文章基本信息

标题：The Impact of Hurricanes on Crime in the City of Houston, Tx: A Spatio-Temporal Analysis
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作者：Michael Leitner ; M. Helbich
期刊名称：ISPRS Annals of the Photogrammetry, Remote Sensing and Spatial Information Sciences
印刷版ISSN：2194-9042
电子版ISSN：2194-9050
出版年度：2010
卷号：XXXVIII Part 4
出版社：Copernicus Publications
摘要：The impact that natural disasters have on crime is still little known. In general, it is assumed that crime declines shortly after the disasterand slowly increases to pre-disaster levels over time. However, this assumption is not always confirmed by the few empirical studies thathave been conducted to date. In this paper we analyze the impacts that Hurricanes Katrina and Rita had on the temporal and spatialdistribution of reported crimes in the city of Houston, TX. Crime data were collected before, during, and after the landfall of bothhurricanes. The modeling part of this paper focused on spatial, temporal, and spatio-temporal models, at both global and local scales.The results show that while Hurricane Katrina did not have any apparent impact on crime, Hurricane Rita led to a significant short-termincrease in burglaries and auto thefts. Spatial analysis indicated that the increase in burglaries was mostly concentrated in AfricanAmerican and, to a lesser degree, in Hispanic neighborhoods. There is some indication that the mandatory evacuation order that wasissued prior to the arrival of Hurricane Rita motivated crime “prone” individuals, who did not follow the evacuation order, to burglarizeunprotected residences of individuals, who evacuated. No mandatory evacuation order was issued for Hurricane Katrina
关键词：Hurricane Katrina; Hurricane Rita; Houston; spatio-temporal analysis; crime; evacuation