文章基本信息

标题：Comprehensive Assessment of Models and Events Using Library Tools (CAMEL) Framework: Time Series Comparisons
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作者：Lutz Rastätter ; Chiu P. Wiegand ; Richard E. Mullinix 等
期刊名称：Space Weather
印刷版ISSN：1542-7390
出版年度：2019
卷号：17
期号：6
页码：845-860
DOI：10.1029/2018SW002043
语种：English
出版社：American Geophysical Union
摘要：The Comprehensive Assessment of Models and Events using Library Tools (CAMEL) framework leverages existing Community Coordinated Modeling Center services: Run-on-Request postprocessing tools that generate model time series outputs and the new Community Coordinated Modeling Center Metadata Registry that describes simulation runs using Space Physics Archive Search and Extract metadata. The new CAMEL visualization tool compares the modeled time series with observational data and computes a suite of skill scores such as Prediction Efficiency, Root-Mean-Square Error, and Symmetric Signed Percentage Bias. Model-data pairs used for skill calculations are obtained considering a user-selected maximum difference between the time of observation and the nearest model output. The system renders available data for all locations and time periods selected using interactive visualizations that allow the user to zoom, pan, and pick data values along traces. Skill scores are reported for each selected event or aggregated over all events for all participating model runs. Separately, scores are reported for all locations (satellites or stations) and for each location individually. We are building on past experiences with model-data comparisons of magnetosphere and ionosphere model outputs from GEM2008, GEM-CEDAR Electrodynamics Thermosphere Ionosphere, and the SWPC Operational Space Weather Model challenges. The CAMEL visualization tool is demonstrated using three validation studies: (a) Wang-Sheeley-Arge heliosphere simulations compared against OMNI solar wind data, (b) ground magnetic perturbations from several magnetosphere and ionosphere electrodynamics models as observed by magnetometers, and (c) electron fluxes from several ring current simulations compared to Radiation Belt Storm Probes Helium Oxygen Proton Electron instrument measurements, integrated over different energy ranges.