文章基本信息

标题：The influence of demographic factors on the supply of company training places in Germany
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作者：Tobias Maier ; Günter Walden
期刊名称：Empirical Research in Vocational Education and Training
电子版ISSN：1877-6345
出版年度：2014
卷号：6
期号：1
页码：1-14
DOI：10.1186/s40461-014-0004-2
出版社：Springer Verlag
摘要：Background In the German dual system of vocational education and training, the question arises of whether and how enterprises react to demographic changes by adjusting their supply of training places. Methods We conduct a time series on Western German data from 1970 to 2011 and construct a panel data set from 1977 to 2011 based on data of the West German states (“Bundesländer”) to estimate the influence of demographic changes over time. Results We can show that demographic factors strongly influenced the Federal Republic prior to 1990.After the reunification, a positive influence of demographic factors is still observed but only for young people with higher levels of education; in large part, factors related to economic growth and the job market dominate. Conclusions Our findings suggest that, compared to prior times, policy makers nowadays only have limited abilities to influence the number of training places offered by companies through appeals to community spirit.Instead, strategies of gaining additional training places should be geared towards the economic interests of enterprises.
关键词：Vocational training ;Firm employment decisions ;Labour demand ;Model construction and estimation