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  • 标题:La actividad de búsquedas en Google anticipa los resultados electorales
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Raúl Gómez Martínez ; Camilo Prado Román
  • 期刊名称:IDP. Revista de Internet, Derecho y Política
  • 印刷版ISSN:1699-8154
  • 电子版ISSN:1699-8154
  • 出版年度:2014
  • 期号:18
  • 页码:2-15
  • 语种:Spanish
  • 出版社:Universitat Oberta de Catalunya
  • 摘要:...
  • 其他摘要:This research aims to analyse the usefulness of Google searches for explaining or predicting events. A paneldata econometric model is proposed that demonstrates that Google search statistics have explanatory and predictive capacity for the trend in voting intention in the Spanish elections. The relationship between votes and searches is significant, positive and greater than unity, which means that if Google search statistics increase by 1 point, voting intention increases by more than 1% of the electorate.
  • 其他关键词:Google Insights; voters; voting intentions; election prediction; Spain
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