文章基本信息

标题：A Model for the Risk of Microcephaly Induced by the Zika Virus (ZIKV)
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作者：Dalia M. Muñoz Pizza ; Anibal Muñoz Loaiza ; John F. Arredondo Montoya 等
期刊名称：Open Journal of Modelling and Simulation
印刷版ISSN：2327-4018
电子版ISSN：2327-4026
出版年度：2016
卷号：04
期号：03
页码：109-117
DOI：10.4236/ojmsi.2016.43010
语种：English
出版社：Scientific Research Publishing
摘要：It has been introduced and analyzed a mathematical model based on integral equations, which turns into a dynamical system of non-linear differential equations to account for the risk of microcephaly incidence caused by the Zika virus. A specific pregnant women susceptible group has been accounted for. The epidemic threshold (basic reproduction number) has been obtained by implementing the next generation matrix method. A sensitivity analysis with respect to each parameter has been applied to that threshold. Finally, the incidence to the exposure is obtained by performing several system simulations.
关键词：Model;Microcephaly;Zika Virus;Basic Reproduction Number;Sensitivity Analysis