文章基本信息

标题：Sustainable Determinants That Affect Tourist Arrival Forecasting
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作者：Sergej Gricar ; Tea Baldigara ; Violeta Šugar 等
期刊名称：Sustainability
印刷版ISSN：2071-1050
出版年度：2021
卷号：13
期号：17
页码：9659
DOI：10.3390/su13179659
语种：English
出版社：MDPI, Open Access Journal
摘要：This study considers diversification effects and significant influences on tourist arrivals as a vital export direction. Different quantitative methods, namely a cointegrated-autoregressive model, panels, sentiment and sensitivity analysis, were used in this study. The time-series data for Croatia and Slovenia were isolated from several secondary sources. The variables examined in this approach are tourist arrivals, precipitations, sunny days, earthquakes, microbes and CO<sub>2</sub> emissions. The study results showed that there is a severe negative effect on tourist arrivals defined by viruses. Moreover, there is a significant decisive effect of weather conditions on tourist arrivals. Nevertheless, it is necessary to move past Covid-19 pandemic discussions to yield more accurate tourism supply forecasts, while demand is already somehow low since the beginning of 2020. The primary significance is to develop a broader thinking about the impacts of CO<sub>2</sub> emissions on the tourism escorted to official tourist websites.