文章基本信息

标题：Combining Ecological Niche Models and ecosystem services indicators to assess impacts of climate change on kelp: application to French coasts
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作者：Jules Pecquet ; Maud Mouchet ; Sylvie Campagne 等
期刊名称：Ecosystems and People
印刷版ISSN：2639-5908
电子版ISSN：2639-5916
出版年度：2022
卷号：18
期号：1
页码：358-377
DOI：10.1080/26395916.2022.2080766
语种：English
出版社：Taylor & Francis Group
摘要：Kelp forests, primarily Laminaria digitata, provide a broad range of ecosystem services of highsocial, economic, and ecological value and are considered one of the most productiveecosystems on the planet. Several studies have shown that kelp ecosystems are regressingin response to multiple stressors, especially climate change, which could lead to localextinctions. This may induce a decrease in the ecosystem services provided. Many studiesuse ecological niche models (ENM) to project potential future species distributions underclimate change scenarios; however, no study has projected the future supply of ecosystemservices resulting from shifts in species ranges and changes in biomass. In this study, usingFrench coasts as a case study, we developed a new and reproducible methodological framework that combines ENM and ecosystem services indicators to assess impacts of climatechange on ecosystem services supplied by kelp. To this end, we first identified ecosystemservices currently provided by kelp and then used ENM to project future kelp distributionfrom 2041 to 2050 under climate scenarios RCP2.6 and RCP8.5. Finally, by estimating thebiomass of kelp, we assessed the current and future ecosystem services provided by kelp.
关键词：Laminaria digitata;climatechange;ecosystem servicesindicators;ecological nichemodels;projections