文章基本信息

标题：Multi-Period Disaggregated Economic Modelling: Do We Need It? Can We Do It?
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作者：Peter B. Dixon
期刊名称：Economic Analysis and Policy
印刷版ISSN：0313-5926
出版年度：1990
卷号：20
期号：1
页码：55-71
DOI：10.1016/S0313-5926(90)50004-1
出版社：Elsevier B.V.
摘要：Abstract The main disaggregated model of the Australian economy is ORANI. This paper briefly reviews {ORANI} applications since the mid 1970s, It then draws attention to the treatment in {ORANI} of time. Because {ORANI} is a one-period model, it provides an inadequate treatment of variables depending on forward-looking expectations. Nor is it an effective framework for handling embodied technological change, dated capital stocks and indivisibilities. It is argued that it is now both feasible and important to build a multi-period, disaggregated model for use in Australia in the 1990s and beyond.