文章基本信息

标题：Azerbaycan Ekonomisinin Hollanda Hastalığı Açısından Değerlendirilmesi
本地全文：下载
作者：Selim ŞANLISOY ; Ramazan EKİNCİ
期刊名称：Yönetim ve Ekonomi
印刷版ISSN：1302-0064
出版年度：2019
卷号：26
期号：2
页码：595-608
DOI：10.18657/yonveek.544487
语种：English
出版社：Celal Bayar University
摘要：Incountries with a wealth of natural resources, governments collect much morerevenue than they can effectively supervise. As a result of the inefficient useof this revenue, the growth performance of these countries may be laggingbehind even those without natural resources. This situation is defined to asthe Dutch disease in the literature due to the first use of the case for theNetherlands. It is a fact that the share of natural resources in Azerbaijanboth in total exports and in GDP is high. This situation increases the risk offacing Dutch disease in this country. The main aim of this study is toinvestigate the existence of Dutch disease in the Azerbaijani economy. For thispurpose, "Nonlinear Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag" Model (NARDL) isapplied. It was found that a positive shock in international oil pricesincreased long-term real GDP growth; on the other hand, a negative shock ininternational oil prices decreased the growth in the long term with a lower impactthan the positive shock. Therefore, in terms of the period studied, it can bestated that the Dutch disease did not exist in the Azerbaijan economy.
关键词：Azerbaijan;Dutch Disease;Crude Oil Prices