文章基本信息

标题：A Review of TRIZ Tools for Forecasting the Evolution of Technical Systems
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作者：Dorota Chybowska ; Leszek Chybowski
期刊名称：Management Systems in Production Engineering
电子版ISSN：2450-5781
出版年度：2019
卷号：27
期号：3
页码：174-182
DOI：10.1515/mspe-2019-0028
语种：English
出版社：De Gruyter Open
摘要：This article presents tools used in the Theory of Inventive Problem Solving (TRIZ) which are useful when assessing the evolution direction of technical systems. The following matters are discussed: the S-shaped curve, laws (trends and lines) of the evolution of technical systems, multi-screen diagrams, as well as analysis of evolutionary potential. Inventive laws formulated by Gienrich Altshuller as well as laws previously formulated by a Polish writer and promoter of knowledge, Aleksander Głowacki, writing under the pen name Bolesław Prus, have been presented. Finally the innovation roadmaps have been shown. The use of individual tools has been supported by practical examples taken from research performed by the authors, and the usefulness of individual methods was evaluated. All methods have been compared and evaluated.
关键词：PRST – laws of the evolution of technical systems; technology forecasting; S-shaped curve; analysis of evolutionary potential; innovation roadmap; TRIZ