文章基本信息

标题：Landscape Epidemiology Modeling Using an Agent-Based Model and a Geographic Information System
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作者：S., M. Niaz Arifin ; Arifin, Rumana Reaz ; de Alwis Pitts, Dilkushi 等
期刊名称：Land
印刷版ISSN：2073-445X
出版年度：2015
卷号：4
期号：2
页码：378-412
出版社：MDPI, Open Access Journal
摘要：A landscape epidemiology modeling framework is presented which integrates the simulation outputs from an established spatial agent-based model (ABM) of malaria with a geographic information system (GIS). For a study area in Kenya, five landscape scenarios are constructed with varying coverage levels of two mosquito-control interventions. For each scenario, maps are presented to show the average distributions of three output indices obtained from the results of 750 simulation runs. Hot spot analysis is performed to detect statistically significant hot spots and cold spots. Additional spatial analysis is conducted using ordinary kriging with circular semivariograms for all scenarios. The integration of epidemiological simulation-based results with spatial analyses techniques within a single modeling framework can be a valuable tool for conducting a variety of disease control activities such as exploring new biological insights, monitoring epidemiological landscape changes, and guiding resource allocation for further investigation.
关键词：landscape epidemiology; agent-based models; simulation; modeling; spatial analysis; hot spot analysis; Kriging