文章基本信息

标题：Em Direção a um Modelo para Quantificação da Incerteza Epistêmica em Projetos de Software: uma Pesquisa-Ação
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作者：Jefferson Ferreira Barbosa ; Marcelo Luiz Monteiro Marinho ; Hermano Perrelli de Moura 等
期刊名称：RISTI - Revista Ibérica de Sistemas e Tecnologias de Informação
印刷版ISSN：1646-9895
出版年度：2021
期号：44
DOI：10.17013/risti.44.67-83
语种：Portuguese
出版社：Associação Ibérica de Sistemas e Tecnologias de Informação (AISTI)
摘要：The evolution of project management thinking has increased interest in areas not yet explored by project management researchers and practitioners, such as uncertainty management. Applying epistemic uncertainty management in software projects can represent a competitive differential for the software industry. However, despite the growing use of uncertainty management approaches, many projects still fail. Some studies show that the existing approaches used to manage uncertainty do not consider its quantitative aspect. An Action Research (AR) was conducted to investigate the quantification of epistemic uncertainty in a real context. This paper illustrates the benefit of applying uncertainty quantification approaches to reduce and prioritize epistemic uncertainty management in an agile software design team. Finally, a model is presented to deal with the management of epistemic uncertainty.
关键词：Software Project Management; Epistemic Uncertainty Management; Quantification of Uncertainty; Action Research; Bayesian Networks