文章基本信息

标题：Scenarios in the strategy process: a framework of affordances and constraints
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作者：Victor Tiberius
期刊名称：European Journal of Futures Research
印刷版ISSN：2195-4194
电子版ISSN：2195-2248
出版年度：2019
卷号：7
期号：1
DOI：10.1186/s40309-019-0160-5
语种：English
出版社：Springer
摘要：AbstractThis paper challenges the solely rational view of the scenario technique as a strategy and foresight tool designed to cope with uncertainty by considering multiple possible future states. The paper employs an affordance-based view that allows for the identification and structuring of hidden, emergent attributes of the scenario technique beyond the intended ones. The suggested framework distinguishes between affordances (1) that are intended by the organization and relate to its goals, (2) that emergently generate organizational benefits, and (3) that do not relate to organizational but individual interests. Also, constraints in the use of scenarios are discussed. Affordance theory’s specific lens shows that the emergence of such attributes depends on the users’ specific intentions.
关键词：Affordances;Management;Organizations;Scenario planning;Strategic foresight