摘要:Nudging the development trajectory of tropical landscapes towards sustainability requires aglobal commitment and policies that take diverse contexts and forest transitions into account.Out-scaling and upscaling landscape-level actions to achieve sustainable development goalsglobally need to be based on understanding of extrapolation domains and interconnectivity ofproducts and services. We evaluated three portfolios of tropical landscape observatories andquantified extrapolation domains across ecological zones, stages of forest transition, humandevelopment index (HDI), population density and potential prominence of four dominanttropical tree crops (arabica coffee, cacao, rubber and oil palm). The ASB Partnership for TropicalForest Margins portfolio was focussed on active humid forest margins and the Poverty andEnvironment Network on early stages of forest transition. The portfolio of sentinel landscapes ofthe Forests, Trees and Agroforestry (FTA) research programme provides a 5% sample of pantropical area, 8% of people, 9% of tree cover and 10–12% of potential tree crop presence, withquantified biases across zones, transition stages and HDI. In the ‘water tower’ configuration,relatively high population density coincides with biodiversity, coffee expansion and contestedecosystem services. The extrapolation domain of the FTA portfolio includes trade-off (tree loss)and synergy (restoration) phases of tropical forest transition.