文章基本信息

标题：Relationship between the precipitation variability in Montenegro and the Mediterranean oscillation
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作者：Burić, Dragan ; Ducić, Vladan ; Mihajlović, Jovan 等
期刊名称：Glasnik Srpskog geografskog drustva
印刷版ISSN：0350-3593
出版年度：2014
卷号：94
期号：4
页码：109-120
DOI：10.2298/GSGD1404109B
出版社：Serbian Geographical society
摘要：This study investigates the influence of atmospheric circulation in the Mediterranean region on the precipitation in Montenegro. Nine precipitation parameters have been used in the analysis and the relationship has been investigated by the Mediterranean and West Mediterranean Oscillation change index (MO and WeMO). According to a 60 - year observed period (1951-2010), the research results show that nothing characteristic happens with seasonal and annual precipitation sums because the trend is mainly insignificant. However, precipitation extremes are getting more extreme, which corresponds with a general idea of global warming. Negative consequences of daily intensity increase and frequency of precipitation days above fixed and percentile thresholds have been recorded recently in the form of torrents, floods, intensive erosive processes, etc., but it should be pointed out that human factor is partly a cause of such events. The estimate of the influence of teleconnection patterns primarily related to the Mediterranean Basin has shown that their variability affects the observed precipitation parameters on the territory of Montenegro regarding both seasonal and annual sums and frequency and intensity of extreme events shown by climate indices.
关键词：precipitation; extremes; Mediterranean Oscillation; Montenegro