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标题：A simulation study of regression approaches for estimating risk ratios in the presence of multiple confounders
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作者：Kanako Fuyama ; Yasuhiro Hagiwara ; Yutaka Matsuyama 等
期刊名称：Emerging Themes in Epidemiology
印刷版ISSN：1742-7622
电子版ISSN：1742-7622
出版年度：2021
卷号：18
DOI：10.1186/s12982-021-00107-2
语种：English
出版社：BioMed Central
摘要：Risk ratio is a popular effect measure in epidemiological research. Although previous research has suggested that logistic regression may provide biased odds ratio estimates when the number of events is small and there are multiple confounders, the performance of risk ratio estimation has yet to be examined in the presence of multiple confounders. Methods We conducted a simulation study to evaluate the statistical performance of three regression approaches for estimating risk ratios: (1) risk ratio interpretation of logistic regression coefficients, (2) modified Poisson regression, and (3) regression standardization using logistic regression. We simulated 270 scenarios with systematically varied sample size, the number of binary confounders, exposure proportion, risk ratio, and outcome proportion. Performance evaluation was based on convergence proportion, bias, standard error estimation, and confidence interval coverage. Results With a sample size of 2500 and an outcome proportion of 1%, both logistic regression and modified Poisson regression at times failed to converge, and the three approaches were comparably biased. As the outcome proportion or sample size increased, modified Poisson regression and regression standardization yielded unbiased risk ratio estimates with appropriate confidence intervals irrespective of the number of confounders. The risk ratio interpretation of logistic regression coefficients, by contrast, became substantially biased as the outcome proportion increased. Conclusions Regression approaches for estimating risk ratios should be cautiously used when the number of events is small. With an adequate number of events, risk ratios are validly estimated by modified Poisson regression and regression standardization, irrespective of the number of confounders. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12982-021-00107-2.
关键词：Risk ratio; Logistic regression; Modified Poisson regression; Standardization; Confounding; Simulation study