文章基本信息

标题：Trade values predictive model of Southeast Asia under the Belt-Road Initiative
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作者：Vachiraya Rojanaleekul ; Sirirat Pungchompoo ; Nikorn Sirivongpaisal 等
期刊名称：The Asian Journal of Shipping and Logistics
印刷版ISSN：2092-5212
出版年度：2022
卷号：38
期号：3
页码：162-172
语种：English
出版社：Elsevier
摘要：This research aims to quantitatively evaluate the impact that future logistics development projects may have on Southeast Asia’s trade values (import and export) under the Belt-Road Initiative (BRI) scheme with Logistic Performance Indicators (LPIs) as the medium of evaluation. We investigate the multicollinearity effect, which are typically common for logistics performance indicators. The research adopts a model development technique from the Principal Component Regression (PCR) and integrates it to the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) to cope with industry and freight logistics practitioner opinions on various logistics infrastructure developments under the BRI scheme. The predictive model to trade activities of South East Asia under the China-Indochina Peninsula Economic Corridor will be proposed. Our predicting model will be weighed under the 8 different scenarios existing BRI logistic projects. This research significantly contributes to solution methodology for building a predictive model of logistic indices to trade activities under the multicollinearity effect.