The United States and coalition building in the new international order.
Allison, William Thomas
Abstract
In the new international order of the post-Cold War, post-9/11
world, the United States, now the hyperpower of the world, has embarked
upon a unilateralist policy in defense of its national security
interests. Such an approach is flawed in the new international order, as
American military might and diplomatic arrogance threatens to sideline
multilateral frameworks and marginalize well-established alliance
systems. The United States must rethink its approach to world affairs,
reevaluate its use of hard power, and consider utilizing soft power
strategies in order to maintain its national security.
Introduction
The purpose of this Oxford Round Table is to examine the new
international order through the lens of history--to see how the United
States can cope in this new international order, one in which China and
Europe loom large as major economic, military, and diplomatic players,
and American national security policy is filtered through the sieve of
the War on Terror. The Oxford Roundtable is well known for its
provocative presentations and vigorous discussion--it is my hope that my
remarks this morning will contribute to that tradition.
In 2002, Oxford University Press published a methodical yet modest
volume by Joseph Nye, an Assistant Secretary of Defense in the Clinton
administration, titled The Paradox of American Power: Why the
World's Only Superpower Can't Go It Alone. Nye argued that in
the post-Cold War, post-9/11 international order, in which the United
States reigns as the sole superpower, or as some suggest, a hyperpower,
the United States faces such a broad range of security threats and
foreign policy issues that it cannot isolate itself from the world
community by embracing unilateralist strategies in pursuit of national
security. These threats and issues are varied--terrorism, failed states,
environmental issues, world trade, energy security, cultural extremism,
among many others. Indeed, global stability itself has become an
objective key to the national security of the United States. For Nye,
such an objective in the face of such threats requires multilateral
approaches to international relations--alliances, coalitions,
transnational organizations, regional security organizations. The
paradox lies in the notion that as the supreme world power, with the
only military capable of effective global reach, the United States
ironically cannot rely solely upon that "hard power" to assure
its national security. The United States must embrace multilateralism in
the new international order of the 21st century. (1)
How can the United States break its recent reliance upon
unilateralism and its own military power so that it can embrace a
shared, multilateral military and non-military national security
strategy in the hope of securing world stability, and thereby attain
national security? The American experience with coalitions shows how
difficult this is. If the United States can truly accept
multilateralism, it would be a major paradigm shift in the American
strategic and diplomatic tradition.
Historical Background of American Coalition Building
The United States spent the first century of its history avoiding
alliances and coalitions of any sort, save for the brief alliance with
France in the War for Independence. Then, isolationism slowly gave way
to a rather comfortable role as hemispheric policeman in the latter
third of the 19th century, as the growing nation embraced strategic
commercial expansion, the modernization of its military, and made the
largely forgotten Monroe Doctrine something more real. When the United
States finally and very reluctantly broke with diplomatic tradition and
"associated" itself with the Allies in the Great War, it
crossed the Rubicon, as it were, to being receptive, if not willing, to
engage in alliances and coalitions. The Grand Alliance of World War II,
the Cold War alliances like NATO and SEATO, and even the coalitions that
participated in the Korean and Vietnam wars would have made George
Washington, et al, roll in their graves for a variety of reasons.
Washington's famous warning to shun reciprocal treaties and
other alliances, however, is often misunderstood. Far from calling for
isolationism and the complete avoidance of such arrangements, Washington
was giving sage advice to a young militarily and diplomatically weak
state; such alliances in the early years of the Republic would have made
the United States the unwilling underling of a great power. In
Washington's, perhaps more accurately Hamilton's, mind, once
the United States realized its economic potential such arrangements
would be unnecessary--in the meantime, the great Atlantic Ocean would
protect the fledging nation from European designs. Once the United
States had matured, only then could the republic enter into alliances,
and preferably only in times of extreme crisis. (2)
By the end of the Great War, the United States was no underling;
rather, the upstart nation had firmly economically, diplomatically, and
to a lesser extent militarily, planted itself among the first division
of the world's powerful nation states. World War II made the United
States undisputed champion of that league. For a few short years after
that war, none rivaled the economic and military might of the United
States. To evolve from a young nation avoiding the machinations of great
powers to being the supreme power in the span of 170 years is
extraordinary, not the least of which because it forced the United
States as a nation state and Americans as a people to undergo a paradigm
shift in how both saw the American role in the world and how that role
should be played. (3)
The strategic landscape of the Cold War demanded alliances and
coalitions--thus, the creation of NATO, for example. These alliances,
however, were not alliances of equals and it be would naive to think any
of the participants then thought otherwise. Rather, these mostly
defensive arrangements consisted of the United States as leader and
other participating states as followers. Even after the Cold War, such
remained the case. (4) The much-touted Gulf War coalition, for example,
was an American production, pure and simple. There are practical and
ideological reasons for this sort of approach to national and global
security, but these reasons do not eclipse the downside of what has
become a unilateralist American approach to alliances and coalitions.
American Unilateralism and Coalitions of the Willing
Militarily, the United States has dominated its alliances and
coalitions since the end of World War II. From Korea forward, the United
States has arguably preferred lesser actual contributions from alliance
partners when organizing and applying so-called "hard power."
The American military establishment is a very selfishly organized
entity. It does not like outsiders. The armed forces of the United
States have been since the early Cold War and most certainly are today
very systems-oriented. And since the Goldwater-Nichols Act of 1986, they
are also more "joint" than ever before. Weapons systems,
command and control, and doctrine are focused almost exclusively on the
American services and do not allow for the temporary participation of a
coalition partner to any great degree. The power of the American armed
forces lies in its ability to integrate within its own systems. The
militaries of alliance and coalition partners for most practical
purposes cannot integrate into such a system. Great Britain arguably is
the only military force that the American armed forces can tolerate as a
real coalition partner in a military campaign.
This is why in the Gulf War, for example, the American military was
happy to only have a coast guard ship from Norway, three small ships
from Holland, and three frigates, a corvette, and eight fighter aircraft
from Italy as part of a coalition military force--to put it bluntly,
coalition military forces get in the way of American military power. Of
course, money does not get in the way, so it is most always welcome.
Gulf War coalition partners may have contributed only 24% of the total
force, mostly in logistical and support functions, but they paid 88% of
the $90 billion price tag. (5) The United States prefers coalitions that
allow it to exercise unilateral military action with minimal actual
participation from coalition partners. This was true during the much of
the Cold War, the immediate post-Cold War years, and is the case today
in the War on Terror.
Coalition participants have likewise come to accept
American-dominated coalitions, and for these participants there is good
reason to do so. In order to present a multilateralist front in pursuit
of its own national security objectives, the American need to enlist
nations as members of coalitions but with minimal actual participation
has convinced many nations to demand exorbitant enlistment bounties. In
the Iraq War, again for example, the "coalition of the
willing" was willing to enlist in exchange for favors, such as aid,
trade, and special treatment in getting into exclusive clubs. Turkey
wanted $30 billion in aid; Poland wanted military aid and concrete
assurances that its application to join NATO would be rubber stamped;
Bulgaria, Albania, Croatia, Slovenia, Slovakia, Lithuania, Romania, and
Estonia made minor military, economic, or diplomatic contributions--all
want to join NATO; Hungary allowed American use of bases inside its
borders--Hungary is a prime candidate for future American bases; Egypt
allowed base usage in exchange for a massive aid package; Denmark
contributed a submarine. Even Tonga signed on to be included in the
official list of 46 nations that made up the "coalition of the
willing." In total, 31 coalition partners contributed less than
24,000 troops to the Iraq War. Despite the unwillingness of the U.N.
Security Council, the U.N. General Assembly, and varying majorities in
polls of many coalition member populations to support the war, these
nations agreed to minimum participation in exchange for a seat at the
American aid table. (6)
The United States uses international organizations when it suits
its needs and avoids it when it does not. Having such power allows
choice between unilateral and multilateral strategies, almost on an a la
carte basis. Both approaches have pluses and minuses. Nonetheless, the
transnational aspect of globalization has created a myriad of problems
that no single state, not even a superpower, can cope with unilaterally;
multilateral means through coalitions and international organizations is
critical if not fundamental to dealing with today's world. Yet,
multilateralism can be constraining, can dilute the political objectives
of the individual actor, and can even infringe upon state sovereignty.
The United States is in the somewhat enviable position in that it can
pick and choose based upon the circumstances whether or not to go it
alone or act in concert with coalition partners. (7)
What then are the interests of the United States, and how does the
United States rectify its interests with that of potential coalition
partners, or does it even try to do so? This is a troubling set of
questions. We would like to think that free markets, energy security,
global stability, and democracy are universal interests--American
interests are the interests of the world. Or, is it more accurately put
that these same interests are actually key strategic means to achieve
the national political objective of maintaining and preserving the
national security of the United States? If one chooses to believe the
latter, then how do our alliance and coalition partners feel about being
"used" for such a selfish (certainly understandable from a
Bismarckian point of view) end? Consider the notion that the National
Security Strategy of the United States, as it has been outlined since
the Reagan administration, has become increasingly unilateralist in its
approach and arrogant in its expectations, thus promoting demeaning
treatment of allies, willing and otherwise. Such has perhaps been the
case since the Gulf War, arguably in the Balkans, and more certainly in
the War on Terror. (8)
The American Obsession with Hard Power
The United States has unparalleled and unchallenged military power.
Russia is no match. Europe is improving but still far off the mark.
China might be on par if the United States stood still and the Chinese
underwent massive military advancement for twenty years or so. The
United States spends more on defense that the EU, Russia, and China
combined--about $350 billion annually. Consider that when the United
States, for example, has the money, technology, and procurement capacity
to replace the best fighter in the world, the F-16, with an aircraft
that might be ten times better than anything anyone else even has on the
drawing board, the F-22A (and the Joint Strike Fighter), anyone actually
catching up to the military abilities of the United States by
mid-century is highly unlikely. (9)
Yet, the United States is in the process of learning a most
valuable lesson that other dominant military powers have learned in the
past--military capability and exercise of that power does not mean
victory or achieving all strategic objectives. The United States has
already learned this lesson the hard way in Southeast Asia, and is
learning it again right now. Hard power instills complacency and is
expensive. The problem for the United States is its unhealthy growth in
its infatuation with its military prowess. Yet, why shouldn't it be
obsessed with its military might? The Gulf War of 1991 was a stunning
feat of combat arms, as was the initial phase of the Iraq War in 2003
and the defeat of the Taliban government in Afghanistan in 20012002. The
incredibly complex integration of weapons, communications, computer,
space, and human assets proved amazingly adaptable and flexible, and
lethal, in these American-dominated conflicts. Militarily, coalition
partners made only negligible contributions.
Moreover, to further support this obsession, consider that the
American military's recovery from the Vietnam debacle has been
extraordinary. The transformation from a draft force to the
all-volunteer force in the 1970s and 1980s has arguably been an
overwhelming success. The transformation from a Cold
War-fight-the-Soviets-in-Germany-heavy-land force to a force with
flexible joint capabilities has also been successful (and is ongoing).
If you're President Clinton, why not use the military that
prevailed in the Gulf War to thump the thugs terrifying Mogadishu? Why
not use the air assets that in the public's imagination had the
ability to conduct surgical strikes with next to no collateral damage in
the Gulf War and use it to bring Milosevic to heal in 1999? This force
seemed capable of doing anything, from a major conflict to passing out
bags of rice. American political leaders became enamored with American
military might after the Cold War, and have been increasingly willing to
use it not as the last resort, but as the first resort. The Weinberger
and Powell Doctrines have been dismissed, replaced by a hasty and
arrogant reliance on military force. I agree with Andrew Bacevich--there
is a new American militarism and perhaps American political leadership
and some elements of the upper echelon of the American officer corps
have been seduced by the use of force as the principal means of
projecting American power. (10)
Still, such military feats often do not answer the question of
"then what?" Post-conflict resolution has not been an American
strong point. Reconstruction after World War II, as was the war itself,
was arguably an aberration in the American experience. Perhaps this is
where a real coalition of soft-power practitioners could have been of
great use in Iraq. Many nations agreed to participate in what they
thought would be a peacekeeping mission in post-combat Iraq. Postcombat
Iraq, however, quickly deteriorated into a deadly combat situation, one
in which nations such as Japan, Spain, Italy, Poland and Holland, among
others, concluded was not what they had bargained for. They pulled out
their admittedly meager forces, taking with them more straw from the
strawman--the American-led "coalition" in Iraq. (11)
Multilateralism and Soft Power
The United States can't go it alone--it needs to embrace a new
paradigm of international relations and national security policy. It
needs to lead coalitions of equals instead of coalitions of followers.
Peacekeeping operations offer the best evidence of the limits of
American military power. Peacekeeping by its very nature demands a
coalition, and with American armed forces not well versed in
peacekeeping, the United States has often seen the wisdom of letting
other nations play more prominent roles in these often-thankless
operations. The American role in peacekeeping in the former Yugoslavia
offers a good example of this. Still, it did take American-led hard
power to ultimately bring Serbia to heal. (12)
Instead of what has become the traditional American model of
coalition action, where the United States plays basically a solo role in
the actual military activity, perhaps the East Timor intervention of
1999-2000 might provide a more effective multi-participant coalition
model. Under a fairly loose U.N. mandate to restore order in East Timor
after the Timorese vote for independence from Indonesia in September
1999, the Australian-led International Force East Timor (INTERFET)
deployed in just under one week to the region. INTERFET was not a
traditional "blue-helmet" UN-led peacekeeping operation.
Rather, the U.N. basically subcontracted the operation to the region,
giving Australia operational control of the operation. The force of over
13,000 troops represented a variety of military capabilities from a
range of nations, including Australia, Brazil, Great Britain, Canada,
France, Germany, Ireland, Italy, Malaysia, New Zealand, Norway, the
Philippines, South Korea, Singapore, Thailand, and the United States,
which played an uncharacteristic supportive role.
This "coalition of the willing" was willing to deal with
a humanitarian crisis, be led by a regional power, and operate with
little U.N. or American interference. Regional interests demanded
regional action, and in this case the United States was willing to allow
the region to take care of itself. Obviously the operational aspects
INTERFET were not perfect and highlighted concerns previously expressed
by the American military about coalitions and peacekeeping/use of force.
Still, INTERFET might be worth looking to as model to make coalitions
more regional and more decentralized, and as a consequence more
effective. Perhaps this is similar to community policing-models used by
local law enforcement in the United States and Great Britain--give the
people who live in the neighborhood a meaningful stake in their
neighborhood, and they will take care of the neighborhood. Granted,
there will be occasions when broader coalitions and U.N. direction would
be necessary--it depends upon circumstances.
So long as the U.N. has no permanent military force, however,
INTERFET-like arrangements might be worthwhile. (13)
What of NATO? Could it not take on a wider role in the world? Or,
has its time and purpose past? Does it disband and does Europe then turn
to a bona fide European defense system? And what international purpose
would that serve? NATO has been and remains the premier alliance of the
world. The end of the Cold War, however, has removed its principal
purpose, and growing disparities in American and European interests
threaten its longevity. Even disparity in the interests of the European
states threatens the alliance. So, does NATO need to become global in
its scope and purpose to remain relevant? Does it do so under dominant
American leadership, or American leadership that is more open to power
sharing? (14)
NATO represents perhaps the best opportunity for American
multilateralism to work in the new international order. It arguably
already has--witness NATO's role in Kosovo when the U.N. Security
Council failed to act. NATO, in the words of Francis Fukuyama,
"provided legitimacy for military intervention in a way that the
United Nations could not." The United States could allow NATO
countries to take the lead in liberal democratic nation-building--all of
the members of NATO are themselves liberal democracies. Yet, NATO
refused to play a prominent role in the Iraq War, and NATO's
cumbersome consensus-based decision-making process (again witness
Kosovo), would have to be radically retooled to become a real
international multilateral organization to which the United States could
give up some of its unilateral baggage. (15)
And what of soft power regional organizations? Organizations like
the EU, Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) forum, Organization of
American States (OAS), Southern African Development Community (SADC),
and the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS), to name a
few, can, if properly funded by the broader international community,
promote regional cooperation, security, and economic development, and
thus global security. Europe has many soft power assets that could
counter-balance American hard power--trade, development aid, education
and cultural programs, as well as a tradition, now, of pan-European
approaches to international development. (16)
United States, however, seems for the most part unwilling to allow
the U.N. and regional coalitions to take the lead when its interests are
directly, even indirectly, effected. It has rejected, it seems, the
concept of a multipolar world, as evidence in the American refusal to
ratify such international agreements like the Comprehensive Test Ban
Treaty, the Kyoto Accords, and the International Criminal Court, in
favor of what could be described as unipolar unilateralism. Such a
strategy can be considered selfish and prideful. (17)
The renowned historian of American foreign relations, John Lewis
Gaddis, recently warned that this "pride" is dangerous--in his
words:
The essence of responsibility is remembering what the ancients
taught us about the sin of pride. Which is to say that we badly
need mirrors. Which is to say we always need to see ourselves as
others see us. Which is to say that you can't sustain hegemony
without consent. Which is to say that consent requires the
existence of an alternative more frightening than your own
hegemony. (18)
That is why the United States became so powerful in the first place
during the Cold War, and why in this world of terror it remains so
powerful--but can the United States sustain this position using arrogant
and unilateralist strategies?
Moreover, if the United States continues to put together
"phony coalitions" in the face of the problems of the new
international order, legitimacy suffers. The Cold War and the threat of
Soviet domination had given the United States legitimacy as the chief
defender of Western Europe. Now that that threat is gone, however, on
what grounds does such legitimacy lie? Europe may indeed hold the key to
American legitimacy in the new international order, but does it have the
will to use it? The United States, the American Central Command, and the
American-staffed Coalition Provisional Authority have treated coalition
partners, European ones in particular, in the Iraq War with disregard,
if not disdain. Europe arguably has good reason to no longer look to the
United States for leadership. Is receiving a few nuggets of American aid
worth the cost of lost prestige and credibility by being associated with
American hegemonic power? Legitimacy, prestige, and trust matter in
international relations; how does the United States, then, regain moral
leadership in the new international order? (19)
Conclusion
The United States must encourage regional security and stability
arrangements that lessen its direct participation in favor of regional
and international cooperative efforts. Even the use of coalitions of the
willing from within alliances and collective security organizations
might help overcome the deep divisions that have wracked NATO, for
example, because of the Iraq War. Such policies save money, share the
burden of casualties, and give the broader international community a
stake in regional stability. Even the growing influence and ability of
transnational non-governmental organizations must be considered in
coalition building in today's world. The United States needs to
rethink its rather arrogant approach to coalitions, and many nations
need to rethink their motivation for participating. (20)
If the United States continues on its unilateralist course, then
international organizations will become increasing marginalized, if not
obsolete, and many friends around the globe will have been alienated.
(21) I am no Wilsonian, but I would like to see more idealism to balance
the selfish realism that has come to characterize coalition building in
the new international order, and more internationalism and more
regionalism in state interests and coalition approaches to crisis. The
United States once prided itself in reluctant use of force during a
period in its history when it was not the supreme military power of the
world. Despite being that supreme power in the 21st century, the United
States must again be reluctant to use force and listen to the
nonmilitary solutions of others if it wants to effectively lead its
coalition partners in overcoming the national security challenges of
today's world.
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William Thomas Allison, Associate Professor of History, Weber State
University
(1) Joseph S. Nye, Jr., The Paradox of American Power: Why The
World's only Superpower Can't Go It Alone (New York: Oxford
University Press, 2002). See also David Callahan, Between Two Worlds:
Realism, Idealism, and American Foreign Policy after the Cold War (New
York: Harper Collins, 1994).
(2) George Washington, Farewell Address to Congress, 1796, Avalon
Project of Yale Law School, online:
http://www.yale.edu/lawweb/avalon/washing.htm, accessed August 10, 2006.
(3) Walter McDougall, Promised Land, Crusader State: The American
Encounter with the World since 1776 (New York: Mariner Books, 1997),
199-222.
(4) Barry R. Rosen and Andrew L. Ross, "Competing U.S. Grand
Strategies," in Barry J. Lieber, ed., Eagle Adrift: American
Foreign Policy at the End of the Century (New York: Longman, 1997),
118-119.
(5) "Makin' em Pay," Economist Vol. 318, Issue 7691
(January 26, 1991): 18; Barbara Slavin, "U.S. Builds War Coalition
with Favors--and Money," USA Today (February 25, 2003).
(6) Ian Williams, "Coalition Building a la Shakespeare,"
Washington Report on the Middle East Affairs Vol. 22, Issue 4 (May
2003): 23-25; Barbara Slavin, "U.S. Builds War Coalition with
Favors--and Money," USA Today (February 25, 2003); Thomas E. Ricks,
Fiasco: The American Military Adventure in Iraq (New York: Penguin,
2006), 347348.
(7) Stewart Patrick, "Beyond Coalitions of the Willing:
Assessing U.S. Multilateralism," Ethics and International Affairs
Vol. 17, No. 1 (2003): 18-55.
(8) See Nye, The Paradox of American Power, and Andrew J. Bacevich,
American Empire: The Realities and Consequences of U.S. Diplomacy
(Cambridge: Harvard University Press, 2002).
(9) T. R. Reid, The United States of Europe: The New Superpower and
the End of American Supremacy (New York: Penguin, 2004), 177-196.
(10) See Andrew Bacevich, The New American Militarism: How
Americans are Seduced by War (New York: Oxford University Press, 2005)
and John Shattuck, Freedom on Fire: Human Rights Wars and America's
Response (Cambridge: Harvard University Press, 2003).
(11) Ricks, Fiasco, 346-347.
(12) Niall Ferguson, Colossus: The Rise and Fall of the American
Empire (New York: Penguin, 2004), 297.
(13) Moreen Dee, "Coalitions of the Willing and Humanitarian
Intervention: Australia's Involvement with INTERFET,"
International Peacekeeping Vol. 8, No. 3 (Autumn, 2001): 1-20; Alan
Ryan, "The Strong Lead-Nation Model in an ad hoc Coalition of the
Willing: Operation Stabilise in East Timor," International
Peacekeeping Vol. 9, No. 1 (Spring 2002): 23-44; Gary Wilson, "U.N.
Authorizes Enforcement: Regional Organizations versus Coalitions of the
Willing," International Peacekeeping Vol. 10, No. 2 (Summer 2003):
89-106.
(14) Douglas T. Stuart, "NATO and the Wider World: From
Regional Collective Defence to Global Coalitions of the Willing,"
Australian Journal of International Affairs Vol. 58, No. 1 (March 2004):
33-46.
(15) Francis Fukuyama, America at the Crossroads: Democracy, Power,
and the Neoconservative Legacy (New Haven: Yale University Press, 2006),
172-174.
(16) John H. Norris, "When Alliance and Self-Interest
Collide," Cambridge Review of International Affairs Vol. 16, No. 2
(July 2003): 359-368.
(17) John Van Oudenaren, "Unipolar versus Unilateral,"
Policy Review (April/May, 2004): 63-74.
(18) John Lewis Gaddis, Surprise, Security, and the American
Experience (Cambridge: Harvard University Press, 2004), 115-118.
(19) Robert Kagan, "America's Crisis of Legitimacy,"
Foreign Affairs Vol. 83, Issue 2 (March/April 2004): 65-87; Ricks,
Fiasco, 432.
(20) Robert E. Hunter, "A Forward-Looking Partnership,"
Foreign Affairs Vol. 83, Issue 5 (September/October 2004): 14-18; John
H. Norris, "When Alliance and Self-Interest Collide,"
Cambridge Review of International Affairs Vol. 16, No. 2 (July 2003):
359-368.
(21) Carl Cavanagh Hodge, "The Port of Mars: The United States
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