文章基本信息

标题：Risk Decision Analysis of Logistics Purchasing Based on Mathematical Expectation
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作者：Fengying Wang ; Zhixin Liang
期刊名称：Open Journal of Modelling and Simulation
印刷版ISSN：2327-4018
电子版ISSN：2327-4026
出版年度：2016
卷号：04
期号：02
页码：41-45
DOI：10.4236/ojmsi.2016.42005
语种：English
出版社：Scientific Research Publishing
摘要：The mathematical expectation value method is a commonly used method in risk decision-making. This paper studies the problem of how to arrange the purchase plan in order to get the maximum expected profit; considering the applicable principles of mathematical expectation, the decision method for getting the optimal decision scheme is given. Finally, we do simulation and stability analysis on an example and obtain the reasonable result. This result shows that mathematical expectation value method is effective in solving the problem of risk decision.
关键词：Mathematical Expectation;Logistics Purchasing;Risk Decision;Stability