文章基本信息

标题：An Empirical Analysis of Accurate Budget Forecasting in Turkey
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作者：Muhlis BAĞDİGEN
期刊名称：Dogus University Journal
印刷版ISSN：1302-6739
电子版ISSN：1308-6979
出版年度：2005
卷号：6
期号：2
页码：190-201
语种：
出版社：Dogus University
摘要：This paper analyzes the accuracy of budget forecasts in Turkey. Data is based on 23 years' forecasted and materialized general budget revenues and outlays, from 1981 to 2003. One sample statistics, tabulated, and one sample t tests are applied to find out the accuracy of forecasting and the results show that there are statistically significant forecast errors and this significance, especially, indicates biases towards under-forecasting of outlays and over-forecasting of revenues.