R&D investment and the financial performance of technological firms.
Lantz, Jean-Sebastien ; Sahut, Jean-Michel
ABSTRACT
The growth of technological firms is based on the exploitation of
innovative products and services thus forcing them to strongly invest in
research and development (R&D). If the R&D expenditures announce
the strategic positioning of firms, they can also significantly decrease
the financial performances in terms of net income, return and risk.
With the IAS 38 standard, the R&D expenditures can be accounted
as expenses or assets. This choice has an impact on financial
performances but this effect is difficult to forecast because these
expenditures increase the information asymmetry between shareholders and
managers. We demonstrate that it is preferable to capitalize the R&D
expenditures if the firm is able to draw an immediate commercial
exploitation from them or to adopt a swarming strategy of innovative
projects (spin-off) as the benefits arise in the future.
JEL: G32, G14, L19, 033
Keywords: R&D; Intangible asset; Capitalization; Value; Beta;
Return; Performance; Risk; Accounting standard; JAS 38; Swarming;
Spin-off
I. INTRODUCTION
The nature of investments realised by firms have especially changed
during the last twenty years; intangible investments developed quickly
and represent a large proportion of the firms assets, which by nature
are difficult to evaluate. The research and development (noted R&D
thereafter) expenditures are strategic and sensitive because they
intervene in the upstream of the production cycle and reveal the
strategic orientations of firms. The decisional choices, resulting from
the process of knowledge acquisition and rights, are irreversible and
structure firms, sometimes putting them in danger. Moreover, the control
of R&D activities is delicate because the developing complexity of
technological projects generates an increase of control costs to
overcome the information asymmetry. This is the reason why we questioned
the incidence of the integration strategies upon the financial
performance of firms. This research lies within the scope of the
implementation of IAS 38 standard' in the European Union for firms
listed on stock exchanges. This standard should help the financial
communication on intangibles assets.
Previous research shows that firms which undertake intense R&D
expenditures reinforce their position on the market by improving their
sales. Nevertheless, these studies did not lead to a consensus about the
impacts on income and financial performance. This last aspect remains
under researched.
This paper is organized in two parts. In Section II, we located our
research in R&D literature in order to define our framework. We
formulate assumptions to study the impacts of R&D expenditures on
income, financial performance and risk of firms. In Section III, after a
descriptive analysis of our sample, we test our assumptions using simple
and multiple regressions, as well as tests of differences of the
averages. Lastly, we discuss the results obtained in order to show what
can be of interest for technological firms to adopt a strategy of
R&D expenditures capitalization.
II. THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK
Among the studies on the performance, value and risk of the
intangible assets, R&D occupies a dominating position because of the
link of this intangible element with the theories of the innovation in
economy. In this section, we present a review of the literature about
the impacts of R&D expenditures on the firm's value, its
performance and its risk in order to elaborate our assumptions.
A. R&D and the Firm's Value
Many researchers have been interested in the relationship between
R&D expenditures and the firm's value. These studies are
founded on a stock exchange analysis of the firms that realized
immaterial capital expenditures. The objective is to establish a link
between the evolutions of the market value of firms and their immaterial
expenditures, generally limited to the expenditures of R&D,
publicity, and patents. This market value is expressed as the sum of the
market value of the tangible and intangible assets. To explain the link
between "R&D and the firms value", the review of the
literature suggests to use the "Q of Tobin" indicator
expressed by the ratio:
[Q.sub.t] = [MV.sub.t]/RC([T.sub.t] + [I.sub.t]) (1)
where [MV.sub.t] is market value of the assets and RC([T.sub.t] +
[I.sub.t]) is replacement value of the tangible assets ([T.sub.t]) and
intangible assets ([I.sub.t]).
According to its creator, this ratio must equal one. However, the
review of the literature studied thereafter, shows that generally this
is not the case, which allows for many interpretations. For Tobin (1978)
this indicates an imbalance, and thus profitable investment or
disinvestment opportunities. Whereas for Salinger (1978), Bulow (1985),
and Wernerfelt and Montgomery (1988), this imbalance is due to the
off-balance sheet elements (like the provisions for retirements), or to
strategic factors (monopoly rent, diversification). The latter authors
postulate that the "Q of Tobin" variable consists of measuring
the difference between the current value of a firm (market value,
output) and the initial value of the resources used to create the firm
(historical book value, input). This ratio is thus a measurement of the
firms performance since its creation and has to be higher than 1.
Other authors such as Griliches (1981), Cockburn and Griliches
(1988), Hall (1988), Megna and Klock (1993), Chung and Pruitt (1996)
considered this ratio Q as an indicator of the intangible assets of a
firm not recognized in accounting.
Today, this approach is generally adopted and numerous studies
shown a strong correlation between this Q ratio and the intangible
expenditures of firms, in particular the R&D expenditures (Hirshey
and Weygandt 1985; Skinner 1993; Agrawal and Knoeber 1996).
The results obtained seem to be unambiguous; R&D expenditures
positively and significantly correlate with the market value of firms.
These expenditures are valued by the market as assets which will
generate additional cash-flows in the long term. For example, Pakes
(1978, 1985) found that an increase in R&D expenditures or patents
has a positive and significant impact on the firm's value.
Another approach, founded on heuristic models, comes to confirm
this correlation between R&D expenditures, net income and the
firm's value. Connolly and Hirschey's (1984) study, which
concentrated on 390 firms of the classification Fortune 500, showed the
existence of a positive correlation between the R&D expenditures and
the firm's value. This tends to validate the concept of intangible
capital.
Nakamura and Leonard (2001) added that during the last decade,
studies regularly highlight that the R&D expenditures of a firm
increase its market value of an amount at least equivalent to these
expenditures. However Lev (1996) does not recognize the stock exchange
as a means of evaluating intangible assets. Using the results recorded
by Chan, Lakonishok and Sougiannis's (2001) study, it can be seen
that the market systematically underestimates the firm's value
realizing significant intangible investments, in particular in R&D.
Thus, these studies show that there is a positive correlation
between the R&D expenditures and the firm's value quoted on
stock exchange. The current value of the Q of Tobin rate can be
explained by the fact that firms are moving to adapt to a certain
economic reality where the intangible elements play a crucial role for
their development. This importance of the intangible elements is
appreciated through its impact on the firm's performance in the
following section.
B. R&D and the Firm's Performance
Beyond their impact on the firm's market value, R&D
expenditures have an influence on the firm's performance, which is
appreciated in terms of income and return.
1. Impact on income
On this point, we can note in particular the contribution of
Sougiannis (1994), who studied the correlation between the annual
R&D expenditures and the net income announced by the firms in their
annual report. Its two main results are (a) a dollar spent in R&D
induces an average net income rise of 2 dollars over the following 7
years, which means a return of these investments of 26% per year on
average, and (b) a dollar spent in R&D leads to a rise of almost 3
dollars of the firm studied value. But Morbey (1989) affirmed that there
is any link between the R&D expenditures of American companies and
the growth of their profit.
In Europe, because of the IAS 38 standard, the result of this type
of study depends on the way in which these expenditures are accounted
whether as expenses or assets. Ding and Stolowy (2003) worked on the
reasons for which French firms capitalize their R&D expenditures and
the relevance of this strategy. Their analysis did not provide any
result to show this. They just identified, for the French domestic
market, the firm's characteristics (high tech industry and having a
high risk beta) that can predict their R&D capitalization.
Other authors studied this type of relationship by looking at other
factors, like the sales growth, instead of the net income. So, Brenner
and Rushton (1989) noticed that the firms which have higher R&D
expenditures on average obtain a sales growth rate higher than the
market average rate, and vise versa.
2. Impact on return
We have indexed three studies that would confirm the assumption of
a positive incidence of R&D expenditures on the return of firms.
Chan et al. (1990) highlighted a positive reaction of the firm's
stock exchange prices when they announce the increase of their R&D
expenditures. Canibano, Garcia-Ayuso and Sanchez (2000) asserted that
return rises with the increase of the R&D expenditures. It is by
supposing that the investments in R&D help to increase future
profit, that this sort of research identifies this positive and
significant link.
However, Sundaram, John and John (1996) reached the opposite
conclusion. They did not find a positive relationship between R&D
expenditures and stock exchange prices. By refining their study, they
showed that the reaction of the market depends on the level of
competition in the sector; an increase of R&D expenditures in a
non-competitive sector (weak competition) leads to a rise of the
initiating firm's stock price. On the other hand, in a very
competitive sector, this type of announcement induces a fall of the
firm's stock price. This difference, concerning the impact on the
stock price, is noted by other authors like Hall (1993) and can be
explained by the fact that the results depend on the period of the
study, and in particular, if they were carried out before or after the
year 1985, which seems to be a hinge year in terms of investor behaviour
in the United States.
These various studies assert that the R&D expenditures of a
firm influence its value, return and its accounting figures with,
however, a strong sensitivity to the economic situation and the
competition in their sector. Consequently, we make the following
assumption:
H1.1: The return of technological firms is decreasing with the
intensity of the expenses in R&D (expenses of R&D/turnover).
On the other hand, a firm which intensely exploits the results of
its research should generate a significant turnover compared to its
intangible assets and have weak intangible fixed assets compared to its
total assets. Indeed, if the R&D expenditures are accounted as
expenses, they strongly decrease the firm's income but if they are
capitalized, they weigh down the balance sheet. In the first case, they
deteriorate the margin ratio and in the second case, they decrease the
financial lever, finding its origin in asset rotation. So, we can deduct the following assumptions:
H1.2: The firm's return increases when the R&D
expenditures are accounted as expenses rather than assets.
H1.3: The firm's return grows when its EBIT is significant
compared to its intangible assets.
C. Expenditure of R&D and Risk of the Firm
The immaterial elements put the firm in a situation of
informational asymmetry compared to the market because it obviously
lacks control on the contents as well as on the prospects for future
profit. The immaterial investments require an attentive management and
specific means because of their particular risks. Indeed, the future
value of these assets is not guaranteed. These R&D projects imply
very high development and control costs. From this point of view, firms
must exert high expenditures for a dubious future return.
More over, innovating firms generally have a strong growth. This
induces a risk of growth that can lead to problems of liquidity, and
bankruptcy especially because these firms are generally small and do not
have the financial strength necessary to absorb these crises. In the
technological sector, like the pharmaceutical industry, many research
projects are developed by small specialized laboratories that, in the
event of success, sell or lay off their discoveries to big groups. This
is because the uncertainty of the innovations created involves a
technological and competitive risk--the first is that a technological
rupture brutally makes obsolete the discovery, the second is that its
discovery will not become a market standard--which small firms cannot
assume.
In a study on the failure factors of investment projects, Mansfield
and Wagner (1975) showed that intangible investments have a greater
probability of failure than tangible investments. For Williamson (1988),
the absence of materiality in these investments, associated with the
absence of secondary market, implies that there is not real guarantee
put on the asset, and this leads to a stronger risk of insolvency.
Studies realized by Mansfield and Wagner (1977), Griliches (1979),
Jaffe (1986), Audretsch and Feldman (1996) demonstrate that the
spillovers relating to processes of specific R&D make it possible
for competitors to gain competitiveness at a lower cost; the imitation of the processes. These studies show in particular that, in the sectors
with a strong intensity of R&D, the R&D expenditures increase
the competitor's inventories of knowledge and improve the results
of their research.
Another characteristic intangible expenditure is irreversibility,
i.e. if a firm stop a project, it cannot recover all the money invested,
because generally these investments are partly specific to the firm and
cannot be sold at their acquisition cost.
Lastly, with regards to the link between risk of the firm and
R&D expenditure, Ding and Stolowy (2003), in a study on the
capitalization of R&D expenditures applied to a sample of 68 French
firms belonging to the SBF 250 index, noticed that the companies which
capitalize their R&D expenditures have a high beta risk. The study
of Ho, Zhenyu, and Yap (2004) leads to the same conclusion. Based on a
broad sample of American firms characterized by a very significant stock
exchange capitalization, this study indicates a very great return for
firms with very intensive R&D expenditures. At the same time, the
analysis of the correlation confirms that the intensity of the R&D
expenditures positively relates to the systematic risk of the stock
market. Thus, we can elaborate the following assumptions:
H2.1: the more intense the R&D expenses of a firm are, the
riskier the firm is (high beta).
H2.2: The risk of the firm is higher when it capitalizes its
R&D expenditures.
H2.3: The firm is less risky when its EBIT is high compared to its
intangible fixed assets.
The review of the literature insists on contradictory results about
the incidence of the R&D expenditures on the firm's financial
performance. Our synthesis and observation led us to suppose that if the
R&D expenditures should indicate the capacity of a firm to maintain
its competitive advantages. Firstly there are sources of expenses coming
to decrease the firm's return. Moreover, the asymmetry of
information being increasing with the R&D expenditures, they would
enhance the perceived risk by the investors. In order to test these
assumptions, we chose to focus our study on technological firms because
their activities are based on the economic exploitation of their R&D
results. In the following section, we expose the characteristics of our
sample and the methodology employed to test these six assumptions.
III. EMPIRICAL RESULTS
A. Sample and Methodology
For the purpose of our analysis we use data from the 2004 annual
report of firms and the JCF Quant software. For homogeneity, the firms
of our sample are exclusively listed on EURONEXT and NASDAQ. Our sample
is composed of 213 firms in technological sector (2).
The annual return of a share is obtained by summing the daily
returns that are calculated with the closing prices. For each firm of
the sample, the beta is the covariance of the daily stock return with
the daily market index return divide by the variance of the daily market
return.
The objective of the regression analysis, which we lead in the
empirical part, is to explain the firms financial performance in the
sample, in terms of return and beta, (the metric dependent variables)
with the other accounting metric independent variables.
B. Descriptive Analysis of the Sample
The technological firms of our sample have R&D expenditures
accounted as expenses in the income statement, which rise on average to
100,7 million euros. These expenses are highest for the aerospace and
telecommunications sectors, with respectively 312 million euros and 55,3
million euros. For the software sector, expenses in R&D are on
average 33,7 million euros and 1,47 million in biotechnologies sector.
More over, the companies in the aerospace and telecommunications sectors
have the largest total assets and the he biotech firms are the smallest:
the size is nearly 94 times lower than those in the aerospace sector.
These statistics show that biotech firms are mostly spin-off of
pharmaceutical groups or large laboratories.
The averages EBIT and intangibles assets also follow the same
order. However, this order is reversed when we look at intangible assets
with regards to the total assets (the intangibility of the firm).
Whereas the firms in the biotechnology and the software sectors have
respectively 6,8% and 5,6% (medians) intangibles to their total assets,
firms in the telecommunications and aerospace sectors have close to two
times less intangible assets (respectively 3,7% and 3,9%). These
observations point out that these last two sectors invested and
capitalized less in R&D expenditures.
We approximate the R&D capitalization intensity with the ratio:
intangible asset / R&D expenses, that we call the R&D
capitalization ratio. For firms with significant R&D expenditures, a
high R&D capitalization ratio means that the firm strongly account
their R&D expenditures as intangible assets. Intangible assets are
then high compared to the R&D expenses. We will see later that the
R&D capitalization ratio must be combined with the R&D expenses
ratio to improve financial analysis. But before going further in the
interpretation of the descriptive statistics, let us recall that the
ratio of R&D expenses is high if the expenditures in R&D,
registered in the income statement, are high compared to the EBIT.
The median of the R&D capitalization ratio for our sample of
technological firms is 1,446. The expenses in R&D thus represent
about two-thirds the intangible assets. The median of this ratio appears
particularly low in biotechnology firms (0,66). One explanation of this
observation is that investments in R&D are capitalized in the
balance sheet. If, one observes a low R&D expenses ratio, one can
then conclude that the firm does not have a strategy to indicate the
quality of its projects by displaying only its expenditure in R&D.
This can be shown in the biotechnologies sector since the median of the
R&D expenses ratio is low (0,7). One explanation is that the R&D
expenses have a large proportion of the operating costs and that it is
preferable to reveal this expenditure by increasing the EBIT. On the
other hand, expenses in R&D in the software industry represent 1,26
times the EBIT. Indeed, in a lot of cases, the net income is inevitably
negative. In addition we can observe an R&D capitalization ratio of
1,82, nearly three times superior to the biotechnology sector. In this
sector, it seems that companies tend to announce the quality of their
projects by showing explicitly their investments in R&D.
Graph 1 helps us to visualize that the median of the R&D
capitalization ratio is close to the R&D expenses ratio for the four
sectors. Indeed, it seems that the capitalization of the R&D
expenditures are related to the economic cycle. In the software sector,
the entry barriers rely essentially on intense short-term technological
renewal. This is because, on the one hand, the software remains
difficult to patent (although it is made possible in the United States)
and on the other hand, the cycles of innovation are very short (for
example six months for the videogames and up to 3 years for professional
software). The investments of R&D are appropriate in the short term.
In general in biotechnologies, the economic cycles are more than ten
years. Commercial exploitation often takes place in a situation of
monopoly because of the patents and commercial licences. These are
genuine entry barriers for the competitors in this sector. The
investments in R&D are appropriate for a long-term strategy and
mostly appear in the operating costs, because they are part of the
economic cycle.
[GRAPHIC 1 OMITTED]
The graph above points out that the aerospace and biotechnologies
sectors are a less likely to account their R&D expenditures as
expenses, compared with the telecom and software sectors. The following
table shows, the median of the betas in the aerospace and biotechnology
sectors are 0,65 and 0,61. Thus, it testifies that those industries are
not very risky compared to the telecom and software sectors, which
respectively have betas of 1,76 and 2,13.
These sectors can be grouped in two categories: (1) sectors with
strong signal of investment in R&D (telecommunications and
software), and (2) sectors with low signal of investment in R&D
(biotechnologies and aerospace).
We observe on our sample of technological firms that the median
return is 13,5 for a median beta of 1,33. The median beta is three times
superior for the sectors with a strong activity in R&D since it is
1,95 against 0,63 (median) for the firms with low ratios. Cumulated
returns follow a reversed order because the sectors integrating their
expenditures in R&D have returns nearly 9 times lower: 4% against
34%.
These first statistics highlight that the firms in the
telecommunications and software sectors are underperformers in term of
return and beta, compared to the firms in the aerospace and
biotechnologies sectors. We continue our analysis using simple and
multiple regressions to examine whether the accounting strategies of
investments in R&D have an effect on the financial performances of
the technological firms, or if we are more simply facing sectorial
effects.
C. Accounting of R&D Expenditures and Financial Performance
1. The correlations matrix
The existence of negative returns and betas led us to a shift of
the scale. After, we have proceeded to a logarithmic transformation for
each variable and drew up the matrix of correlations. We examine the
effect of our variables on the financial return by analyzing the results
of the simple and multiple regressions. Finally, while following the
same process, we studied the effect of our variables on the financial
risk beta. This methodology allows us to confirm the assumptions we
posed in our review of the literature, and to examine whether there are
differences in the average of the financial performances according to
the selected strategies.
The following sections discuss the correlations between the studied
variables and the financial performances of the firm, and between the
variables themselves.
2. R&D investment and the return of technological firms
The table of correlations reveals that the intangibility of the
firm, measured by the intangible assets to the total assets, does not
have any relationship with the stock returns of technological firms
(correlation = -0.022). On the other hand, we can observe a weak
negative correlation (-0.167) of the stock returns with the R&D
expenses ratio (R&D expenses/EBIT) and a weak negative correlation
of -0,138' with the R&D capitalization ratio (Intangible
assets/R&D expenses). Although these results are significant only
with an error threshold of 5%, they are useful to indicate the tendency
that the R&D expenditures decrease the firm's return. Here, we
confirm the H1.1 assumption with precaution.
Let us recall that the explanation of this result is due to the
fact that the expenditure of R&D, entered as expenses in the income
statement, burdens the net income of the firm and/or comes to weigh down the balance sheet when they are capitalized (the correlation between
these two variables is [0.173.sup..sup.*], which authorizes us to
proceed to a multiple regression). When one considers the R&D to
asset capitalization ratio (total assets/R&D expenses), the
correlation is significant with an error threshold of 1%
(-[0.188.sup.**]). This observation puts forward the importance attached
by the stock market to the negative leverage effect of capitalized
R&D expenditures. This variable has a strong correlation with the
two variables previously studied. Thus, the more one firm chooses an
intense capitalization of its R&D expenditures to the total asset,
the lower the stock return is (H1.2 confirmed).
The best way to describe this is with the intangible operating
ratio (intangible assets /EBIT) that seems to signal the best the
return. The correlation is -[0.234.sup.**] and is significant with an
error threshold of 1%. The firm announces its capacity to generate
benefits for the shareholder, providing that its EBIT is high compared
to the intangible assets. This observation shows that the firm fully
makes use of its intangible assets by exploiting them commercially.
(H1.3 confirmed).
Let us note that the intangible operating ratio is strongly
correlated with the R&D to intangible capitalization ratio
([0.709.sup.**]) and with the R&D expenses ratio. On the other hand,
the intangible operating ratio is not highly correlated with the R&D
to asset capitalization ratio ([0.145.sup.*]).
When one regresses the intangible operating ratio and the R&D
to asset capitalization ratio with the stock returns, we can only
explain 3.6% of the variance. The estimated coefficients are not
significantly different from zero. These results oblige us to reject the
assumption, according to which there would be a combined effect of these
two variables on stock returns. At this stage, we will retain that the
more the firm has a high EBIT compared to its intangible assets, the
higher the stock returns. The intangible operating ratio (Intangible
assets/EBIT) is the product of the R&D expenses ratio and the
R&D to intangible capitalization ratio (Intangible assets/R&D
expenses x R&D expenses/EBIT). From this you can see that the stock
returns of a firm increase with its capacity to generate benefits, by
entering its expenditures in R&D as expenses in the income
statement, rather than to capitalize them.
This assumption is confirmed when one regresses the R&D
expenses ratio (R&D expenses/EBIT) and the R&D to intangible
capitalization ratio (Intangible asset/ R&D expenses) with the
return. The explained variance is 5.7% with an error threshold lower
than 1%. The coefficients estimated for this regression are positive and
significant with an error threshold of 1.4 %. The estimated coefficients
show that the return is higher when the firm records its expenditure of
R&D as expenses rather than as intangible assets and that the firm
is capable to generate a high EBIT compare to its R&D expenses. This
result demonstrates again that high-return companies have R&D
programmes supported by the operating profits, rather than by the
balance sheet. Problems of multi--colinearity do not authorize us to
proceed to other multiple regressions.
Performing technological firms do not capitalize their entire
R&D expenditures, because it is not very probable that all research
is successful. On the other hand, when a firm has low R&D expenses
compared to the size of its assets and when the firm has high R&D
expenses compare to its EBIT, its net income can only be negatively
affected. Within this framework they would be start-up or large
companies that have cumulated a delay as regards innovation compared to
the market, or firms that have invested in unfruitful R&D. Indeed
there are many scenarios where the R&D expenditures give rise to
financial risks that we propose to analyze in the following section.
3. R&D expenditures and the risk of the technological firms
We observe a positive relationship between the R&D expenses
ratio (R&D expenses/EBIT) and the risk measured by the beta, since
the coefficient of correlation is 0.33 and is significant with an error
threshold of 1 %. The [R.sup.2] of the simple regression between beta
and the R&D expenses ratio is [0.11.sup.*]. Indeed, the market would
tend to consider the firms that show large expenses in R&D compared
to the EBIT as being riskier. This is due to the fact that these firms
would have multiple options of economic exploitations of this research
in the future (real options). However, the fact that they are not
marketable immediately generates a doubt about the economic
effectiveness of this research and thus the perceived risk by investors.
(H2.1 confirmed).
It is noticed that the variable intangibility of the firm measured
by the ratio total assets/intangible assets maintains a strong positive
correlation ([0.765.sup.**]) with the variable "R&D to
intangible capitalization ratio". In other words, when the firm
records significant expenditure of R&D in the income statement,
rather than in the balance sheet, it has few intangible assets compared
to the total assets. It is thus noted that more the firm records
significant expenditure in R&D as expenses, the less it appears to
be intangible.
If we do not find a relationship between the intangibility of the
firm and its risk, it is not the same with its R&D to total asset
capitalization ratio. The more the expenditures of R&D recorded as
expenses are significant, compared to the total assets (low R&D to
total asset capitalization), the less risky the firm appears
(correlation of 0, [211.sup.**] and H2.2 is confirmed).
The correlation which characterizes the relationship between the
variables "R&D expenses ratio" and "R&D to
intangible capitalization ratio" is -0.173 and significant with an
error threshold of 5 %. This correlation is statistically very weak and
we proceed to a multiple regression in order to examine whether it is
possible to improve the results previously obtained. As the correlation
between the variables "R&D expenses ratio" and
"R&D to total asset capitalization ratio" are very
significant (-[0.447.sup.**]), we cannot proceed to multiple
regressions.
When we regress the variables "R&D expenses ratio"
and "R&D to intangible capitalization ratio" we find a
clear improvement of the explained variance of betas: 12.6%. Although
the F test is significant with the threshold of 1%, the coefficient of
the variable "R&D to intangible capitalization ratio" is
not statistically significant.
The product of the two ratios can be rewritten as the intangible
operating ratio: "intangible assets/EBIT". This ratio has a
close relationship with the beta since the correlation is 0.286
([R.sup.2]=0.082). Indeed, the firm is riskiest when its EBIT is low
compared to its intangible assets. (H2.3 is confirmed). In this case,
the market can be interpreted as having a low EBIT for high intangibles
that is dangerous for technological companies. It would mean that in
spite of, for example, the development of new patented products or the
acquisition of brands, it puts doubt on the opportunities for the firm
to exploit economically its assets, thus generating a source of risk.
As we previously mentioned, when we regress the variable
"intangibility of the firm" to the beta, we obtain a [R.sup.2]
of 0.009 and none of the statistic tests validate a significant
relationship between these two variables. This result indicates that the
variable measuring the intangibility of the firm is not an indicator of
the risk for technological firms when it is taken independently of other
variables. On the other hand, this ratio takes all its meaning, when it
is aggregated with the variable "R&D expenses". The
[R.sup.2] is then 0.134. The tests of Fisher and Student are all
significant. The coefficient of correlation between the two explanatory variables being slightly significant ([0.139.sup.*]). From this, we
deduce that the beta increases as the firm has increasing R&D
expenses and decreasing intangible assets to total assets (the
coefficient of this last variable being negative). It is thus observed
that a firm can compensate with intangibles for the risk generated by
its R&D expenses. The explanation that we can give for this is due
to the fact that capitalization tends to reduce the informational
asymmetry of innovating firms. This is because an intense control is
then exerted, contrary to the expenditure of R&D, which is more
abstract in its interpretation. The expenditure in R&D capitalized
in the balance sheet is then perceived as a source of competitive
advantage. The risk of a firm increases with high R&D expenses and
low intangible assets to its total assets.
The last two results obtained are significant because they confirm
the assumption according that stakes that a technological firm announces
the quality of its research programmes by the capitalization of its
expenditure in R&D, while being able to generate a consequent EBIT.
This means that the technological firms reduce the asymmetry of
information by adopting this strategy, because it shows that it is able
to draw part of its intangible assets. A firm that would only
capitalized little of its expenditure in R&D, would tend to signal
to the market that its research programmes are only slightly effective.
4. Tests of differences of the averages
After identifying the two variables, "R&D expenses
ratio" and "R&D to intangible capitalization ratio",
as having jointly an incidence on the technological firm's stock
return and risk, we now propose to measure the impact of these variables
on our sample, divided into four groups. These groups where made by
splitting our variables at the median.
The following graph represents the financial performances of the
technological firms according to their investment strategy in R&D.
We observe that the market gives a very high risk to the innovating
firms, which are characterized by an intense strategy of R&D (Group
G1). Beta is close to two times higher compared with the firms that have
a low strategy of R&D (Group G2), since it passes on average from
2,01 to 1,17.
[GRAPHIC 2 OMITTED]
When we study the differences of the averages of the two groups,
which are clearly different in terms of investment strategy in R&D
(G1 group has a very strong strategy of R&D investment compared to
the G4 group), we obtain the following results:
The Levene test of equality of the variances allows us to consider
that the distribution of the betas of the two groups have a similar
shape. This is also observed by the proximity of the standard deviations
when they are squared. Consequently, the test of the differences of the
averages is interpreted with the estimated parameters, which consider
the equality of the variances. The statistic t (p value) is 3.65 and has
a probability of 0.000. We can conclude that the averages of the betas
of the two groups are significantly different.
We also observe that returns are double for the firms with a low
investment strategy in R&D (18.45% vs 41.48%). The test of
differences of the averages is, however, less conclusive because we are
prepared for the possibility of considering an equality of the variances
and in fact to consider that our averages are statistically different
with an error threshold lower than 5%.
However, the survival of the technological firms cannot always
ignore investment in R&D and it appears preferable to capitalize the
R&D expenditures. If the test of differences of the averages on
returns is not significant between groups G2 and G3 (respectively 26.46%
and 24.95%), it is the opposite for the betas. The average beta is 1.29
for the firms, which capitalized their expenditure in R&D and 1.8
for the firms that enter their expenditure in R&D as expenses. This
difference of the averages is significant with an error threshold of 2%.
Thus, for an almost equal return, it is preferable to capitalize the
expenditure in R&D because the perceived risk of the firm by the
market will be reduced. Let us notice that this difference is even
stronger between the firms of groups G1 and G3, since the capitalization
strategy lowers the risk from a beta of 2.01 to 1.29. The test of the
differences of the averages is significant with an error threshold of 1%
on the betas, whereas it is not significant on the returns.
A strategy of capitalization has consequently a decisive impact on
the financial performance of technological firms. The explanation,
according to which the accounting rule of capitalization (IAS 38
standard) limits drifts, signals the control of technology and
contributes to reduce the uncertainties and risks of the business plan,
is confirmed through our empirical analyses.
IV. CONCLUSION
The growth of technological firms relies on its opportunities to
exploit innovative products and services, thus forcing them to strongly
invest in research and development (R&D). Our results show that
R&D expenditures signal the strategic positioning of a firm and
significantly put strain on the financial performances.
We define companies with intensive investments in R&D as
companies that have a high R&D expenses ratio (R&D
expenses/EBIT) and a high R&D capitalization ratio (Intangible
assets/R&D expenses). We have observed that the beta is nearly two
times higher, and the return nearly two times lower for companies with
intensive investments in R&D, compared to low R&D investing
companies. Indeed, firms with an intensive investment strategy in
R&D have significantly lower financial performances.
Nevertheless, rules of R&D capitalization seems to limit the
information asymmetry between technological firms and the exchange
market, because firms with a high R&D capitalization ratio
(Intangible assets/R&D expenses) have lower betas. Financial
performances hold so long as the company generates important earnings.
If not, it appears that the more a firm capitalizes its R&D
expenditures, the more it increases its intangible assets. So, the
capitalization of R&D weighs down the balance sheet and has a
negative leverage effect on the returns.
R&D, being impossible to avoid for some technological firms,
our results show that it is preferable to capitalize the R&D
expenditures if the firm is able to draw an immediate commercial
exploitation from them. In this case, where the benefits are expected in
the future, the R&D expenditures will have a strong negative impact
on the financial performances. It is then preferable to externalise projects (spin-off), which require significant investments in R&D,
rather than to develop them in-house.
While talking about their patents, brand and know how, Bill Gates said about Microsoft: "our primary assets do not show up in the
balance sheet at all." The observation we made from this article
might contribute to the explanation of the current spin-off trend in
technological groups and why annual reports do not have much affect on.
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ENDNOTES
(1.) The IAS 38 standard distinguishes two phases in intangible
assets creation: the research phase and the development phase. R&D
expenditures of the first research phase are expenses, but R&D
expenditures of the development phase can be capitalized, i.e. these
expenditures are counted as an intangible asset if the firm shows: (A)
the technical feasibility of the asset for its start-up or of its sale,
(b) its intention to use it or sell it and (c) the resource
availability, in particular technical and financial resources, for its
development and use.
(2.) Our original sample is composed of a total of 365 European
firms. 194 of them are within the software sector, 73 in the
telecommunications, 68 in the aerospace and 30 in biotechnologies.
Initially, we refined the composition of the sample by excluding the 108
firms whose earnings, before interests and taxes, are negative because
the ratios necessary for our analysis are not interpretable when they
are negative. For the same reasons, we excluded the 23 firms that have a
negative recorded value of their intangible fixed assets. Our sample is
then made up of 234 firms. Secondly, after a logarithmic transformation
of our data, we excluded the firms with extreme values. That is to say,
we excluded 21 firms, so our final sample was composed with 213 firms.
Jean-Sebastien Lantz (a) * and Jean-Michel Sahut (b) *
* The authors would like to acknowledge the Fonds Social Europeen
for its financial support.
(a) Associate Professor of Finance, ParisTech--Telecom Paris
[email protected]
(b) Professor of Finance, Cerege--Sup de Co La Rochelle
[email protected]
Table 1
Indicators of accounting integration of the R&D expenditures
R & D expenses Intangibles
Sector Statistics /EBIT / asset
Aerospa. Average 1.1292 0.0694
Median .4035 0.0391
Biotech Average 1.0138 0.1229
Median .7000 0.0681
Software Average 2.6260 0.0647
Median 1.2568 0.0566
Tele COM Average 1.5683 0.0613
Median .8881 0.0372
Total Average 1.8709 0.0707
Median .8671 0.0443
Intangibles Intangibles
Statistics / R&D expens. / EBIT
Average 2.4330 1.8506
Median 1.2278 .7091
Average 2.1139 2.6895
Median .6634 .4989
Average 3.1118 6.9787
Median 1.8209 2.4276
Average 4.8426 4.6729
Median 1.5735 1.5501
Average 3.2636 4.8209
Median 1.4465 1.2612
Table 2
Integration of the R&D expenditures and firms financial performance
Signal Sector Beta Return
Aerospac Average .6400 0.6106
Sectors with Median .6500 0.4
low signal in R&D--0 Biotech Average .5357 1.0043
Median .6100 0.24
Total Average .6092 0.727
Median .6300 0.34
Software Average 2.1686 0.0769
Sectors with Median 2.13 -.0400
low signal in R&D--1 Telecom Average 1.757 0.3288
Median 1.76 0.175
Total Average 2.0247 0.165
Median 1.95 0.04
Table 3
Pearson correlations matrix
RD expens. Intangible
/EBIT / RD expenses
RD expens. Correlation 1 -.173 *
/EBIT of Pearson
Sig. . .012
(bilateral)
Intangible/ Correlation -.173 * 1
RD expens. of Pearson
Sig. .012 .
(bilateral)
Assets/RD Correlation -.447 .557 **
expens. of Pearson
Sig. .000 .000
(bilateral)
Intangib. Correlation .572 ** .709 **
/EBIT of Pearson
Sig. .000 .000
(bilateral)
Intangib Correlation .139 * .765 **
/asset of Pearson
Sig. .043 .000
(bilateral)
Beta Correlation .331 ** .054
of Pearson
Sig. .000 .431
(bilateral)
Return Correlation -.167 * -.138 *
of Pearson
Sig. .015 .046
(bilateral)
Assets / Intangib Intangib
RD expens. / EBIT / asset
Correlation -.447 ** .572 ** .139 *
of Pearson
Sig. .000 .000 .043
(bilateral)
Correlation .557 * .709 ** .765 **
of Pearson
Sig. .000 .000 .000
(bilateral)
Correlation 1 .145 * -.109
of Pearson
Sig. . .035 .114
(bilateral)
Correlation .145 * 1 .738 **
of Pearson
Sig. .035 . .000
(bilateral)
Correlation -.109 .738 ** 1
of Pearson
Sig. .114 .000 .
(bilateral)
Correlation .211 ** .286 ** -.094
of Pearson
Sig. .002 .000 .171
(bilateral)
Correlation -.188 ** -.234 ** -.022
of Pearson
Sig. .006 .001 .754
(bilateral)
Beta Return
Correlation .331 ** -.167 *
of Pearson
Sig. .000 .015
(bilateral)
Correlation .054 -.138 *
of Pearson
Sig. .431 .046
(bilateral)
Correlation .211 ** -.188 **
of Pearson
Sig. .002 .006
(bilateral)
Correlation .286 ** -.234 **
of Pearson
Sig. .000 .001
(bilateral)
Correlation -.094 -.022
of Pearson
Sig. .171 .754
(bilateral)
Correlation 1 -.200 **
of Pearson
Sig. . .003
(bilateral)
Correlation -.20 ** 1
of Pearson
Sig. .003 .
(bilateral)
* The correlation is significant at level 0.05 (bilateral) ** the
correlation is significant at level 0.01 (bilateral) Incorpo./EBIT:
intangible fixed assets/turnover
Table 4
Simple and multiple regressions between return and R&D expenditure
variables
Ratio Simple Simple Simple Simple
regression regression regression regression
R&D -0.066
expenses ratio [0.015]
Firm -0.009
Intangibility [0.754]
R&D to -0.047
Intang. [0.046]
capitalization
ratio
R&D to total -0.098
assets capitaliz. [0.006]
ratio
Intangible
operating ratio
R2 0.026 0.022 0.019 0.035
Adjusted R2 0.023 0.000 0.014 0.031
F 6.036 0.098 4.030 7.663
Significant [0.015] [0.754] [0.046] [0.006]
Ratio Simple Multiple Multiple
regression regression regression
R&D -0.078
expenses ratio [0.004]
Firm
Intangibility
R&D to -0.057 -0.017
Intang. [0.014] [0.53]
capitalization
ratio
R&D to total -0.082
assets capitaliz. [0.055]
ratio
Intangible -0.066
operating ratio [0.001]
R2 0.055 0.057 0.036
Adjusted R2 0.05 0.048 0.027
F 12.19 6.299 3.896
Significant [0.001] [0.002] [0.022]
Table 5
Simple and multiple regressions between risk beta and R&D expenditures
variables
Ratio Simple Simple Simple Simple
regression regression regression regression
R&D 0.092
expenses ratio [0.000]
Firm -0.027
Intangibility [0.171]
R&D to 0.013
Intang. [0.431]
capitalization
ratio
R&D to total 0.078
assets [0.002]
capitaliz.
ratio
Intangible
operating
ratio
R2 0.11 0.009 0.003 0.044
Adjusted R2 0.106 0.004 0.002 0.04
F 26.04 1.889 0.622 9.785
Significant [0.000] [0.171] [0.431] [0.002]
Ratio Simple Multiple Multiple
regression regression regression
R&D 0.028 0.099
expenses ratio [0.000] [0.000]
Firm -0.042
Intangibility [0.026]
R&D to 0.099
Intang. [0.079]
capitalization
ratio
R&D to total
assets
capitaliz.
ratio
Intangible 0.057
operating [0.000]
ratio
R2 0.082 0.126 0.134
Adjusted R2 0.078 0.118 0.126
F 18.862 15.077 16.144
Significant [0.000] [0.000] [0.000]
Table 6
Differences of the averages between the groups G1 and G4
Group N Average Standard Average
deviation standard
error
Beta 1 64 2.0101 1.1747 0.1446
4 42 1.1716 1.1409 0.1760
Return 1 66 0.1845 0.5184 0.0628
4 41 0.4148 0.6848 0.1069
Table 7
Test of independent samples
Test of Levene
on the equality
of the variances Test-T for equality of the
averages
F Sig. T ddl
Beta AEV (2) .575 0.45 3.656 106
AEV 3.68 89.333
Return AEV 2.503 0.117 -1.988 107
AEV -1.857 67.597
Test-T for equality of the averages
Sig. Average Diff st. Interval (1)
(bilat.) diff. deviation Inf. Sup.
AEV (2) 0 0.8384 0.22931 0.3838 1.293
AEV 0 0.8384 0.22782 0.3858 1.291
AEV 0.049 -.2304 0.1159 -.4601 -.0006
AEV 0.068 -.2304 0.12406 -.4779 0.017
(1) Confidence interval: 95% of the difference. (2) AEV: Assumption
of equal variances.