文章基本信息

标题：Investigating Factors Related to Criminal Trips of Residential Burglars Using Spatial Interaction Modeling
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作者：Kazuki Hirama ; Kaeko Yokota ; Yusuke Otsuka 等
期刊名称：ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information
电子版ISSN：2220-9964
出版年度：2022
卷号：11
期号：6
页码：346
DOI：10.3390/ijgi11060346
语种：English
出版社：MDPI AG
摘要：This study used spatial interaction modeling to examine whether origin-specific and destination-specific factors, distance decay effects, and spatial structures explain the criminal trips of residential burglars. In total, 4041 criminal trips committed by 892 individual offenders who lived and committed residential burglary in Tokyo were analyzed. Each criminal trip was allocated to an origin–destination pair created from the combination of potential departure and arrival zones. The following explanatory variables were created from an external dataset and used: residential population, density of residential burglaries, and mobility patterns of the general population. The origin-specific factors served as indices of not only the production of criminal trips, but also the opportunity to commit crimes in the origin zones. Moreover, the criminal trips were related to the mobility patterns of the general population representing daily leisure (noncriminal) trips, and relatively large origin- and destination-based spatial spillover effects were estimated. It was shown that considering not only destination-specific but also origin-specific factors, spatial structures are important for investigating the criminal trips of residential burglars. The current findings could be applicable to future research on geographical profiling by incorporating neighborhood-level factors into existing models.