文章基本信息

标题：Non-Performing Loans and Macroeconomics Factors: The Italian Case
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作者：Matteo Foglia
期刊名称：Risks
印刷版ISSN：2227-9091
出版年度：2022
卷号：10
期号：1
页码：21
DOI：10.3390/risks10010021
语种：English
出版社：MDPI, Open Access Journal
摘要：The purpose of this work is to investigate the influence of macroeconomics determinants on non-performing loans (NPLs) in the Italian banking system over the period 2008Q3–2020Q4. We mainly contribute to the literature by being the first empirical article to study this relationship in the Italian context in the recent period, thus providing fresh evidence on the macroeconomic impact on NPLs, i.e., on the credit risk of Italian banks. By employing the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) cointegration model, we are able to investigate the short and long-run effects of macroeconomic factors on NPLs. The empirical findings show that gross domestic product and public debt have a negative impact on NPLs. On the other hand, we find that the unemployment rate and domestic credit positively influence impaired loans. Finally, we find evidence of the “gamble for resurrection” approach, i.e., Italian banks tend to support “zombie firms”.