文章基本信息

标题：Could Google Search Be Used in Gold Investments Strategy? Dynamic Relation between Google Search Volume and Gold
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作者：Gamaliel Anindyajati ; Arief Wibisono Lubis
期刊名称：Academy of Accounting and Financial Studies Journal
印刷版ISSN：1096-3685
出版年度：2022
卷号：26
期号：1
页码：1-12
语种：English
出版社：The DreamCatchers Group, LLC
摘要：This paper intends to investigate the dynamic relations between investor attention to gold, captured by Google search volume index (GSV), and gold price, Indonesian Composite Index (IHSG) and USD/IDR exchange rate, using multivariate Vector Autoregressive (VAR). Driven by previous findings from the USA & India that reveal causalities between GSV and gold return, we try to confirm whether it also took place in Indonesia and the reliance on GSV could be used as another strategy for gold investment. Our study covers both ongoing Covid-19 and pre-Covid-19 periods, from May 2016 to May 2021. Unlike previous findings, we find only one directional causality from gold return to GSV in all sample and pre-Covid-19 period. This result suggests that retail investors’ attention to gold in Indonesia is driven by recent changes in gold price, but not vice versa. Additionally, we also find bi-directional causality between gold and IHSG return, as well as gold and currency rate return, in all sample period. Thus, it suggests that gold price is driven more by its traditional relation with economic condition rather than investor attention, in particular stock market, where we find one directional causality from IHSG to gold return consistently in all three periods; whole sample, pre-Covid-19 and Covid-19 period..
关键词：Covid-19;Gold Investment’s;Strategy