文章基本信息

标题：Projection in Education: Conditions for the Sustainable Development of Vietnamese Education
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作者：Do Dinh-Thai ; Giang Thien-Vu* ; Huynh Van-Son 等
期刊名称：European Journal of Educational Research
电子版ISSN：2165-8714
出版年度：2020
卷号：9
期号：1
页码：179-185
DOI：10.12973/eu-jer.9.1.179
语种：English
出版社：Eurasian Society of Educational Research Association
摘要：Projection in education is one of the important bases for the implementation of the sustainable and crucial strategies to ensure the development of national education, including Vietnam. As a country in Southeast Asia with the distinctive characteristics of culture and history, Vietnam has the certain advantages and disadvantages in the development of education. In this study, the projection of Vietnamese students of each school level in the period of 2015 ndash; 2035, was referred in comparison with the projection of the teacher resource in all school levels as one of the conditions for the basic educational development in Vietnam. The study was conducted using an integrated projection in educationrsquo;s formula, combined with a census (birth rate - for students; the number of teachers from Department of Education and Trainingrsquo;s reports, the pedagogy students prepare for graduation - for teachers) from 32 provinces and cities of Vietnam and analyzed on the rate of population change over the years. The results showed that the shortage of the teacher resource (especially the preschool teachers) and the erratic increase in the number of the children born in the good years according to the Eastern concept were the anxious issues when developing Vietnamese education and integrating into the global development trend.