文章基本信息

标题：Climate Predictions for Ludhiana District of Indian Punjab under RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5
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作者：Mehraj U. Din Dar ; Rajan Aggarwal ; Samanpreet Kaur 等
期刊名称：International Journal of Environment and Climate Change
印刷版ISSN：2581-8627
出版年度：2019
卷号：9
期号：2
页码：128-141
DOI：10.9734/ijecc/2019/v9i230102
语种：English
出版社：Sciencedomain International
摘要：Climate change poses significant threats to global food security and water resources. In a present study, a Global Climate Model HAD GEM2-ES under RCPs 4.5 and 8.5 was used for climate prediction study. The study spanned 46 years of baseline (1970-2015) as well as two future periods’ mid-century (MC) (2020-2050) and end century EC (2060-2090). The results showed that the temperature would increase by 1.56°C and rainfall would decrease by 98 mm in MC (2020-2050); and 3.11°C and 90 mm in EC (2060-2090), respectively under RCP 4.5. In RCP 8.5 the increase in temperature and rainfall was 2.75°C and 153 mm, respectively in MC and the corresponding values in EC was 5.46°C and 251 mm, respectively.
关键词：GCM;climate model;representative concentration pathways