文章基本信息

标题：Aquaculture Farmers’ Economic Risks Due to Climate Change: Evidence from Vietnam
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作者：Thanh Viet Nguyen ; Tuyen Quang Tran ; Dewan Ahsan 等
期刊名称：European Journal of Business Science and Technology
印刷版ISSN：2336-6494
出版年度：2022
卷号：8
期号：1
页码：42-53
DOI：10.11118/ejobsat.2022.006
语种：English
出版社：Mendel University, Brno
摘要：Climate change poses a serious threat for aquacultural productivity. Employing the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model, this research aims to evaluate the economic impact of climate change on aquaculture in Vietnam, drawing on time series data from 1981 to 2013 and including aquaculture yield, acreage, investment, labor, temperature, rainfall, and damage costs to aquaculture caused by natural disasters. The results show that aquaculture yield depends not only on the current value of inputs, but also on their lag values and the yield itself. The results also show that rainfall, storm surges and tropical cyclones negatively affect aquaculture production. After any natural disaster, it takes at least two years to recover from the repercussions for productivity and return to the previous norm. To reduce the vulnerability of aquacultural communities, this study suggests that the state could establish a climate resilience fund specifically for small and medium-scale aquaculture farmers, providing special financial support for those affected by natural disasters.
关键词：climate change;ARDL model;aquaculture;vulnerability;Vietnam