摘要:With the increasing of service years, failure happens more frequently than before, which is consistent with the failure rate of equipment during the wear-out life period.On the base of continuous time Markov model for multi-state elements during the useful life period, aging factor is introduced to establish a non-homogenous continuous time Markov model during the wear-out life period.To obtain the reliability of a multi-state element, universal generating function is applied to combine its performance levels and probability functions.Through a combination operator determined by series-parallel logic relations, universal generating function of a multi-state system can be obtained.At last, a compressor of an engine is taken for example.The reliability of the system and its elements considering aging factor are relatively lower than that during the useful life period.And to maintain a reliability level at 80% under the demand of 50%, two days will be reduced from the planned maintenance cycle.
关键词:Markov model;aging factor;multi-state system;universal generating function