nor unlikely, somewhat unlikely, very unlikely?
How likely are your neighbors to take action if children were
spray-painting graffiti on a local building --very likely, somewhat
likely, neither likely nor unlikely, somewhat unlikely, very unlikely?
How likely are your neighbors to take action if children were
showing disrespect to an adult--very likely, somewhat likely, neither
likely nor unlikely, somewhat unlikely, very unlikely?
How likely are your neighbors to take action if a fight broke out
in front of your house--very likely, somewhat likely, neither likely nor
unlikely, somewhat unlikely, very unlikely?
How likely are your neighbors to take action if the closest fire
station were threatened with budget cuts--very likely, somewhat likely,
neither likely nor unlikely, somewhat unlikely, very unlikely?
How likely are you to work together with your neighbors for a
specific goal--very likely, somewhat likely, neither likely nor
unlikely, somewhat unlikely, very unlikely?
MEASUREMENT OF NEIGHBORHOOD/AREA FELT EFFICACY (PT 2-SOCIAL
COHESION/TRUST)
Please tell me how much you agree with the following statements:
People around here are willing to help their neighbors--strongly
agree, somewhat agree, neither agree nor disagree, somewhat disagree,
strongly disagree?
This is a close-knit neighborhood--strongly agree .somewhat agree
.neither agree nor disagree, somewhat disagree, strongly disagree?
People in this neighborhood can be trusted--strongly agree,
somewhat agree, neither agree nor disagree, somewhat disagree, strongly
disagree?
People in this neighborhood generally don't get along with
each other--strongly agree, somewhat agree, neither agree nor disagree,
somewhat disagree, strongly disagree?
People in this neighborhood do not share the same values--strongly
agree, somewhat agree, neither agree nor disagree, somewhat disagree,
strongly disagree?
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NOTES
(1.) The research team also met to discuss the site visits.
Follow-up group analysis sessions and snowball sampling techniques were
influential in garnering a broad sample of residents. Survey
participants varied by site, but we ensured inclusion of younger
participants, members of specific racial or ethnic groups, and residents
from specific parts of the neighborhoods.
Although the inclusion of students in the research team required
close supervision, student researchers proved to be pivotal to the
success of the project. At times, they helped to provide entree into
communities and events. Although not listed as criteria to work on the
project, many of the student researchers were bilingual and were from
the local region. Their language skills and insider's knowledge
were invaluable. For example, one of the student researchers was
actually a member of one of the rural sites under investigation, and his
participation in the project was very influential in garnering support
at the street level as well as informing the project overall. In
general, our research team was particularly well positioned to approach
and study the question of foreclosure and its associated challenges
because of our arrival in these locations prior to the onset of the
foreclosure crisis.
(2.) This is consistent with Ramakrishan et al.'s (2008)
finding in phone surveys conducted in Riverside and San Bernardino
Counties that Asian Americans were the least likely among racial/ethnic
groups to sign petitions and write to elected officials.
Table 1: Mean of Efficacy Score (0-100) by Selected Variables
Variable Mean
Gender
Male 68.0
Female 69.8
Respondent home
South Merced 67.3
Planada 72.2
No. of empty houses on block
0 70.7
1-2 68.8
3 67.3
No. of friends and/or family with foreclosed home
0 69.1
1-2 69.1
3 69.7
No. of friends and/or family with foreclosed home by location
0
South Merced 68.1
Planada 70.7
1-2
South Merced 64.4
Planada 74.5
3 or more
South Merced 63.8
Planada 72.3
No. of empty houses on block by location
0
South Merced 68.8
Planda 70.4
1-2
South Merced 66.6
Planada 77.1
3 or more
South Merced 64.3
Planada 70.2
If respondent moved to Central Valley, where from?
Bay Area 61.8 *
Southern California 70.9
Other Central Valley Community 71.3
Other California Area 67.6
Other US area 67.6
Mexico 71.1 *
Race
White 78.8
African-American 61.3
Asian/Pacific Islander 64.3
Latino 69.0
* Significance level: p < .05
Table 2A: Response to Survey Questions Regarding Impact
of Empty Houses (Due to Foreclosure) on a Neighborhood
Response categories No. of responses Percentage
Crime safety 40 29.0
No answer 36 26.0
Appearance 20 14.5
Neighborhood value 12 8.5
Depressing 10 7.0
Economy 7 5.0
Neighborhood cohesion 6 4.0
No impact 4 3.0
Not elsewhere classified 2 1.5
Table 2B: Response to Survey Question Regarding the Top Three
Barriers to Improving Community Success from Planada and South
Merced from 2007-2010
Response categories No. of responses Percentage
Crime/safety 40 25.0
Goods and services 39 25.0
Lack of youth services/structures 21 13.0
No community cohesion 18 11.0
Social services 18 11.0
Education 10 6.0
Infrastructure 7 4.5
Not applicable 4 2.5
Environment 2 1.0
Housing 0 0
Employment 0 0
Table 3: Ordinary Least Squares Regression of Efficacy by Place and
Demographics in Planada and South Merced
Model 1 Model 2
Female 2.80 (.12) (c) 1.20 (.520) (a)
Unemployed -2.40 (.12) (a) -2.40 (,120) (a)
White (vs. Latino) 1.19 (.95) 2.01 (1.15)
African American (vs. Latino) -0.05 (.04) -0.07 (.06)
College education or more 0.50 (.20) (a) 0.61 (.21) (a)
Years lived in community -0.75 (01) (c) -1.13 (.02) (c)
Foreign-born 2.25 (.094) (b) 4.01 (.007) (b)
Foreign-born X years in community -- -2.57 (.009) (c)
Census tract residential
stability 2.50 (.003) (c) 3.05 (.004) (c)
1-2 friends/family lost house to
foreclosure -1.46 (.66) (a) -1.39 (.59) (a)
3 or more friends/family lost
house to foreclosure -2.93 (1.31) -8.13 (.91) (c)
Number of foreclosures on block
(self-reported) [greater than
or equal to] 3 1.13 (1.09) 0.98 (1.12)
Adjusted [R.sup.2] 26.65 (b) 31.12 (a)
Table 4: Percent Change in Likelihood of Participating in
Political or Civic Action by Efficacy, Foreclosure, and
Demographic Characteristics
Wear a button Volunteer or
contribute to work with
a campaign. community
or visit a members
politician to solve a
(percent) problem
(percent)
Female 11.7 (a) 46.9 (b)
Years lived in community 0.18 (b) 0.3 (a)
White 2.9 2.2
Asian -12.1 (a) -11.0 (a)
African American 7.4 6.4
College education or more 13.3 (a) 6.4 (a)
Unemployed -3.2 -4.3
Efficacy score 1.13 (a) 1.03 (a)
1-2 Friends/family lost house
to foreclosure -16.1 -33.9 (a)
3+ Friends/family lost house
to foreclosure -93.2 -81.3 (a)
The numbers shown above are the odds ratios. Significance levels:
(a.) p < .05, (b.) p < .01.
Simon E. Weffer, Dari Sylvester, James Mullooly, Marcia Hernandez,
Alex Leigh Parnell, Rafael Maravilla, and Nicholas Lau *
* SIMON E. WEFFER is assistant professor of sociology and Latino
and Latin American Studies at Northern Illinois University (email:
[email protected]). His work focuses on collective action and inequality,
including the study of protest and civic engagement in Chicago,
immigration rights protest in California, and the relationship between
protest and voter turnout. He earned his PhD and Masters in sociology
from Stanford University. DARI E. SYLVESTER is associate professor of
political science and executive director at the Jacoby Center for Public
Service and Civic Leadership at the University of the Pacific. She holds
a PhD from Stony Brook University. JAMES MULLOOLY is associate professor
of anthropology at California State University Fresno and applied
cultural anthropologist interested in improving the quality of life in
Fresno. He holds a PhD in anthropology and education from Columbia
University. MARCIA HERNANDEZ is associate professor of sociology at the
University of the Pacific and assistant dean of the college. Her
scholarship interests include black Greek-letter organizations, higher
education, popular culture and media studies, and images of beauty
within African American communities. ALEX LEIGH PARNELL is a recent
graduate of the University of California, Merced, with a double major in
psychology and cognitive sciences. She is former fellow of the UC Merced
Center of Excellence in Health Disparities Undergraduate Research
Training Program. RAFAEL MARAVILLA is a current undergraduate at the
University of California, Merced, double-majoring in sociology and
political science. He is a former fellow of the UC Merced Center of
Excellence in Health Disparities Undergraduate Research Training Program
and a former participant in Harvard's Latino Leadership Initiative
program. NICHOLAS LAU is a recent graduate of University of California,
Merced, majoring in sociology. He has worked on multiple research
projects focusing on inequality in the Central Valley. Portions of this
study were funded by the Great Valley Center, California Partnership for
the San Joaquin Valley, and the UC Merced Graduate Research Council.