文章基本信息

标题：An Analysis of the BWE-Associated Costs: The issue of Demand Forecasting Accuracy
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作者：Zahra Mirab Samiee ; Mehrdad Rostamzadeh. ; Omid Fatahi Valilai 等
期刊名称：IFAC PapersOnLine
印刷版ISSN：2405-8963
出版年度：2020
卷号：53
期号：2
页码：10836-10842
DOI：10.1016/j.ifacol.2020.12.2870
语种：English
出版社：Elsevier
摘要：AbstractThe bullwhip effect (BWE) has a significant impact on increasing the total cost of a supply chain. Among the factors contributing to this effect, demand forecasting plays a vital role. This paper explores the role of demand forecasting accuracy on the amount of the BWE-related cost, taking an intervened demand process with stochastic perturbations into account. In this regard, a simulation study on a two-echelon supply chain is conducted to investigate the association between forecasting accuracy and the BWE-related costs. Subsequently, a new replenishment policy based on the classic order up to a target (OUT) policy is introduced to determine order values that mitigate the BWE-related costs in comparison to the classic OUT policy.
关键词：KeywordsBullwhip EffectInventory ManagementSimulationDemand ForecastingExperiment Design